ATL: INGRID - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#821 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:51 pm

Looks to be down to about 983mb or so...the P-3 sometimes can extrapolate a bit too low.
0 likes   
Top
jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#822 Postby jinftl » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:53 pm

Ingrid is the 1, 2, 3 storm....


* 1st hurricane warning in Atlantic this season issued

* 2nd hurricane to form in 4 days

* 3rd system - and strongest - of the season to effect this part of the Mexican coast
0 likes   
Top
Airboy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 439
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2011 10:41 am

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#823 Postby Airboy » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:54 pm

Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 981mb (28.97 inHg)
PARTIAL EYEWALL EAST SEMICIRCLE OPEN WEST
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hurricane_Luis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Age: 27
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
Contact:
Contact Hurricane_Luis

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#824 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:55 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Looks to be down to about 983mb or so...the P-3 sometimes can extrapolate a bit too low.


How much more is Ingrid going to strengthen? Cat 2 maybe.
0 likes   
Top
CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re:

#825 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:56 pm

Time_Zone wrote:Thanks for the answer!


This place couldn't possibly be anymore dead right now....kind of sad considering we have an intensifying hurricane in the BOC.


Because its FOOTBALL SATURDAY!!! Bama vs A&M Oh also there's a hurricane buried deep in the boc with all signs going into mexico. No chance of US landfall so not interesting. That's the way it work.

Now back to football :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane_Luis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Age: 27
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
Contact:
Contact Hurricane_Luis

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#826 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:58 pm

jinftl wrote:Ingrid is the 1, 2, 3 storm....


* 1st hurricane warning in Atlantic this season issued

* 2nd hurricane to form in 4 days

* 3rd system - and strongest - of the season to effect this part of the Mexican coast


Perhaps a 2,2,3 Storm, There has been a Hurricane warning for Chantal for the SE Dominican Republic.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#827 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:00 pm

Hurricane_Luis wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Looks to be down to about 983mb or so...the P-3 sometimes can extrapolate a bit too low.


How much more is Ingrid going to strengthen? Cat 2 maybe.


I wouldn't be surprised to see a major hurricane.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#828 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:02 pm

Looks like a catastrophic flooding (and now wind) event for folks in Mexico. This area of the Atlantic basin has been a tropical cyclone magnet the past several years going back to 2010. Hope folks in Mexico are taking precautions.

Yet again the Texas ridge keeps another system from hitting Texas...

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:05 pm, edited 5 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#829 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:02 pm

Do we have any members in that part of Mexico?
0 likes   
Top
Time_Zone
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 251
Joined: Sat May 08, 2010 4:15 am

Re:

#830 Postby Time_Zone » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:36 pm

gatorcane wrote:Looks like a catastrophic flooding (and now wind) event for folks in Mexico. This area of the Atlantic basin has been a tropical cyclone magnet the past several years going back to 2010. Hope folks in Mexico are taking precautions.

Yet again the Texas ridge keeps another system from hitting Texas...

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Hoping for as little fatalities as possible (hopefully none)
0 likes   
Top
hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#831 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:39 pm

Where is the eye? I don't see it on visible imagery.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#832 Postby tailgater » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:43 pm

I wonder where Lrak is today :roll:. IdK but I'm pretty sure he doesn't have internet service and probably has a big ole smile on his face.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
SeGaBob

#833 Postby SeGaBob » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:45 pm

It might just be me but it seems that some of the convection has drifted toward the NE a little bit...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:
Contact Portastorm

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#834 Postby Portastorm » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:47 pm

tailgater wrote:I wonder where Lrak is today :roll:. IdK but I'm pretty sure he doesn't have internet service and probably has a big ole smile on his face.


Yeah, ol' Karl is either out on the water or waxing his board. Ingrid should give him some good action in the next few days, eh?! :wink:

I would expect some local advisories from NWS offices along the Texas coast soon for higher waves and rip currents.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#835 Postby tailgater » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:51 pm

:uarrow: Yeah rip tides can be a problem, I think they are worse when the winds are blowing offshore, someone correct me if I'm wrong.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re:

#836 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:53 pm

gatorcane wrote:Looks like a catastrophic flooding (and now wind) event for folks in Mexico. This area of the Atlantic basin has been a tropical cyclone magnet the past several years going back to 2010. Hope folks in Mexico are taking precautions.

Yet again the Texas ridge keeps another system from hitting Texas...

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



Not sure what your point is about Texas ridge since its the ridge over Southern LA and the EC thats blocks this west then south. The models show this quite well... :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 38
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

#837 Postby Rgv20 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:55 pm

Saved Loop of Hurricane Ingrid..

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: INGRID - Hurricane - Discussion

#838 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:59 pm

Looks like it just got hit by shear from the west on visible floater.
0 likes   
Top
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

#839 Postby Alyono » Sat Sep 14, 2013 5:01 pm

really disagree with the upgrade. There has been no confirmation of the Dvorak estimates at all

we may be seeing a 24 hour peak in intensity now as the shear is increasing. However, in the final 12-24 hours before landfall, conditions should be quite favorable and we should see serious intensification
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#840 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 14, 2013 5:40 pm

Last data set confirmed hurricane intensity: 75 kt at flight level (supports about 66 kt at the surface), SFMR of 75 kt with moderate rain. 70 kt seems a reasonable intensity guess.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2013”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests