WPAC: MAN-YI - Tropical Storm

[euro6208]

CURRENT ESTIMATE
Date (yyyymmddhh): 2013091504
SATCON (2mem): MSLP = 974 hPa MSW = 60 kt
ADT: 991 hPa 33 kt Scene: CRVBD
CIMSS AMSU: 972 hPa 68 kt Bias Corr: 0 (JTWC)
SSMIS: SSMISP hPa SSMISW kt
CIRA AMSU: NA hPa NA kt Tmax: NA

[euro6208]

WTPN31 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 37.6N 140.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 33 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N 140.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 43.2N 147.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 40 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 50.1N 153.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 39.0N 142.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM
SOUTH OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
160501Z AMSU IMAGE DEPICT A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM WITH DECREASING
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION BASED ON RJTD RADAR FIXES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS FROM RJTD. TS 16W IS
ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN STRONG MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW
AND IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). TS 16W IS
EXPECTED TO COMPLETE ETT WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. DYNAMIC
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE JTWC FORECAST IS POSITIONED
CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

[Meow]

Man-yi will become a typhoon-force extratropical cyclone very soon.