ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#21 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 05, 2015 6:52 pm

A tropical wave located about 950 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation, and any development of this system should
be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward at about
15 mph over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 06, 2015 6:40 am

8 AM TWO:

A tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation for the next few days, but they could become
a little more conducive by the weekend. However, any development
of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves
west-northwestward at about 15 to 20 mph over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#23 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 06, 2015 10:23 am

That trailing disturbance poofed.



I'm not sure why this was invested because it is mostly a weak open wave.
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#24 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Oct 06, 2015 1:32 pm

is this the disturbance some models are spinning up as a ghost storm that moves NNE over south florida in a week or so?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#25 Postby abajan » Wed Oct 07, 2015 7:30 am

Sanibel wrote:That trailing disturbance poofed.



I'm not sure why this was invested because it is mostly a weak open wave.
Man, it has all poofed! :lol:

Image

Time to relegate this thread to the archives and for the 91L identifier to vanish from the S2K map at the top of this forum.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#26 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Oct 07, 2015 9:00 am

abajan wrote:
Sanibel wrote:That trailing disturbance poofed.



I'm not sure why this was invested because it is mostly a weak open wave.
Man, it has all poofed! :lol:

Image

Time to relegate this thread to the archives and for the 91L identifier to vanish from the S2K map at the top of this forum.




Yep, it's getting to be that time of year. In my "opinion", we "may" have 1 or two more tropical storms before all is said and done, but the conditions out there are getting more hostile by the day.



disclaimer: This is not an official forecast, only an opinion, utilize NHC for official forecast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#27 Postby WPBWeather » Wed Oct 07, 2015 11:03 am

Looks a lot less hostile over the basins, and we may have a season that runs into December?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#28 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 07, 2015 2:20 pm

Slight improvement at 59W-17N bears watching.



Possible sleeper here coming in above the islands.
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