tarheelprogrammer wrote:What does full res show? It is 1004 by 234 without full res.
Full resolution shows 998mb @ 234hrs.
ATL: HERMINE - Models
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Full resolution shows 998mb @ 234hrs.
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SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:What does full res show? It is 1004 by 234 without full res.
998mb
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
You can get full rez at tropical tidbits. Select atlantic or western atlantic and surface pressure + 10m winds.
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M a r k
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Slight north turn at 240.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tolakram wrote:You can get full rez at tropical tidbits. Select atlantic or western atlantic and surface pressure + 10m winds.
Thanks a lot didn't notice that.
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otowntiger
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Doesn't look 99l is projected to get that strong in any of these models. Is that correct?
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Might be making the turn north at 252 hours and continuing to ramp up
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
996mb @240h heading NW.
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M a r k
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
264 hours turning NE, looks to be getting kicked out...getting stronger.
276 hours, really deepening and still moving NE
276 hours, really deepening and still moving NE
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Kingarabian
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Yep the trough sweeps in just in the knick of time but of course we are talking GFS long-range.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
gatorcane wrote:264 hours turning NE, looks to be getting kicked out...getting stronger.
276 hours, really deepening and still moving NE
Strong TS/Weak hurricane.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
This is interesting but complete garbage at this range so should be viewed as entertainment only. Heading NE now.
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M a r k
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Well what I take from all of this is that something will be in the Bahamas in the 8-10 day time frame. From there who knows what will happen..it is interesting that the Euro is so much further west then the GFS...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
99L is going to be very sensitive to timing, if it moves quicker like the ECMWF suggests, GFS will probably shift west also, if it slows down, otu to sea. As far as the 90L wave though, I think GFS is out to lunch.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Well what I take from all of this is that something will be in the Bahamas in the 8-10 day time frame. From there who knows what will happen..it is interesting that the Euro is so much further west then the GFS...
12z Euro has a stronger ridging across the eastern US in the 7-10 day range than the GFS, why the GFS shows 99L almost stalling to the east of the coast of FL in that time frame.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
18z GFS... 288 Hours... Pressure continues to drop, 982mb... Moving NE on a recurve it looks... Likely a strong Cat1 now...
Last edited by Blown Away on Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wflamholtz
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Well what I take from all of this is that something will be in the Bahamas in the 8-10 day time frame. From there who knows what will happen..it is interesting that the Euro is so much further west then the GFS...
It's because the EURO is faster with 99L
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Well what I take from all of this is that something will be in the Bahamas in the 8-10 day time frame. From there who knows what will happen..it is interesting that the Euro is so much further west then the GFS...
The Euro is also several days faster than the GFS. Now the question is what model is right?
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