ATL: MATTHEW - Recon

[NDG]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060831
AF307 2714A MATTHEW HDOB 22 20161006
082200 2408N 07713W 6963 02775 9549 +138 +135 005085 087 083 002 01
082230 2408N 07711W 6963 02728 9509 +142 //// 005073 085 080 006 05
082300 2407N 07709W 6975 02676 9452 +166 +139 004044 064 066 002 00
082330 2407N 07707W 6967 02667 9418 +184 +118 359015 030 037 001 03
082400 2408N 07705W 6965 02664 9411 +188 +110 118003 008 019 000 00
082430 2408N 07703W 6971 02656 9413 +186 +104 164016 018 022 000 00
082500 2408N 07701W 6964 02670 9432 +168 +115 169023 025 024 001 03
082530 2409N 07700W 6967 02669 9434 +172 +112 162030 033 032 000 00
082600 2410N 07658W 6968 02674 9443 +167 +128 155045 055 056 004 03
082630 2412N 07657W 6960 02698 9485 +149 +149 153092 114 099 014 00
082700 2413N 07655W 6999 02715 9607 +114 //// 145129 132 103 046 05
082730 2414N 07654W 6938 02818 9638 +112 //// 145120 131 090 026 01
082800 2416N 07653W 6984 02811 9678 +128 +128 147111 113 092 022 00
082830 2417N 07651W 6967 02858 9701 +127 //// 147106 108 089 007 01
082900 2418N 07650W 6970 02882 9741 +124 +124 145102 108 082 013 00
082930 2419N 07649W 6960 02911 9754 +123 +123 146098 101 081 012 00
083000 2421N 07647W 6970 02918 9768 +120 +120 144092 095 076 008 00
083030 2422N 07646W 6967 02938 9767 +124 +115 145088 091 074 003 00
083100 2423N 07645W 6967 02951 9784 +119 +115 145085 087 071 002 01
083130 2425N 07643W 6968 02958 //// +112 //// 146085 087 071 001 01
$$
;

[NDG]

URNT12 KNHC 060838
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142016
A. 06/08:24:00Z
B. 24 deg 08 min N
077 deg 05 min W
C. 700 mb 2622 m
D. 83 kt
E. 277 deg 8 nm
F. 003 deg 88 kt
G. 277 deg 8 nm
H. 945 mb
I. 14 C / 3045 m
J. 19 C / 3052 m
K. NA / NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 2714A MATTHEW OB 05
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 132 KT 060 / 10 NM 08:27:10Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 105 / 8 KT
;

[NDG]

URNT15 KNHC 060841
AF307 2714A MATTHEW HDOB 23 20161006
083200 2426N 07642W 6969 02968 9812 +118 +105 146083 084 070 002 00
083230 2427N 07640W 6967 02981 9836 +107 +104 146083 084 069 000 01
083300 2429N 07639W 6965 02992 //// +102 //// 146082 084 069 000 01
083330 2430N 07638W 6966 02998 //// +100 //// 146081 083 067 001 01
083400 2431N 07636W 6966 03006 //// +097 //// 147076 079 061 002 01
083430 2433N 07635W 6970 03005 9877 +102 //// 149076 077 062 005 01
083500 2434N 07633W 6967 03016 9890 +104 //// 149079 082 062 006 01
083530 2435N 07632W 6965 03023 9910 +107 +107 148080 083 061 014 03
083600 2437N 07631W 6959 03040 9921 +111 +111 152081 083 061 011 03
083630 2438N 07629W 6970 03031 9932 +106 +106 151078 082 061 009 00
083700 2439N 07628W 6967 03042 9929 +103 +103 147073 074 061 007 00
083730 2441N 07626W 6961 03052 9932 +111 +111 145075 077 060 007 00
083800 2442N 07625W 6974 03039 9937 +103 +103 148072 075 059 007 00
083830 2443N 07624W 6967 03052 9951 +102 +102 152069 071 060 007 03
083900 2445N 07622W 6967 03057 9957 +106 +106 146069 071 064 009 00
083930 2446N 07621W 6966 03061 9957 +108 +108 150071 073 063 009 03
084000 2447N 07619W 6968 03063 //// +081 //// 151076 077 /// /// 05
084030 2449N 07618W 6971 03064 //// +081 //// 145081 083 057 003 05
084100 2450N 07617W 6960 03081 9969 +099 //// 143072 082 056 004 01
084130 2451N 07615W 6972 03067 9972 +103 //// 146062 068 052 006 01
$$

[NDG]

000
URNT15 KNHC 061011
AF307 2714A MATTHEW HDOB 32 20161006
100200 2434N 07731W 6981 02938 9801 +125 //// 053069 072 063 010 01
100230 2432N 07729W 6978 02922 9788 +129 //// 056070 073 066 007 01
100300 2431N 07728W 6962 02929 //// +118 //// 054071 073 068 004 01
100330 2430N 07727W 6970 02902 9720 +131 +119 054078 079 073 003 01
100400 2429N 07726W 6968 02880 //// +128 //// 054083 087 074 002 01
100430 2428N 07725W 6964 02861 9679 +135 +122 051090 091 075 009 00
100500 2427N 07723W 6962 02829 9663 +128 //// 049091 092 080 005 01
100530 2426N 07722W 6965 02779 9584 +138 //// 047097 102 083 005 01
100600 2425N 07721W 6969 02719 9531 +141 //// 048082 091 096 016 05
100630 2424N 07720W 6954 02697 9470 +143 //// 048063 078 069 003 05
100700 2422N 07718W 7001 02624 9440 +163 +137 057026 050 051 002 03
100730 2421N 07717W 7029 02576 9417 +175 +128 054014 020 022 001 00
100800 2419N 07716W 6978 02636 9411 +172 +125 039005 012 019 000 00
100830 2418N 07715W 6966 02649 9398 +186 +114 252004 007 020 000 00
100900 2416N 07714W 6966 02648 9401 +180 +122 245017 024 025 001 03
100930 2415N 07712W 6971 02650 9429 +158 +135 242040 050 041 003 00
101000 2414N 07711W 6965 02676 9452 +151 +140 239066 073 050 003 03
101030 2413N 07709W 6963 02714 9510 +143 //// 234100 117 105 019 05
101100 2412N 07707W 6994 02738 9611 +137 +137 227114 118 108 017 00
101130 2411N 07705W 6966 02827 9676 +121 //// 219110 115 099 024 01
$$

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 6:11am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

G-IV is down for maintenance, so P-3 is trying to fill the gap as best as it can, but the P-3 can't fly as high as the G-IV.

The P-3 is currently up around 22,000 feet, the G-IV is usually up about 45,00 feet.

The G-IV turned around yesterday around 3:30pm EDT and ended the mission then early.



"The P3 will fly a synoptic surveillance mission around Matthew. These types of flights are usually performed by the G-IV. The jet is down for maintenance therefore the P3 will fly around Matthew. It will sample the atmospheric environment ahead of Matthew. NOAA43 will take off around 1:30 AM (0530 UTC) from MacDill Air Force Base in Tampa, FL. Below is the proposed flight track. The dots indicate where the P3 will launch dropwindsondes."

NOAA HRD Blog:
https://noaahrd.wordpress.com/

It means the P-3 can't do its own missions until the G-IV is back, unless the Air Force does some sampling too.

Globak Hawk will depart from Edwards AFB in California at 10pm EDT tonight for another mission around Matthew.

"Global Hawk: Is scheduled to fly a mission over Matthew. Take off is scheduled for 0200 UTC (10:00PM Eastern) from NASA's Armstrong Research Flight Facility, Edwards, CA."

[Chris_in_Tampa]

944mb, 1 knot of surface wind

URNT12 KNHC 061023
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142016
A. 06/10:08:20Z
B. 24 deg 19 min N
077 deg 15 min W
C. 700 mb 2610 m
D. 83 kt
E. 318 deg 10 nm
F. 047 deg 102 kt
G. 318 deg 10 nm
H. 944 mb
I. 13 C / 3055 m
J. 18 C / 3048 m
K. NA / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 2714A MATTHEW OB 10
MAX FL WIND 132 KT 103 / 18 NM 08:27:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 118 KT 126 / 9 NM 10:10:50Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 225 / 1 KT

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 6:41am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 7:21am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

NE Quadrant:

SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind....

11:15:00Z: 86 knots (99.0 mph)
11:15:30Z: 97 knots (111.6 mph)
11:16:00Z: 98 knots (112.8 mph)
11:16:30Z: 106 knots* (122.0 mph*) ... Suspect
11:17:00Z: Missing ... Where 121 kt 30s avg, 123 kt 10s avg at flight level occurred
11:17:30Z: Missing
11:18:00Z: 128 knots* (147.3 mph*) ... Suspect
11:18:30Z: 46 knots* (52.9 mph*) ... Suspect
11:19:00Z: 34 knots (39.1 mph)
11:19:30Z: 27 knots (31.1 mph)
11:20:00Z: 23 knots (26.5 mph) ... 938.2 mb (27.71 inHg) Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure

Highest Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 121 knots (139.2 mph)
Highest Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 123 knots (141.5 mph)

[Chris_in_Tampa]

7:24am EDT splash by sonde:

941mb, 9 knots of surface wind

UZNT13 KNHC 061134
XXAA 56117 99245 70774 08047 99941 28017 12009 00/// ///// /////
92156 26814 13009 85903 23425 14014 70589 17050 04005 88999 77999
31313 09608 81120
61616 AF307 2714A MATTHEW OB 18
62626 CENTER MBL WND 13010 AEV 33236 DLM WND 13007 941696 WL150 1
2509 080 REL 2451N07737W 112011 SPG 2452N07737W 112415 =
XXBB 56118 99245 70774 08047 00941 28017 11850 23425 22774 21456
33696 16447
21212 00941 12009 11850 14014 22828 13014 33811 14511 44696 03507
31313 09608 81120
61616 AF307 2714A MATTHEW OB 18
62626 CENTER MBL WND 13010 AEV 33236 DLM WND 13007 941696 WL150 1
2509 080 REL 2451N07737W 112011 SPG 2452N07737W 112415 =

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Where suspect SFMR was:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT12 KNHC 061155
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142016
A. 06/11:20:00Z
B. 24 deg 31 min N
077 deg 21 min W
C. 700 mb 2584 m
D. 128 kt
E. 060 deg 6 nm
F. 138 deg 123 kt
G. 056 deg 9 nm
H. 941 mb
I. 12 C / 3043 m
J. 18 C / 3044 m
K. NA / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 2714A MATTHEW OB 16
MAX FL WIND 123 KT 056 / 9 NM 11:17:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 120 / 9 KT

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Storm slice, from NE quadrant to shorter time in SW quadrant.



Observations from slice, mapped:


Plane started in NE quadrant, went through the eye, and then into the SW quadrant.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 8:11am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 8:21am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

SE Quadrant:

Lowest Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure: 937.1 mb (27.68 inHg)
Highest Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 114 knots (131.2 mph)
Highest Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 117 knots (134.6 mph)
Highest SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 109 knots (125.4 mph)

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through 8:31am EDT:

[Chris_in_Tampa]