ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[OntarioEggplant]

Hm. I hate to say this, but this looks like another spurious weakness the GFS has enjoyed creating. That massive Ridge over the Plains looks like it should be progressing east more.

[tolakram]

[TimeZone]

Go home GFS, you're drunk.

[Evil Jeremy]

I give up. This storm doesn't make sense. I expect it to be raining cats and dogs in the morning at this rate.

[WHYB630]

I guess this is what happened in NHC now


btw....911mb @234

[Hurricaneman]

Go home GFS, you're drunk.

actually looking at the synoptics this is a perfectly plausible solution

[sma10]

The guys over at nhc HAVE to be loving that run.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Now looking at the full loop you were kind enough to provide. No way that happens can't even dream a run like that, no way.

[tolakram]

Finally I think our long nightmare is over.

[SunnyThoughts]

I guess this is what happened in NHC now


btw....911mb @234

LOL Matthew is a troll I tell ya, a straight up troll

[Raebie]

I guess we can be thankful it only goes to 384 hours.

You.are.killing.me.

[tolakram]

Now looking at the full loop you were kind enough to provide. No way that happens can't even dream a run like that, no way.

Yea, I don't think so either but a single loop back is more probable. Who knows, some very odd storms have happened in long past years that seem improbable.

[OntarioEggplant]

Finally I think our long nightmare is over.

Until the Euro at least. Based on what the UKMET has shown and the 12Z run, I would not be surprised if it has it crossing into the Gulf. Weaker granted, though maybe not as weak as 12Z, but that seems to fit the general consistency of all models. GFS has had a bias towards out to sea.

[sma10]

Can't wait to see what a hot mess the spaghetti plots look like with ensembles.

[WHYB630]

t@264 OTS finally

But HEY, it is 264hrs and this is MATTHEW, you never know

[Steve]

Now looking at the full loop you were kind enough to provide. No way that happens can't even dream a run like that, no way.

Maybe or maybe not. Systems rotate around the atmosphere all the time in the North Atlantic. They don't so much in the temperate and tropical Atlantic, but Betsy, Diana, Ivan (though that was continrntal) and others have done it out there. More will in the future.

[ronyan]

LOL quite large into Nova Scotia.

[tolakram]

[SunnyThoughts]

hour 288 939 mb wayyyy up as far North and East as it can go.

[Vdogg]

I think Nicole is confusing the models, they don't seem to know how to handle it. The loop de loops only showed up when Nicole was fully developed. Nicole is already dissipating, it'll be interesting to see what the solution is once it's dead.