ATL: HERMINE - Models

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

What are the chances of it hitting central Florida as oppose to south Florida?

I'd say pretty good. Odds would be 50/50...if the models were to verify.

Shake and Bake!!!

welp! in that case i should keep in contact with family i have in Lady Lake just in case

[SouthFLTropics]

HWRF has a major hurricane heading west at 120 hours

It won't go out far enough to show landfall but if I were to guess I'd say somewhere in Palm Beach County...West Palm to Jupiter.

[USTropics]

00z ECMWF initializing 99L with a bit of stronger vorticity this run:

[Bocadude85]

HWRF has a major hurricane heading west at 120 hours

It won't go out far enough to show landfall but if I were to guess I'd say somewhere in Palm Beach County...West Palm to Jupiter.

south of 26N at 126 hours still..if it went straight west that would put it into Northern Broward

[SouthFLTropics]

HWRF hour 126 looks to have a WNW heading. Hard to tell since it's the last frame. A major headed to the Florida east coast.

[Hammy]

Euro has a closed isobar in 24 hours.

[SFLcane]

Id like to think this is way way overdone.

[SouthFLTropics]

Id like to think this is way way overdone.

I would like to think that, but that's two in a row from the HWRF showing the same scenario. Let's see what the reigning champ has to say right now.

[CourierPR]

Isn't that 945 mb reading below 28 inches?

[Hammy]

48H Euro better organized and a few hundred miles north than earlier run.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

48H Euro better organized and a few hundred miles north than earlier run.

interesting since it actually lost a small amount of lattitude

[Aric Dunn]

72 hours .. its faster than the hwrf but track and strength very similar.

its about to run into that massive ridge though.. next image will likely be slow and turning west.

[SouthFLTropics]

Ridge is firmly in place at 72 hours on the Euro. Let's see if it starts cranking at 90 to 100 hours like the HWRF.

[SouthFLTropics]

Vort increasing at 96 hours...just like HWRF.

[Aric Dunn]

96 hrs.. deepening... no turn yet.. but given the mid level ridging. should turn on the next one right where the hwrf does..

[SFLcane]

Nope moving NW it seems

[SeGaBob]

Might be out to sea on this run...just a guess.

[Aric Dunn]

96 hour mid level ridging.. no way in hell that does not turn westerly.. wnw maybe.. thats a strong ridge.

[AtlanticWind]

Looks like Fiona weakness caught it, turning north

[LarryWx]

The 0Z Euro is hinting that it may come in quite a bit further north than the prior run.