ATL: FRED- Remnants - Discussion

#101 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:26 am

Going by its current structure, I would go with 55 kt for the intensity.

leanne_uk · #102 Postby **leanne_uk** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:35 am

Not sure on whether we have any members over in the Cape Verde Islands but my friend is currently on holiday on Santa Maria.

Safe to say she is very worried about what is happening.... as of yesterday the hotel hadn't given any info on the system and even went as far as booking tour excursions for Monday and Tuesday for them :oops:

CrazyC83 wrote:This could be historic. Do we have any members in Cape Verde?

#103 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:45 am

I'll share what I just put on twitter here:

Tropical Storm Fred is a great example of how 37 GHz microwave imagery shows structure other channels can't.

The 36/37 GHz frequency is able to detect shallow convection which is not as easily picked up by the higher frequencies. Fred is looking very good and the presence of the cyan ring leads me to believe rapid intensification into a hurricane is quite possible.

TheAustinMan · #104 Postby **TheAustinMan** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:54 am

Fred's current appearance reminds me of Tropical Storm Josephine back in 2008, which also developed an eye feature far east near Cape Verde. Below I've placed Fred on the left and Josephine on the right. Images are to scale.

#105 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:57 am

what an impressive storm..big, symmetrical and very un-atlantic like.

#106 Postby **WPBWeather** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:05 pm

psyclone wrote:what an impressive storm..big, symmetrical and very un-atlantic like.

Well since 2004 and 2005, anyway.

#107 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:16 pm

What local sources are available from Cape Verde, if any?

#108 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:20 pm

Fred is an impressive tropical cyclone. He was very organized over land as a wave while i was tracking it in Africa long before moving off the coast. It is just below hurricane strength now. I think history will be made with Fred bringing the Cape Verde Islands to experience only their third hurricane on record. That is truly a remarkable statistic there.

SunnyThoughts · #109 Postby **SunnyThoughts** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:22 pm

http://www.webcamgalore.com/EN/webcam/C ... l/620.html

webcams from Cape Verde

#110 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:24 pm

Lifeless wrote:
cycloneye wrote:We are witnessing history here.Only two Hurricanes have crossed the Cape Verde Islands since 1850.

[img][/img]

Debbie was one of the storms that almost hit Ireland as a Category 1 Hurricane too, only got downgraded to a extra-tropical storm as it made its final approach, although the effects on Ireland were just as bad. Lets hope that a possible history-making event doesn't cause too much harm as it passes through.

reanalysis suggests that Debbie became extratropical close to the Azores

leanne_uk · #111 Postby **leanne_uk** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:24 pm

Web cam from Santa Maria.... not a live feed tho, updates once a minute. http://www.capeverde.com/live-webcams/s ... maria.html

Found another site with a number of feeds from different parts if the islands.... http://www.meteosurfcanarias.com/en/002 ... -maria.php

http://www.mytravelcams.com/network/cam ... maria.html

#112 Postby **Extratropical94** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:46 pm

TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
200 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015

...FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...OUTER RAIN BANDS NEARING THE EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 20.7W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

#113 Postby **Alyono** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:55 pm

really cranking up quickly based upon 15 minute meteosat imagery. May be a hurricane within the next few hours at this rate

#114 Postby **RL3AO** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 12:59 pm

Alyono wrote:really cranking up quickly based upon 15 minute meteosat imagery. May be a hurricane within the next few hours at this rate

What do you think the upper limit for this thing is for Cape Verde?

#115 Postby **Alyono** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:08 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Alyono wrote:really cranking up quickly based upon 15 minute meteosat imagery. May be a hurricane within the next few hours at this rate

What do you think the upper limit for this thing is for Cape Verde?

worst case, 75 to 80 kts

#116 Postby **tolakram** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:13 pm

Live loop from this area.

shift and drag to zoom in, then select number of frames to loop.
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/RGB/NATURALCOLOR/FULLRESOLUTION/index.htm

#117 Postby **tolakram** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:16 pm

latest

#118 Postby **TheProfessor** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:21 pm

Is this a fairly certain early recurve? because if Fred decides to defy the models like Danny and Erika did then Fred could be an interesting watch over the next week.

Hammy · #119 Postby **Hammy** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:41 pm

WPBWeather wrote:
psyclone wrote:what an impressive storm..big, symmetrical and very un-atlantic like.

Well since 2004 and 2005, anyway.

People seem quick to forget the tons of major hurricanes we had in 2007-08 and 10, the Atlantic didn't really start struggling until 2011...

#120 Postby **Alyono** » Sun Aug 30, 2015 2:40 pm

Hammy wrote:
WPBWeather wrote:
psyclone wrote:what an impressive storm..big, symmetrical and very un-atlantic like.

Well since 2004 and 2005, anyway.

People seem quick to forget the tons of major hurricanes we had in 2007-08 and 10, the Atlantic didn't really start struggling until 2011...

its really only been since 2013. We had 3 cat 3s in 2011 and I believe 11 hurricanes in 2012

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