ATL: HERMINE - Models

[SouthFLTropics]

Here we go with the HWRF...hour 90 and starting to crank.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

Here we go with the HWRF...hour 90 and starting to crank.

think the HWRF has been riding too many rollercoasters this summer, or likes the thrill of freaking people out that they will get slammed by a major

[SouthFLTropics]

Here we go with the HWRF...hour 90 and starting to crank.

think the HWRF has been riding too many rollercoasters this summer, or likes the thrill of freaking people out that they will get slammed by a major

Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't the HWRF do pretty well with Earl?

[stormhunter7]

Looks like HWRF found a ridge.... dun dun dunnnnn... going west it appears?

[paintplaye]

This storm may very well be the end to Florida's hurricane drought.

I'm still not convinced this hits Florida. GFS is out to sea, UKMET shifted north a few hundred miles and the CMC also shifted north a few hundred miles. It will be interesting to see what the Euro shows.

All models are hinting at pretty strong ridging developing over the Southeast United States. That is going to make it rather difficult to gain latitude. Key difference here between the two global models is the timing. Eventually that ridging will break down and that is what the GFS is hinting at in the long range.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

Here we go with the HWRF...hour 90 and starting to crank.

think the HWRF has been riding too many rollercoasters this summer, or likes the thrill of freaking people out that they will get slammed by a major

Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't the HWRF do pretty well with Earl?

i want to say yes, but dont quote me on it, speaking of earl, the development of 99 is reminding me of what 97 did and we saw what happened

[SouthFLTropics]

Well the last two runs of the HWRF have got me staring down the barrel of a loaded gun. Got it pointed right to my neck of the woods, a la Frances.

[Bocadude85]

Here we go with the HWRF...hour 90 and starting to crank.

think the HWRF has been riding too many rollercoasters this summer, or likes the thrill of freaking people out that they will get slammed by a major

Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't the HWRF do pretty well with Earl?

Yes it did fairly well...it did overhype the strength a few times but finally came around to the right idea.

[Hurricane Alexis]

According to the HWRF, it should be a TD in about 18 hours.

[AtlanticWind]

NAVGEM Takes a tropical storm thru the keys

[wflamholtz]

Just to be clear, the past two years the HWRF has been the second most accurate model in terms of intensity and track

[Aric Dunn]

According to the HWRF, it should be a TD in about 18 hours.

actually has it at TS in 15 hours

[Bocadude85]

108 hour HWRF has a decent cane and its southwest of the 18Z run

[rickybobby]

What are the chances of it hitting central Florida as oppose to south Florida?

[ronyan]

0z Euro initialized

[Bocadude85]

What are the chances of it hitting central Florida as oppose to south Florida?

Way to early to say where this may go...it has to actually develop first.

[SouthFLTropics]

What are the chances of it hitting central Florida as oppose to south Florida?

I'd say pretty good. Odds would be 50/50...if the models were to verify.

Shake and Bake!!!

[Aric Dunn]

deepening and turned straight west...

[Bocadude85]

HWRF has a major hurricane heading west at 120 hours

[centuryv58]

HWRF has a major hurricane heading west at 126 hours

It looks very mean!