EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

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supercane4867
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#521 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:14 am

Unflagged 178kt from SFMR. This is nuts
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#522 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:15 am

I'd go 175 knts based on the SFMR.
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#523 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:16 am

This is also the best timed Recon flight mission I think we can ever had asked for. They are literally right in Patricia as she is attaining her peak intensity at this time. Kudos to the Hurricane Hunters for escalating their schedule to be in sampling the storm during what is now a very historic mission we are all witnessing this early morning 10/23/15. this ranks right up there with Wilma for me as the most fascinating Recon mission I have observed .
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#524 Postby tatertawt24 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:16 am

I'm always skeptical of readings that high but I make exceptions for tiny storms that are explosively deepening like this. If this were making landfall right now we would likely be getting photographic proof of whether winds that strong could sandblast the bodies of the Keys residents.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#525 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:17 am

Based on wind speed recorded this may now hold the world record :eek:

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#526 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:18 am

890mb, 40 knots of surface wind
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#527 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:18 am

Patricia is closing in on Wilma's pressure record! Can she do it. It is going to be close folks.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#528 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am

Very close to Wilma's intensity now. She's likely peaking and will begin to weaken after this point but it'll be an extremely dangerous storm no matter how you slice it.
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#529 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:19 am

If that wind speed and pressure are confirmed, this storm will be stronger than Haiyan though that didn't have recon...
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#530 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:20 am

northjaxpro wrote:Patricia is closing in on Wilma's pressure record! Can she do it. It is going to be close folks.


Hopefully we get one more pass.
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#531 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:20 am

So 886mb? It sure dropped a lot in a single pass. Jeez
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#532 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:21 am

Now it surpassed Gilbert...what's next
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#533 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:21 am

I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.
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#534 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:22 am

Second strongest storm in the western hemisphere on record. Absolutely beyond belief.
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#535 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

40kts of surface wind on that drop. Dang.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#536 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

supercane4867 wrote:Now it surpassed Gilbert...what's next


Yelp!! Going to be close to Wilma's 882 mb record. Just insane!!
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#537 Postby Hammy » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:23 am

Yellow Evan wrote:I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.


They're west of the storm headed south, it would seem wasteful not to do one more as they head back.
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#538 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:25 am

:uarrow: They will do one more knowing how historic this mission has been.
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#539 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:25 am

Yellow Evan wrote:I'd be very surprised if we got another pass.

They've been doing 3. Likely an immediate turn around to come in from the NW, then turn to the E in the eye, if they can.

Also, saw they did a sonde in the eyewall. If it was inbound, I could imagine the 40 knots is due to them trying to reload the tube and launch in about a 30 second window, with a lot of bumps! Difficult at best!
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#540 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 1:28 am

182kt SFMR wind confirmed by VDM
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