ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[Alyono]

slightly north at hour 60

[AxaltaRacing24]

Here in S.W. Florida, todays forecast brings in land storms to west coast. Past several days storms stayed inland. The ridge seems to be strengthening?

Not a pro

Every day the storms move more and more west.

[sma10]

Good news that we will not have to wait long for initial verification. Starting at 2pm today, 12z GFS moves due north between 2pm and 2am tonight.

[fci]

Here in S.W. Florida, todays forecast brings in land storms to west coast. Past several days storms stayed inland. The ridge seems to be strengthening?

Not a pro

Every day the storms move more and more west.

What do you mean?

[HurricaneFrances04]

People get caught up in the 5+ day forecast, but even the 48-72 hour forecast as changed.

[SouthFLTropics]

A little faster through 72 but the ridge seems to be filling quicker as well. The feature south of Bermuda looks to have minimal impact so far.

[SFLcane]

About the same as 06z maybe a tad faster

[AutoPenalti]

Here in S.W. Florida, todays forecast brings in land storms to west coast. Past several days storms stayed inland. The ridge seems to be strengthening?

Not a pro

Every day the storms move more and more west.

What do you mean?

I think he means that storms begin to form inland instead of last week were it would form from inland and cause storms to the coast.

[SunnyThoughts]

Levi Cowan ‏@TropicalTidbits 32m32 minutes ago

Today's nowcasting benchmark is easy. When does #Matthew begin moving north of due west? GFS and ECMWF say right now.

[AutoPenalti]

Levi Cowan ‏@TropicalTidbits 32m32 minutes ago

Today's nowcasting benchmark is easy. When does #Matthew begin moving north of due west? GFS and ECMWF say right now.

Or in about 3 hours...

[PTrackerLA]

72 hour position on the 12z GFS is still a ways off from the 00z Euro and it doesn't have "Nicole" either. I'd expect this run to still get pretty far west in the Bahamas we shall see.

[toad strangler]

Here in S.W. Florida, todays forecast brings in land storms to west coast. Past several days storms stayed inland. The ridge seems to be strengthening?

Not a pro

The much talked about ridge in the Atlantic has nothing to do with the movement of daily FL peninsula wet season sea breeze thunderstorms.

[crimi481]

To me it means, the trough in the gulf may be weakening, allowing the ridge to nose in across south florida.

[gatorcane]

Turning NNW at 90 hours

[pgoss11]

It may be my eyes but seems to moving north at hr 90..no hint of a slight turn to the west

[AxaltaRacing24]

Here in S.W. Florida, todays forecast brings in land storms to west coast. Past several days storms stayed inland. The ridge seems to be strengthening?

Not a pro

The much talked about ridge in the Atlantic has nothing to do with the movement of daily FL peninsula wet season sea breeze thunderstorms.

It does have some effect though. There has been a stronger ridge the entire summer and storms have moved west the entire summer.

[NDG]

And the GFS keeps trending slightly more eastward, now watch the Euro start trending westward, it never fails.

[toad strangler]

It may be my eyes but seems to moving north at hr 90..no hint of a slight turn to the west

juuust W of due N

[OuterBanker]

In transit on way home stopping for lunch. JB is keeping it safely offshore siding with the European, but a little west of the European. Looks like the doomsday GFS from yesterday is off the table. Feeling much better today. Will keep a watchful eye of course, but feeling ok about the outcome.

[Alyono]

significant east shift in the Bahamas