ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[maxx9512]

A lot of clouds and rain to the southeast/south of the center and it looks like a lot of Fl. is going to get a lot of rain from this. It's got to be a few hundred miles long right now. For a lot of places this is the last thing they need is more rain.

[tropicwatch]

I don't think there will be any problem following the coc with radar wants it gets in range

[TheStormExpert]

Should be a 60kt TS @11am advisory.

[artist]

Do be aware there is a marginal risk of tornadoes for Tampa so watch for any serious cells coming in and you are welcome.


Take care everyone within her path.

Artist- that's awesome- thank you

Craig

[bg1]

Alright, lets go back, to doing our first vortex guess!

I will go with 989mb and 61kt SFMRs, with a peak FL wind of 60kt for the first VORTEX. Anyone else?

988/64

[Emmett_Brown]

Certainly is looking more symmetrical now. Banding beginning to encircle the center on Vis.

[Aric Dunn]

985. 65kt my guess

[TheStormExpert]

Starting to wrap up on all sides now looking at latest visible.

[tarheelprogrammer]

I am going with 986mb and 70 knots

[ronjon]

Offshore buoy at 26N-83W or about 30 miles SW of Sarasota showing sustained winds of 30 mph and gusts to 40 mph as of an hour ago. need to convert m/s to mph.

http://comps.marine.usf.edu/index?view=minigraphs&id=C13&time=24h

[Fishing]

I am in Mount Pleasant SC. (Charleston County). Looks like a big rain maker for us. SCEMD hasn't been activated as of yet. I have a daughter (actually 2) one from here and one from Charlotte driving to NC for a Labor Day vacation so I'm watching closely for them because they both know they're Mom is a weather nerd. Clear back to the AOL hurricane history boards.
Hugo '1989 we will never forget.
All those in Hermines (forever99) path be safe!
Appreciate this board and will contribute $ soon.

[Aric Dunn]

991mb

[artist]

143430 2716N 08602W 8431 01423 9915 +193 +188 202007 010 020 000 03
latest recon obs 9 down to 991.5

[FLLurker32]

Here is the link to the NWS Briefing Situation Overview for Hermine: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

In reading this I'm actually really surprised they canceled the tropical storm watch for Marion county. If the track shifts at all within the cone, it can make a real difference in what we get. Not a complaint, just an observation.

[deltadog03]

Recon punched the center on its first pass...I would say around 27.2N and 86.1W...or there about.

[deltadog03]

991mb

I think its has moved a good amount and generally northward since last recon

[CopyGator]

Will be updating from SW Gainesville. Based on the latest JAX NWS briefing we're supposed to have 40-50mph sustained for 7-10 hrs, with onset about midnight. IF the track doesn't shift S or E

[jdjaguar]

143430 2716N 08602W 8431 01423 9915 +193 +188 202007 010 020 000 03
latest recon obs 8 down to 991.5

do you have a direct link to the recon data?

I am quite interested in tracking the pressure readings in "real-time" if its available to the public.

Thanks in advance

[birddogsc]

I am in Mount Pleasant SC. (Charleston County). Looks like a big rain maker for us. SCEMD hasn't been activated as of yet.

I'm a little surprised by this as well. Schools are starting discussions in the center of the state about early release.

[robbielyn]

991mb

I think its has moved a good amount and generally northward since last recon

Looking at visible, it is quite clear the eye is headed northerly towards pcb area.