EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

[Aric Dunn]

Secondary wind maximum noted by recon on their inbound leg. EWRC clearly happening.

Yep! Flight level winds jumped into the 90s, then fell back into the 70s before going back up. Clear secondary maxima.

that 79 kt was not between the inner and outer that set is just the beginning of the outer the next set will show the drop. or it could be... pretty sudden

[Alyono]

Barra de Navidad, a town of 7,000, may be wiped out by this

[Kingarabian]

It looks to me that landfall will be very close to the town of La Manzanilla.

Home to 2000 people.

[brunota2003]

Secondary wind maximum noted by recon on their inbound leg. EWRC clearly happening.

Yep! Flight level winds jumped into the 90s, then fell back into the 70s before going back up. Clear secondary maxima.

that 79 kt was not between the inner and outer that set is just the beginning of the outer the next set will show the drop. or it could be... pretty sudden

No, the obs ended nearly into the inner eye.

[Bunkertor]

Coverage anyone ?

[Aric Dunn]

Yep! Flight level winds jumped into the 90s, then fell back into the 70s before going back up. Clear secondary maxima.

that 79 kt was not between the inner and outer that set is just the beginning of the outer the next set will show the drop. or it could be... pretty sudden

No, the obs ended nearly into the inner eye.

soo it appears..

[NDG]

Barra de Navidad, a town of 7,000, may be wiped out by this

Yeap, Grand Isla Navidad Resort, just south of the town, will be the first one to be wiped out, I am afraid.

[Alyono]

dramatic weakening has occurred

[SouthDadeFish]

Awesome news. Definite weakening on that last pass. EWRC coming at the best of times it seems.

[Kingarabian]

Pressure up to 902mb and looks like winds down to 140kts.

[NDG]

dramatic weakening has occurred

But I don't see where they would had penetrated the eye????

[Aric Dunn]

Awesome news. Definite weakening on that last pass. EWRC coming at the best of times it seems.

yeah thats good. should still be Cat 5 at landfall in the next hour or so.

[Nate-Gillson]

Pressure up to 902mb and looks like winds down to 140kts.

The mountainous terrain taking it's toll on Patricia, although she'll still pack a HUGE punch at landfall.

[supercane4867]

Definitely good news for people in its path. High terrains of Mexico finally doing its job

[Alyono]

the pressure may be around 890mb still looking at the data

[NDG]

dramatic weakening has occurred

But I don't see where they would had penetrated the eye????

Never mind, they did penetrate the eye, pressure above 900 mb

[SouthDadeFish]

Debatable if this is even a category 5 hurricane anymore. Still will have tremendous impacts and be devastating, but the worst case scenario may be avoided. Hopefully the weakening trend continues.

[CrazyC83]

the pressure may be around 890mb still looking at the data

Agreed, it has definitely weakened, but not as much as the data suggests. The SFMR's were hurricane force at the lowest pressure points so they missed the true center.

[Aric Dunn]

Though there was still 45kts flight level and 80kt SFMR at the lowest pressure .. pressure still likely below 900...

[galaxy401]

I think they missed the strongest winds. No way did it weaken that quick in only a couple hours. Certainly weaker though.