ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[BRweather]

recon showing its just paralleling the coast right now very slowly.

I think you are looking at AF307

I am watching mission 14 or AF304 data

watching 304

not sure where you saw the paralleling coast. Some data really lagged in earlier but they just went through center

[tolakram]

Looks like the surf is over the wall now at Ceder Key.

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

Unfortunately the camera just quit.

[Aric Dunn]

Cloud tops are warming on the IR satellite. Anyone think Hermine may have peaked?

Probably has peaked, though the eye has really contracted. I'm expecting some deeper convection to likely fire off close and north and east of center soon. 'Course, if that occurs then this will work itself around and probably impact right a eyewall landfall. Little nuances like this though are what might well carry some higher gusts right at that time, and impacting those unlucky ones right at that point of the eyewall crossing over them

not sure about the peak. the eyewall is finally fully closed with deeper convection contracting around it... IR sat has a lag of course from radar. have to wait and see.

[JtSmarts]

http://www.wtxl.com/ is live streaming at the moment.

[chaser1]

uh oh.... Ceder Key Live tide cam now off line (edit: sorry, just went back online but is seemingly having issues)

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like the surf is over the wall now at Ceder Key.

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

Unfortunately the camera just quit.

its back

[JaxGator]

Cloud tops are warming on the IR satellite. Anyone think Hermine may have peaked?

Probably has peaked, though the eye has really contracted. I'm expecting some deeper convection to likely fire off close and north and east of center soon. 'Course, if that occurs then this will work itself around and probably impact right a eyewall landfall. Little nuances like this though are what might well carry some higher gusts right at that time, and impacting those unlucky ones right at that point of the eyewall crossing over them

More convection has fired up on the NE eyewall already but the eyewall in general is holding steady.

[BRweather]

013100 2922N 08433W 8429 01372 9853 +198 +194 359003 004 012 002 03
013130 2920N 08432W 8433 01366 9849 +204 +189 287006 007 011 002 00
013200 2918N 08432W 8425 01376 9849 +209 +181 276011 013 007 001 03
013230 2917N 08433W 8424 01378 9850 +208 +172 284016 018 012 001 03
013300 2916N 08434W 8432 01370 9851 +214 +158 288021 024 016 001 00

Hermine may have peaked

24 kt winds... they missed the actual center . they had to turn south since the center was farther south then they thought.

I see 7 knots -- 984.9 mb @ center

[Lannes]

Looks like the surf is over the wall now at Ceder Key.

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html

Unfortunately the camera just quit.

Back up.

[Aric Dunn]

013100 2922N 08433W 8429 01372 9853 +198 +194 359003 004 012 002 03
013130 2920N 08432W 8433 01366 9849 +204 +189 287006 007 011 002 00
013200 2918N 08432W 8425 01376 9849 +209 +181 276011 013 007 001 03
013230 2917N 08433W 8424 01378 9850 +208 +172 284016 018 012 001 03
013300 2916N 08434W 8432 01370 9851 +214 +158 288021 024 016 001 00

Hermine may have peaked

24 kt winds... they missed the actual center . they had to turn south since the center was farther south then they thought.

I see 7 knots -- 984.9 mb @ center

haha i missed that.. lol

[tolakram]

[Alyono]

Just went through the eye. The intensification seems to have ended

[tolakram]

[Aric Dunn]

cedar key finally out of that heavy band but the "outer" inner core is not far away..

[tolakram]

012330 2941N 08420W 8430 01426 //// +178 //// 140044 048 044 003 01
012400 2940N 08421W 8436 01419 9923 +182 +173 137042 043 043 002 00
012430 2939N 08422W 8424 01427 9919 +184 +170 135041 042 036 002 00
012500 2938N 08423W 8433 01413 9916 +180 +174 134043 044 034 002 01
012530 2937N 08425W 8433 01406 //// +183 //// 134042 044 033 002 01
012600 2935N 08426W 8426 01408 //// +186 //// 129038 040 033 001 01
012630 2934N 08427W 8432 01401 9890 +190 +188 129037 037 032 002 05
012700 2933N 08429W 8428 01398 //// +186 //// 129033 037 030 001 01
012730 2932N 08430W 8432 01392 9882 +191 +186 129027 030 028 002 00
012800 2931N 08431W 8424 01392 9879 +189 +188 121025 027 028 000 01
012830 2929N 08433W 8434 01385 9872 +192 //// 112020 023 026 000 01
012900 2928N 08434W 8427 01382 //// +192 //// 100016 019 015 002 01
012930 2926N 08434W 8429 01378 //// +190 //// 080011 014 015 001 01
013000 2925N 08434W 8434 01368 //// +192 //// 076009 010 011 003 01
013030 2923N 08434W 8424 01378 9853 +200 +194 068005 009 012 002 00
013100 2922N 08433W 8429 01372 9853 +198 +194 359003 004 012 002 03
013130 2920N 08432W 8433 01366 9849 +204 +189 287006 007 011 002 00
013200 2918N 08432W 8425 01376 9849 +209 +181 276011 013 007 001 03
013230 2917N 08433W 8424 01378 9850 +208 +172 284016 018 012 001 03
013300 2916N 08434W 8432 01370 9851 +214 +158 288021 024 016 001 00

[BRweather]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

[MetroMike]

17,000 + customers without power currently in Pinellas County alone according to Duke energy. I expect that number to go up overnight.

[BRweather]

Also another slight wobble back to the North. Landfall imminent

[N2FSU]

Power out here in Tallahassee. Wind gust was probably only 35-40.

[JKingTampa]

17,000 + customers without power currently in Pinellas County alone according to Duke energy. I expect that number to go up overnight.

Power went out over here at 54th ave N but came back on....for now.