ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6141 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:59 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6142 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:00 pm

4 run 12z trend

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6143 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:01 pm

tolakram wrote:Image
thats much more than a thumb ridge..goodness
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6144 Postby LarryWx » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:02 pm

tolakram wrote:Image


Warning. This 12Z Euro 24 hr position (8 AM Wed. is only barely N of E Cuba!! I see almost no way that will verify! Implication for this run?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6145 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:02 pm

tolakram wrote:4 run 12z trend

http://i.imgur.com/RsMcW7q.gif


Wow it is trending more S or SW ever single run at 24 hours :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6146 Postby Alyono » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:03 pm

looks like a significant west shift from the EC. At 42 hours, it's approaching SOUTHERN Andros Island
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6147 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:03 pm

woww ridge is stronger
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6148 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:03 pm

Looks like a HUGE shift west on the Euro.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6149 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:03 pm

Oh no!!! More south than the GFS heading WNW towards Andros! :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6150 Postby otowntiger » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

tolakram wrote:4 run 12z trend

Image

Is that showing the latest track much further south? Just barely clear of the northern Cuba coast? That would seem significant to track and intensity. With it being that close to Cuba won't it restrict re-intensification? Hopefully?
Last edited by otowntiger on Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6151 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

Wow, don't like that the 12z Euro looks to keep trending westward.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6152 Postby chris_fit » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

48hrz :eek:

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6153 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

Going to be a super close call with Florida if not landfall next frame.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6154 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

Umm... that didn't initialize right.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6155 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:04 pm

Oh boy...Euro SW at 48 hours!!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6156 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:05 pm

shoot.

Looks like it will be GOM bound at this rate it keeps shifting!!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6157 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:05 pm

Euro with slightly more ridging than the GFS at 48 hours too...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6158 Postby chris_fit » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:05 pm

Euro QUITE a bit slower/south/west at 48 hrs
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6159 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:05 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6160 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 2:05 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Umm... that didn't initialize right.


Why are you saying this? It was 12z initialization and had it right over the Tiburon Peninsula. Looks right on the money to me.
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