WPAC: NEPARTAK - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#261 Postby stormwise » Wed Jul 06, 2016 3:59 pm

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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#262 Postby alan1961 » Wed Jul 06, 2016 4:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:
alan1961 wrote:http://i.imgur.com/g4BYpDG.jpg

Coming into view on Taiwan radar :eek:


Do you have the link to radar?


This is the link i used cycloneye then just press the various sat images top left. :wink:
http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/observe/satel ... tm?type=0#
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#263 Postby stormwise » Wed Jul 06, 2016 4:38 pm

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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#264 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2016 4:47 pm

Here come the early morning visible shots.

Image

Image
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#265 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2016 5:21 pm

Not only does microwave show that eyewall replacement is basically complete, it also shows no dry air approaching from the Asian mainland. At this point, I think it is unlikely that any outside factors will weaken Nepartak until the downsloping begins when it is almost on top of Taiwan.

Image
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#266 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Jul 06, 2016 5:50 pm

Image

Oh boy, looks like it won't weaken before it reaches land.

Could this be Taiwan's 5th cat 5 landfall in recorded history...
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#267 Postby TexasBreeze » Wed Jul 06, 2016 5:59 pm

Complete eyewall....

Image
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#268 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:02 pm

Yeah, the eye and eyewall are very sharp on Taiwanese radar despite the range. The CDO is also once again defiantly cooling in the sunlight, with many gravity waves emanating outwards.

Image

Image
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#269 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:08 pm

mrbagyo wrote:[img]http://i.imgur.com/zYeskM4.jpg[img]

Oh boy, looks like it won't weaken before it reaches land.

Could this be Taiwan's 5th cat 5 landfall in recorded history...


That's a humongous buzzsaw roaring in the ocean...
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#270 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:22 pm

So when was the last time Taiwan got hit with such a strong Typhoon?
Nepartak has all of the warm ocean energy after such a long drought of storms in this area.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#271 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:33 pm

It's really tough for these super typhoons to not weaken a bit while approaching Taiwan. That downsloping air on the west side starts to do some work before landfall.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#272 Postby TheAustinMan » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:37 pm

NDG wrote:So when was the last time Taiwan got hit with such a strong Typhoon?
Nepartak has all of the warm ocean energy after such a long drought of storms in this area.


The last Category 5 hit (JTWC) was Billis 2000, with 1-minute sustained winds of 140kt and a pressure of 920mb. Strongest hit would be Joan 1959, with 1-min sustained winds of 160kt and a pressure of 900mb.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#273 Postby NotoSans » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:46 pm

That was a real quick ERC and eye is now WMG again. Latest imagery also shows CMG trying to surround the eye. Definitely not something good for Taiwan. :roll:

2016JUL06 231000 6.4 931.4 124.6 6.4 6.9 6.9 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 13.11 -77.33 EYE 12 IR 74.9 21.17 -124.41 COMBO HIM-8 31.1
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#274 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:47 pm

^^ We should take the intensities of sty winnie, joan and opal with some grain of salt as they all occur during the notorious 50s-60s era.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#275 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:56 pm

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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#276 Postby euro6208 » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:06 pm

That was a quick EWC. Well defined eye appearing and it's big...
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#277 Postby Hammy » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:35 pm

Is this moving as slowly as it looks? I"m not 100% clear on the geography here as far as distances.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#278 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:46 pm

Hammy wrote:Is this moving as slowly as it looks? I"m not 100% clear on the geography here as far as distances.


Both JTWC and JMA had Nepartak moving at 13 kt for their 21Z updates, so it's moving at about an average speed. I know personally I sometimes forget what a huge region southeast Asia is, so that could possibly be something that is throwing you off.
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#279 Postby euro6208 » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:57 pm

Closing in...

Image
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Re: WPAC: NEPARTAK - Typhoon (Is a SuperTyphoon)

#280 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:58 pm

DT numbers climbing back up. Well I didn't expect that this one will maintain its intensity (or even strengthen a bit more). I recall reading somewhere that a telling sign of La Nina is the area near East Asia becoming more favorable for TC development.. Also another sign is a stronger STR, which seems to be the case with this one. If the STR was weaker and broken down by the trough, Taiwan could have been spared.
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