ATL: HERMINE - Models

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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2021 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:05 pm

I guess we will know in 2 days which model is right when it comes to the Remnants of Fiona.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2022 Postby BobHarlem » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:06 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Is it further South this run at 48 than previous runs?


12z Thursday position is about 1 degree Latitude south of today's 0z run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2023 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:08 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2024 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:09 pm

Still stronger than last run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2025 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:10 pm

So far very similar to the last couple runs. was just a little more organized the first half the run this time and farther west.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2026 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:12 pm

Run to run trend at this point.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2027 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:14 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2028 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:15 pm

farther south this run???
Last edited by stormlover2013 on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2029 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:15 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:farther south this run


Correct. And the high pressure ridge is building on top. Looks to be moving WNW and getting stronger. Probably a TS.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2030 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:15 pm

again very similar to 00z.. stronger ridging though. west ward turn towards Sfl
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2031 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:15 pm

Moving westward again towards SFL
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2032 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:16 pm

Big ridge over Carolinas:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2033 Postby Alyono » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:17 pm

and the EC is quite a bit stronger this run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2034 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:17 pm

pressure probably sub 1000mb look at that ridging to the north.. no recurve.. lol

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2035 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 pm

This Euro run is very reminiscent of the past 3 HWRF runs prior to 12z today. It will be very interesting to see if the 18z HWRF jumps back onboard the development bandwagon like Aric is anticipating. I have to think that the 12z HWRF was having a bad run. Continuity between the Euro and it over the past three runs, aside from today's 12z, has been very good.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2036 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:19 pm

Down to 1002mb at 102hrs on the 12z EC...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2037 Postby NDG » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 pm

Sunday morning landfall in SE FL as a strong TS.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2038 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 pm

uh oh south florida here we come.....man o man
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2039 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 pm

Again nails SFL intensying ala Katrina
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2040 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:21 pm

Landfall in SFla at 120 hours
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