ATL: 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#781 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:21 pm

Unless the Euro shows some development I'm going to be inclined to believe this doesn't make it to Florida as anything more then a tropical wave


And even if it does manage to make it as something more, look what the gfs has continually been showing what is lying in wait for it over Florida and the gulf.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7351
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#782 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:22 pm

tolakram wrote:Nothing there.

Image


probably due to too much interaction with Hispaniola
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re:

#783 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:22 pm

northjaxpro wrote:EURO generally comes out around 2 a.m. Eastern time right?


1:45am/pm EDT is the start of the run.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#784 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:24 pm

I think it's going to do it's long range games with a low off the west coast again. Done with the pics for the evening.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#785 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:24 pm

Thanks tolaram. I am trying to stay up for it. The EURO runs will be quite interesting to see this go around.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#786 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:25 pm

One more. Vorticity all spread out now. I will be getting more spin up near Cincy. :D

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2109
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#787 Postby BobHarlem » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:44 pm

Is it showing stalling up in the Northeastern Gulf from next Wed-Friday? The fact a few models have shown loops or stalling systems late next week is something I'm very curious about (is it a trend?).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#788 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:48 pm

BobHarlem wrote:Is it showing stalling up in the Northeastern Gulf from next Wed-Friday? The fact a few models have shown loops or stalling systems late next week is something I'm very curious about (is it a trend?).


Looks like it's camped out in the Big Bend area. Similar to the 18z run albeit further north.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#789 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:52 pm

HWRF looks to open it up to a wave near Puerto Rico at hour 39.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#790 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:59 pm

HWRF further South and not impressed through 54 hours. Looking to take Hispaniola head on.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#791 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:09 am

HWRF hour 66...North of Hispaniola and starting to come together.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#792 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:19 am

HWRF hour 81...ramping up in the SE Bahamas.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#793 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:34 am

HWRF looking pretty solid at hour 90...perhaps Cat 1-2 in central Bahamas...further South than 18z.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#794 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:35 am

EURO about to come in shortly.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#795 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:37 am

Hour 99...HWRF has cane just east of Andros Island...
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#796 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:48 am

woah... much further south

Image
0 likes   
Top
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#797 Postby ericinmia » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:49 am

00z HWRF 114 hrs :darrow:

Too close for comfort....

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

#798 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:49 am

That's a textbook cane heading for the SE FL Coast. One of the most populated portions of coastline in the country.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#799 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:52 am

Powerful hurricane nearing landfall in south florida..

Image
0 likes   
Top
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#800 Postby ericinmia » Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:52 am

NOT SURFACE WINDS.... FYI 850mb

Posting this 120hrs for shear beauty....

Pressure dropping 1mb/hr from 114 to 120hrs

Image
Last edited by ericinmia on Wed Aug 26, 2015 12:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests