WPAC: KILO - Post-Tropical
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- galaxy401
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This storm should probably be watched more than Danny with the Hawaii threat.
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The posts in this forum are not official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are solely the opinions of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to your local weather service's products.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- Kingarabian
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- Blown Away
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Re:
galaxy401 wrote:This storm should probably be watched more than Danny with the Hawaii threat.
The posts in this forum are not official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are solely the opinions of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to your local weather service's products.
I'll be watching for sure...
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- Yellow Evan
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So far 18z GFS is coming in much stronger.
Last edited by Yellow Evan on Thu Aug 20, 2015 4:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Hurricaneman
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Re: CPAC: THREE-C - Tropical Depression
This one reminds me of Iniki in 1992 as it did something similar and formed in a similar spot to this one and may have similar impacts if the models are right so those in the Western Hawaiian islands need to make preparations for a dangerous storm
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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- Kingarabian
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- Kingarabian
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- Yellow Evan
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Re: CPAC: THREE-C - Tropical Depression
Even if this were to happen, Hawaii would get some effects. Big question will be how close this comes to the islands or those ithis pass through it.
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- Kingarabian
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Not even just the center fix.
It's that fact that itll be a possible Cat.3-4. Just looking at those GFS rain totals, Kauai would get almost 16 inches of rainfall + cat. 1 effects. This isn't those ragged tropical storms that are sheared up possibly affecting Hawaii with the Big Island there to tear anything up.
It's that fact that itll be a possible Cat.3-4. Just looking at those GFS rain totals, Kauai would get almost 16 inches of rainfall + cat. 1 effects. This isn't those ragged tropical storms that are sheared up possibly affecting Hawaii with the Big Island there to tear anything up.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Thu Aug 20, 2015 5:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- Yellow Evan
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Re:
Alyono wrote:its basically the center fix. it narrowly misses
Here is the 18z GFS center fix compared to the 12z GFS 6 hour forecast.
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- Kingarabian
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Lots of spread all over in the 18z guidance compared to 12z.
A lot of it has to do with poor initialization probs. GFS run is off and is gonna screw a lot of model runs the next cycle or so.
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