gatorcane wrote:Sometimes the NAM can be a precursor of what the next GFS run does and it is a BIG shift west. Perhaps some new data has caused this shift.
I know I shouldn't laugh, but WOW!! come on nam...
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gatorcane wrote:Sometimes the NAM can be a precursor of what the next GFS run does and it is a BIG shift west. Perhaps some new data has caused this shift.
gatorcane wrote::uarrow: The NAM, while not a good tropical model, has the new NCEP data injected and it is the same used by the GFS.
That cut-off low really grabs Joaquin and sends him right into South Carolina, almost as far south as Georgia.
CronkPSU wrote:RL3AO wrote:Some amazing track errors for the verified 48 and 72 hour points.
First three NHC forecasts have averaged a 900km track error at 72 hours.
which is why I am still worried about this thing...if it was so far off in the past, why should we NOW be so confident of its future
hohnywx wrote:Just saying...it has the new data ingested. Not saying it's correct, but definitely need to see if the other models show something similar.
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