Alyono wrote:Kingarabian wrote:
And that shift to the right is caused by Ida?
looks like partially
Talk about luck...
ATL: JOAQUIN - Models
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Kingarabian
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Re: Re:
Talk about luck...
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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ninel conde
Re:
Kingarabian wrote:06 GFS @ 120 hrs
Looks like it's still heading NNE and it clears the east coast safely.
No offense, but based on that image, it is about to slam into Nova Scotia. When you factor in the normal margin of error that far out, it could easily landfall in Maine.
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ninel conde
Re: Re:
MrStormX wrote:Kingarabian wrote:06 GFS @ 120 hrs
Looks like it's still heading NNE and it clears the east coast safely.
No offense, but based on that image, it is about to slam into Nova Scotia. When you factor in the normal margin of error that far out, it could easily landfall in Maine.
trend is east though. 12z should be quite a bit more east.
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Re:
ninel conde wrote:Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 12m12 minutes ago
Joe Bastardi Retweeted Mark Sudduth
We are with euro now. Dont think this a gradual adjustment, if its a miss its by many miles. We are stronger, longer
when JB throws in the towel, its a done deal.
Glad to see him see the facts rather than going with his east coast landfall bias mood that he most times fall into.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Models
stormlover2013 wrote:Wowww King euro !!!
As we've seen in the past, when the Euro model sticks to its guns run after run its usually correct. Still can't understand why we can't construct good numerical models in the US! It's quite shocking with all our supposed technology.
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Weatherwatcher98
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Models
Amazing!!!!ronjon wrote:stormlover2013 wrote:Wowww King euro !!!
As we've seen in the past, when the Euro model sticks to its guns run after run its usually correct. Still can't understand why we can't construct good numerical models in the US! It's quite shocking with all our supposed technology.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Models
Wow people are really jumping the gun in here over the Euro this morning. Until the storm moves away from the Bahamas I'm not touching any of those calls.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Models
ronjon wrote:stormlover2013 wrote:Wowww King euro !!!
As we've seen in the past, when the Euro model sticks to its guns run after run its usually correct. Still can't understand why we can't construct good numerical models in the US! It's quite shocking with all our supposed technology.
As if they take turns with each storm this season, very weird, at times this year the GFS has done better with certain storms than the euro. Since the beginning the Euto has done very well with Joaquin but it did horrible when Ida formed.
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Re:
Alyono wrote:lets not forget the FIRST model to show an east coast landfall with Joaquin was THE EURO
The hugging of this model is borderline cultish in that everyone ignores the failures
But it was in its medium to long range range, which has not done very well, and it was only one or two runs.
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terstorm1012
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Re:
Alyono wrote:lets not forget the FIRST model to show an east coast landfall with Joaquin was THE EURO
The hugging of this model is borderline cultish in that everyone ignores the failures
I agree. I hope most people know WHY it is saying that and has insisted on it.
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my posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just my opinion (to which I welcome challenges!) and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
No model has 'won' anything until their tracks are verified by reality, it would certainly seem that the Euro solution makes the most sense at this point...but you cannot crown winners before the race is over. Ida's remnants are going to be the key in this situation, and that is why there is so much divergence between the models.
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stormlover2013
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re:
Alyono wrote:lets not forget the FIRST model to show an east coast landfall with Joaquin was THE EURO
The hugging of this model is borderline cultish in that everyone ignores the failures
Like I said yesterday...modeling this year has been flat out Brutal from the LBAR to the "King". And that's from 48 hrs to 252...only thing they've done right I've seen is kill off MDR storms on schedule.
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GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
Re: Re:
NDG wrote:Alyono wrote:lets not forget the FIRST model to show an east coast landfall with Joaquin was THE EURO
The hugging of this model is borderline cultish in that everyone ignores the failures
But it was in its medium to long range range, which has not done very well, and it was only one or two runs.
it was in the 5 to 6 day time frame
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