CPAC: MADELINE - Post-Tropical

[Yellow Evan]

[Ntxw]

Clearing eye on it's way

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 AUG 2016 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 18:07:12 N Lon : 144:28:34 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.8 / 973.5mb/ 84.8kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 4.8 5.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -48.7C Cloud Region Temp : -66.9C

Scene Type : EYE

[Ntxw]

She's going to rival Lester if she can hold. Twins, should be getting first daylight visibles

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 AUG 2016 Time : 150000 UTC
Lat : 18:09:00 N Lon : 144:39:09 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.8 / 973.5mb/ 84.8kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 4.8 5.9

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -21.6C Cloud Region Temp : -67.4C

Scene Type : EYE

[bg1]

It looks like it's becoming ann... er, losing its outer rainbands in that last frame.

[Ntxw]

Are we going to get recon on this?

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 AUG 2016 Time : 153000 UTC
Lat : 18:16:42 N Lon : 144:43:31 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.9 / 971.4mb/ 87.4kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.9 6.0 6.0

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 10 km

Center Temp : -16.4C Cloud Region Temp : -67.7C

Scene Type : EYE

[talkon]

There should be a recon mission in about 1 day (30/18Z)

[Yellow Evan]

Latest frame has a thick B ring with OW eye, so T6.0.

[hurricanes1234]

Looks like the possibility of simultaneous major hurricanes just skyrocketed in my opinion.

[Yellow Evan]

Looks like the possibility of simultaneous major hurricanes just skyrocketed in my opinion.

At this rate, I'd say we have two major hurricanes active at once by 21z.

[Ntxw]

Another EPAC beauty

[cycloneye]

Plenty of mission upcoming.

Code: Select all

PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE MADELINE
       FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75           FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 76
       A. 30/1800Z                    A. 31/0600Z
       B. AFXXX 0114E MADELINE        B. AFXXX 0214E MADELINE
       C. 30/1530Z                    C. 31/0400Z
       D. 19.1N 148.6W                D. 19.0N 150.6W
       E. 30/1730Z TO 30/2030Z        E. 31/0500Z TO 31/0830Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT            F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....POSSIBLE 6-HRLY FIXES AT
       31/1800Z.
$$

[Ntxw]

[hawaiigirl]

you guys think we have two cat 1 hitting the islands within days apart?

[Ntxw]

you guys think we have two cat 1 hitting the islands within days apart?

It's not likely even one is a stretch, but it's not impossible.

[Kingarabian]

[Yellow Evan]

TPPZ01 PGTW 291808

A. HURRICANE 14E (MADELINE)

B. 29/1746Z

C. 18.35N

D. 145.07W

E. THREE/GOES15

F. T5.5/5.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. DG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 5.5. MET YIELDS A
4.5 WHILE PT YIELDS A 5.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


LEMBKE

[Yellow Evan]

TXPN24 KNES 291803
TCSCNP

A. 14E (MADELINE)

B. 29/1730Z

C. 18.3N

D. 145.0W

E. ONE/GOES-W

F. T5.5/5.5/D2.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...OW EYE EMBEDDED IN LG AND SURROUNDED BY B WITH 0.5 ADDED
FOR AN EYE ADJUSTMENT YIELDS A DT OF 5.5. MET=5.0 AND PT=5.5. FT IS
BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...KIM

[Extratropical94]

Major!

14E MADELINE 160829 1800 18.3N 145.0W EPAC 100 968

[Ntxw]

Major Twins! 5th major of the season

[galaxy401]

What an amazing loop!!