ATL: EARL - Remnants - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040308
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 44 20160804
025800 1732N 08747W 6970 03063 9925 +113 +082 064071 072 063 005 03
025830 1733N 08748W 6965 03075 9938 +112 +078 065067 069 056 002 00
025900 1735N 08749W 6964 03082 9943 +111 +084 068064 067 048 000 00
025930 1736N 08750W 6970 03083 9949 +109 +092 066062 062 048 001 00
030000 1738N 08751W 6963 03094 //// +102 //// 067061 062 048 001 01
030030 1739N 08752W 6967 03094 //// +106 //// 068059 060 051 002 01
030100 1741N 08753W 6968 03099 9972 +107 +087 067060 061 051 001 03
030130 1742N 08754W 6962 03110 9973 +108 +090 067056 060 /// /// 03
030200 1741N 08757W 6966 03108 9977 +109 +090 064055 056 /// /// 03
030230 1739N 08757W 6971 03100 9975 +109 +086 058053 054 046 003 00
030300 1737N 08758W 6966 03104 9970 +110 +087 052052 053 047 001 00
030330 1735N 08758W 6967 03099 9968 +110 +085 048051 052 043 003 00
030400 1733N 08759W 6967 03096 9966 +108 +080 043052 052 044 002 00
030430 1731N 08759W 6968 03091 9967 +105 +085 043053 053 045 002 00
030500 1729N 08759W 6966 03093 9960 +106 +090 040052 053 046 002 00
030530 1727N 08759W 6967 03087 9956 +110 +087 036052 052 044 001 00
030600 1725N 08759W 6969 03083 9954 +107 +087 030052 053 043 002 00
030630 1722N 08759W 6965 03086 9954 +106 +084 024052 053 044 002 00
030700 1720N 08759W 6963 03086 9955 +105 +086 019053 053 045 001 00
030730 1718N 08800W 6966 03085 9958 +098 +094 013053 053 044 001 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 10:07pm CDT:

[Alyono]

should get more fixes. The aircraft is tasked to make a 0530 UTC fix

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040318
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 45 20160804
030800 1716N 08800W 6969 03081 9960 +099 +095 007052 053 041 002 01
030830 1714N 08801W 6966 03086 9962 +099 +094 003052 052 040 004 01
030900 1711N 08801W 6970 03083 9969 +101 //// 358052 053 042 004 01
030930 1709N 08802W 6967 03085 9991 +105 //// 001055 057 043 009 01
031000 1707N 08802W 6984 03065 9994 +104 //// 355055 057 053 008 05
031030 1705N 08802W 6962 03097 //// +093 //// 350054 057 063 008 05
031100 1703N 08803W 6971 03093 9979 +106 //// 347051 053 043 009 01
031130 1701N 08803W 6966 03103 9981 +105 +105 346046 049 043 009 00
031200 1659N 08804W 6966 03106 0010 +106 +106 342047 048 043 009 00
031230 1656N 08804W 6975 03100 0013 +105 +105 341043 048 040 008 00
031300 1654N 08805W 6966 03115 0022 +106 +106 338042 044 066 021 03
031330 1652N 08805W 6974 03110 0039 +102 +102 321042 044 058 019 00
031400 1651N 08805W 6966 03122 0030 +098 //// 321043 044 045 006 01
031430 1649N 08806W 6966 03126 0038 +101 //// 324043 043 048 006 01
031500 1647N 08806W 6968 03127 0046 +100 +100 320040 043 031 008 00
031530 1645N 08807W 6967 03131 0055 +097 +097 313038 042 029 007 00
031600 1643N 08807W 6966 03133 0055 +097 +097 308033 035 028 008 00
031630 1641N 08807W 6966 03138 0055 +091 //// 307034 034 026 005 01
031700 1639N 08808W 6967 03138 //// +087 //// 302032 033 026 003 01
031730 1637N 08808W 6967 03140 0029 +090 +088 303033 034 024 003 00
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040328
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 46 20160804
031800 1635N 08808W 6965 03147 0042 +091 +090 302031 032 027 003 01
031830 1634N 08809W 6969 03145 //// +087 //// 303031 032 026 004 01
031900 1632N 08809W 6966 03149 //// +086 //// 305030 032 020 002 01
031930 1630N 08810W 6968 03148 //// +085 //// 307028 029 022 003 01
032000 1628N 08810W 6966 03151 0070 +088 //// 308028 028 022 005 01
032030 1626N 08810W 6967 03153 0082 +093 +093 306029 031 021 010 00
032100 1624N 08811W 6965 03155 0083 +088 //// 302031 033 019 010 01
032130 1623N 08811W 6968 03154 //// +083 //// 300033 033 020 003 01
032200 1621N 08811W 6967 03156 0068 +088 //// 296032 033 018 005 01
032230 1619N 08812W 6966 03157 0071 +090 //// 292031 033 019 006 01
032300 1617N 08812W 6967 03159 0068 +091 //// 292028 030 017 006 01
032330 1615N 08812W 6967 03160 0064 +087 //// 297028 029 014 006 05
032400 1614N 08812W 6962 03166 0065 +086 +083 293026 027 /// /// 03
032430 1614N 08810W 6967 03159 0059 +089 +081 289023 025 /// /// 03
032500 1615N 08810W 6967 03157 0059 +089 +081 290023 023 013 005 00
032530 1617N 08811W 6967 03156 0063 +087 +087 286024 025 015 005 03
032600 1619N 08811W 6969 03155 0069 +091 //// 288028 028 014 006 01
032630 1620N 08810W 6967 03156 //// +086 //// 295028 028 017 004 01
032700 1622N 08810W 6965 03157 //// +085 //// 298027 028 015 004 05
032730 1624N 08809W 6967 03153 0076 +086 //// 297025 027 020 005 01
$$
;

[floridasun78]

should get more fixes. The aircraft is tasked to make a 0530 UTC fix

this last fight for EARL ? their planning fight when get southern gulf?

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040338
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 47 20160804
032800 1625N 08809W 6964 03155 0077 +093 +093 293023 024 019 006 00
032830 1627N 08808W 6973 03144 //// +084 //// 298025 026 021 004 01
032900 1629N 08808W 6965 03153 //// +086 //// 298026 027 020 002 01
032930 1630N 08807W 6965 03149 //// +084 //// 293028 029 021 002 01
033000 1632N 08806W 6967 03144 //// +088 //// 294029 030 026 003 01
033030 1634N 08806W 6967 03142 //// +088 //// 290028 029 030 004 01
033100 1635N 08805W 6967 03140 0049 +087 //// 283027 028 026 004 01
033130 1637N 08805W 6967 03138 0058 +094 +094 291026 026 027 009 00
033200 1639N 08804W 6970 03133 0055 +096 +096 300030 032 032 009 00
033230 1640N 08804W 6969 03131 0054 +097 +097 303033 034 030 010 00
033300 1642N 08803W 6967 03130 0044 +100 +100 304033 034 032 008 00
033330 1643N 08802W 6966 03126 0040 +098 //// 301035 036 034 010 01
033400 1645N 08801W 6969 03120 0037 +102 +102 300030 034 036 010 00
033430 1646N 08801W 6963 03123 0033 +105 +105 308034 037 041 020 00
033500 1648N 08800W 6972 03106 0028 +105 +105 313033 036 042 019 00
033530 1649N 08759W 6970 03104 0020 +104 +104 321032 036 045 013 00
033600 1651N 08758W 6965 03108 0006 +106 +106 313032 034 044 011 00
033630 1652N 08757W 6968 03099 9983 +106 //// 311031 031 042 005 01
033700 1654N 08756W 6966 03098 //// +101 //// 307031 031 041 004 01
033730 1655N 08755W 6970 03087 9956 +108 +104 298034 036 045 002 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 10:37pm CDT:

[Alyono]

there is a flight scheduled for friday, if earl is over the water

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 10:47pm CDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT12 KNHC 040358
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052016
A. 04/03:43:40Z
B. 17 deg 14 min N
087 deg 45 min W
C. 700 mb 2953 m
D. 56 kt
E. 206 deg 12 nm
F. 288 deg 50 kt
G. 206 deg 12 nm
H. 982 mb
I. 10 C / 3050 m
J. 19 C / 3046 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF301 0705A EARL OB 29
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 67 KT 343 / 28 NM 03:51:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 040 / 7 KT



Through 10:57pm CDT:

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040408
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 50 20160804
035800 1742N 08757W 6969 03085 9946 +113 +098 080062 063 044 002 00
035830 1742N 08757W 6969 03085 9939 +116 +095 080060 060 045 002 00
035900 1739N 08756W 6967 03077 9933 +118 +089 082060 061 046 002 00
035930 1738N 08755W 6969 03071 9925 +122 +081 081060 061 043 001 00
040000 1736N 08755W 6966 03069 9914 +125 +079 078061 064 036 002 00
040030 1734N 08754W 6967 03059 9901 +125 +090 077061 064 034 001 00
040100 1733N 08754W 6965 03054 9901 +117 +102 074055 059 033 001 00
040130 1731N 08753W 6970 03038 9894 +116 +104 072051 053 033 001 00
040200 1729N 08753W 6963 03040 9880 +121 +103 071046 049 037 001 00
040230 1728N 08753W 6966 03029 9865 +128 +095 070044 045 053 000 03
040300 1726N 08752W 6968 03019 9845 +136 +100 067042 043 /// /// 03
040330 1724N 08752W 6970 03008 9826 +147 +093 057039 041 033 000 00
040400 1722N 08751W 6967 03006 9814 +153 +086 046032 037 033 001 03
040430 1720N 08751W 6967 02999 9803 +158 +086 029027 029 030 001 03
040500 1719N 08749W 6967 02992 9788 +165 +080 011020 025 /// /// 03
040530 1718N 08748W 6964 02989 9779 +164 +087 335013 017 /// /// 03
040600 1717N 08746W 6979 02970 9805 +136 +117 216006 010 014 002 03
040630 1717N 08744W 6963 02984 9806 +131 +122 197017 020 012 002 03
040700 1717N 08743W 6967 02986 9819 +128 //// 197022 024 /// /// 05
040730 1715N 08742W 6966 02990 9821 +128 //// 214028 031 018 004 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 11:07pm CDT:

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040418
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 51 20160804
040800 1714N 08742W 6968 02993 9843 +125 //// 219034 036 040 004 01
040830 1712N 08742W 6966 03003 9842 +133 //// 230045 047 068 015 05
040900 1711N 08742W 6959 03023 9884 +123 //// 242046 049 071 022 05
040930 1709N 08742W 6965 03023 9899 +124 +124 249050 051 069 025 00
041000 1708N 08743W 6984 03004 9914 +117 +117 242048 051 066 038 00
041030 1706N 08743W 6955 03047 9918 +118 +118 257050 053 065 031 03
041100 1705N 08743W 6976 03038 9942 +116 +116 253046 050 /// /// 03
041130 1703N 08743W 6962 03055 9946 +112 +112 250044 045 063 028 00
041200 1702N 08743W 6981 03048 9968 +112 +112 239047 050 059 038 00
041230 1700N 08744W 6954 03085 9982 +101 +101 237042 047 055 038 03
041300 1659N 08744W 6966 03076 9983 +103 +103 241039 042 054 012 00
041330 1657N 08744W 6972 03076 9965 +106 //// 241037 041 055 006 01
041400 1655N 08744W 6966 03089 9966 +106 //// 242036 037 050 005 01
041430 1654N 08744W 6963 03094 9973 +105 //// 241035 036 051 005 01
041500 1652N 08745W 6967 03094 9981 +105 +105 241034 035 048 006 00
041530 1651N 08745W 6967 03097 0006 +101 +101 247033 035 045 013 00
041600 1649N 08745W 6962 03105 0004 +104 +104 252033 035 046 010 00
041630 1648N 08745W 6963 03108 0007 +107 +107 260032 034 046 010 00
041700 1646N 08745W 6970 03106 0025 +106 +106 254036 041 047 026 00
041730 1644N 08746W 6968 03110 0032 +103 +103 243039 041 044 031 00
$$
;

00
URNT15 KNHC 040428
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 52 20160804
041800 1643N 08746W 6959 03125 0038 +101 +101 243038 041 042 018 00
041830 1641N 08746W 6970 03116 0038 +098 +098 244039 041 040 014 00
041900 1640N 08746W 6966 03125 0044 +098 +098 243036 038 037 013 03
041930 1639N 08747W 6964 03128 0046 +098 +098 241033 036 /// /// 03
042000 1640N 08748W 6972 03120 0044 +099 +099 240033 033 /// /// 03
042030 1641N 08747W 6958 03131 //// +079 //// 246036 037 /// /// 05
042100 1643N 08747W 6974 03106 0032 +103 //// 248033 036 038 034 01
042130 1645N 08747W 6962 03116 0024 +106 +106 247030 032 051 026 00
042200 1647N 08747W 6965 03108 0016 +108 +108 251029 032 047 028 00
042230 1649N 08747W 6970 03095 0010 +107 +107 252026 030 046 012 03
042300 1651N 08747W 6969 03094 9997 +106 +106 246025 026 049 007 00
042330 1652N 08747W 6966 03097 //// +102 //// 246027 029 044 007 01
042400 1654N 08748W 6967 03091 //// +105 //// 237030 031 045 003 05
042430 1656N 08748W 6967 03086 9962 +106 +106 243034 036 050 009 00
042500 1658N 08748W 6969 03076 9976 +102 +102 244037 039 050 009 00
042530 1700N 08748W 6956 03078 9966 +114 +114 254040 044 054 037 00
042600 1701N 08749W 6985 03037 9958 +113 +113 261040 043 065 015 03
042630 1703N 08749W 6960 03054 9938 +114 +114 265043 046 062 015 03
042700 1705N 08749W 6979 03026 9925 +123 +123 269036 041 058 033 00
042730 1706N 08749W 6971 03038 9923 +120 +120 263037 040 058 032 03
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 11:27pm CDT. Final image from me. I might do one later after the mission is done.

[BZSTORM]

Not sure how much longer I will be online but updates as given me from friends in San Pedro and Belize City - power went out about 15 mins after the ADVISORY NUMBER 7, about another 30 mins after that winds started to pick up beachside business had already taken a pounding before winds picked up but then getting reports zinc roofing flying around, piers being torn apart (dice shops are on allot of these piers) at least one business was on fie but no one could do anything about for flying debris. Belize city Freetown road has been flooded for hour knee deep in place, Queen street near Belize city river also flooded in places. Most if not all of Belize City has no Elec for at least hour now. Its been raining constant by me on Placencia Peninsula now for 2 hrs and freind on boat in lagoon says winds are SE 25kts with occasional higher gusts. Nothing compared to what Belize City Orange walk and San Pedro, Caye caulker, Turneffe cayes experiencing. Landfall is not counted when eye passes over a caye or peninsula but the damage & surge is same as when it makes landfall on mainland. My lights have been flickering on and off for while now so not sure how much longer I will be online. Big thank you to everyone on here for sharing data and insights, its always nice to have that help when something like this comes our way. And Earl has turned out to be quite a big boy!! thankfully he got all that shear last night from Honduras on South quad else things could be allot worse than they currently are which is far from good and we hope come morning no lose of life looks like surge coming ashore right now in sp just been sent video dont know how to upload it

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040438
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 53 20160804
042800 1708N 08750W 6967 03034 9910 +113 //// 251035 038 058 013 01
042830 1710N 08750W 6970 03025 //// +110 //// 242031 033 020 004 01
042900 1712N 08750W 6965 03025 //// +112 //// 246031 032 019 002 01
042930 1713N 08751W 6966 03015 9857 +117 +115 242030 032 029 000 01
043000 1715N 08751W 6967 03006 9838 +129 +111 245028 030 031 000 03
043030 1717N 08752W 6973 02992 9820 +137 +121 259024 028 026 000 03
043100 1718N 08753W 6966 02989 9811 +135 +121 260025 026 028 002 00
043130 1720N 08753W 6967 02979 9779 +152 +125 277013 025 026 003 03
043200 1722N 08754W 6965 02969 9778 +142 +126 055006 010 097 001 03
043230 1723N 08754W 6970 02963 9781 +141 +118 081023 029 117 005 03
043300 1725N 08755W 6973 02962 9783 +138 +123 082037 040 017 000 00
043330 1727N 08756W 6966 02975 9785 +144 +122 080047 051 017 001 00
043400 1728N 08757W 6970 02979 9800 +143 +098 080055 056 031 001 00
043430 1730N 08758W 6968 02990 9809 +143 +099 082062 066 043 002 00
043500 1732N 08758W 6968 03004 9833 +135 +092 086069 069 056 001 00
043530 1733N 08759W 6963 03024 9863 +121 +099 084078 079 060 003 00
043600 1735N 08759W 6968 03034 9881 +120 +092 085077 079 061 001 00
043630 1737N 08759W 6966 03046 9891 +123 +088 089076 077 062 002 00
043700 1738N 08758W 6969 03049 9909 +115 +098 090079 081 061 001 00
043730 1739N 08758W 6965 03063 9919 +112 +102 092078 080 061 002 00
$$
;

[Alyono]

looks like it has winds of 70-75 kts right now

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 11:37pm CDT. I'll post more images unless I get side tracked and forget.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040448
AF301 0705A EARL HDOB 54 20160804
043800 1741N 08757W 6970 03063 9928 +110 +090 094074 077 061 006 00
043830 1742N 08757W 6968 03073 9945 +104 +099 094074 075 063 008 00
043900 1743N 08756W 6959 03088 9957 +108 +108 095073 074 064 010 03
043930 1745N 08756W 6967 03083 9983 +106 +106 101077 080 062 012 03
044000 1746N 08755W 6967 03092 0006 +098 +098 103083 085 059 013 00
044030 1748N 08755W 6963 03098 0010 +097 +097 100078 084 057 010 00
044100 1749N 08754W 6968 03099 0014 +101 +101 101076 079 053 011 03
044130 1751N 08754W 6971 03104 0023 +099 +099 103071 074 053 015 03
044200 1752N 08753W 6966 03111 0026 +098 +098 107069 070 053 014 03
044230 1754N 08752W 6968 03114 0032 +098 +098 110073 075 052 021 00
044300 1755N 08752W 6963 03124 0036 +100 +100 108071 075 054 026 00
044330 1757N 08751W 6970 03115 0043 +100 +100 103072 074 050 026 00
044400 1758N 08750W 6962 03130 0051 +095 +095 102067 071 048 019 00
044430 1759N 08750W 6966 03127 0035 +097 +097 106064 066 046 009 00
044500 1801N 08749W 6967 03132 0040 +097 +097 106062 063 045 007 03
044530 1802N 08748W 6969 03132 0043 +090 //// 102065 065 046 006 01
044600 1804N 08748W 6964 03141 0036 +092 //// 102064 065 045 006 01
044630 1805N 08747W 6967 03139 0045 +089 +089 103064 065 045 005 00
044700 1807N 08747W 6971 03138 0045 +088 +088 100061 064 044 006 00
044730 1808N 08746W 6963 03149 0049 +086 +085 099057 061 043 007 00
$$
;