ATL: HERMINE - Models

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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1001 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:30 pm

Turning more northerly at hour 192.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1002 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:30 pm

18z GFS... 192 Hours... Euro was landfall at @168 hours... Still weak, but stronger than 12z at this point... Just E of Central Bahamas and drifting @WNW
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1003 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:30 pm

Looks like it is deepening at 200 hours
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1004 Postby N2FSU » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:31 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
N2FSU wrote:+156hr

Image


99L is on the left and 90L on the right?


correct
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1005 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:31 pm

I think it misses the trough on this run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1006 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:31 pm

Trap door opening up for both systems.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1007 Postby hurricanedude » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:32 pm

I feel bad for our guests reading this......we have people saying it's going into the gulf....some saying it's Florida....others saying SE Coast....then there is some saying recurve.....for all our guests.....this is normal lol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1008 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:32 pm

I think speed will have a big factor in whether this will curve out or not.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1009 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:33 pm

18z GFS... 204 Hours... Deeping over Bahamas... Drifting WNW... Monster Cat 5 90L beginning to move out to NE
Last edited by Blown Away on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1010 Postby Alyono » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:34 pm

Mu is now the weakest of all models after being the strongest
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1011 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:34 pm

Going to be a close call with Florida.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1012 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:34 pm

Looks to be heading maybe for landfall in NE Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1013 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:35 pm

really ramping up now at 222 hours, of course we are long-range.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1014 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:38 pm

I'm betting SC this run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1015 Postby Alyono » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:38 pm

gatorcane wrote:really ramping up now at 222 hours, of course we are long-range.


A whole 1003 mb. Borderline td/ts
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1016 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:38 pm

18z GFS... 222 Hours... Pressure continues to drop, maybe TD/TS... Moving NW just N of Bahamas
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1017 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:39 pm

18z GFS... 228 Hours... Deepening continues... Appears W turn may begin...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1018 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:39 pm

1001mb at 228
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1019 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:39 pm

What does full res show? It is 1004 by 234 without full res.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1020 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:41 pm

Still moving WNW.

Down to 998mb. Looks like the trough is picking it up now.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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