ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[JaxGator]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

It looks good to me. Jax radar (rather Southeast radar) shows a rather healthy eyewall, which isn't good.

[chaser1]

Looking at Nasa satellite site and on channel 3 enchancement, the eye appears like a pin hole!

[birddogsc]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

It looks good to me. Jax radar (rather Southeast radar) shows a rather healthy eyewall, which isn't good.

Yeah... the south side has closed up in the last little bit.

[tolakram]

013330 2914N 08435W 8432 01374 9855 +211 +156 288024 025 018 000 00
013400 2913N 08436W 8431 01377 9861 +206 +162 285026 027 020 001 00
013430 2912N 08438W 8428 01383 9865 +199 +186 289030 032 023 002 00
013500 2911N 08439W 8425 01389 9869 +199 +191 293033 033 028 003 00
013530 2910N 08440W 8427 01393 9878 +194 +191 298035 038 042 003 00
013600 2909N 08441W 8433 01392 9890 +189 +188 303044 046 047 005 00
013630 2908N 08443W 8433 01397 9911 +185 +185 303048 050 049 014 03
013700 2907N 08444W 8433 01403 9918 +186 +186 300052 054 051 020 00
013730 2906N 08445W 8428 01415 9926 +187 +187 301057 058 049 016 03
013800 2905N 08446W 8426 01426 9933 +186 +186 306058 059 049 015 00
013830 2904N 08448W 8429 01430 9943 +179 //// 303058 059 049 006 01
013900 2903N 08449W 8429 01437 9951 +174 //// 298057 058 048 006 01
013930 2903N 08450W 8433 01440 9951 +173 //// 298056 057 047 005 01
014000 2902N 08451W 8428 01450 //// +171 //// 300053 055 048 002 01
014030 2901N 08452W 8429 01454 //// +169 //// 300051 052 048 003 01
014100 2900N 08454W 8426 01462 //// +170 //// 299049 050 044 001 01
014130 2859N 08455W 8428 01464 9983 +166 //// 296047 048 043 003 01
014200 2858N 08456W 8429 01468 9990 +171 +171 296048 048 042 006 00
014230 2857N 08457W 8429 01471 9998 +169 //// 301050 051 043 008 01
014300 2856N 08459W 8435 01470 0001 +172 +172 296048 049 044 006 03

[LarryWx]

Here in SAV, I'm just getting the first outer squalls related to Hermine with some thunder/lightning, very gusty winds, and torrential rains.

[SeGaBob]

Here in SAV, I'm just getting the first outer squalls related to Hermine with some thunder/lightning, very gusty winds, and torrential rains.

Same here

[BRweather]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

It looks good to me. Jax radar (rather Southeast radar) shows a rather healthy eyewall, which isn't good.

use Tallahassee radar. Always try and use closest radar. You can see the west side does not look as good.

[mahicks]

Weather here is Tallahassee is starting to deteriorate . It has been raining that "tropical mist" all day but no real showers other than the first band earlier in the afternoon. Now the rain is starting to pick up and the wind is starting. Been watching all these beautiful huge trees all around my house start to sway! We have about 9K customers on Tallahassee power down right now looking at the live updates from the website. Most are in the North East (KIllearn Areas.)

[BRweather]

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=TLH&loop=yes

Rainfall will not be the issue. Nothing crazy.

[Aric Dunn]

contracting even further.. its going to make a last ditched effort to strengthen .. eyewall convection really starting to deepen on radar IR sat will show it soon.

[MrStormX]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

It was never very robust eyewall in the first place, imo. Very impressive for a Category 1 hurricane though.

[SunnyThoughts]

http://hurricanetrack.com/cam2.html So while we are watching this live cam , what is the business all lit up still with power? Is it a restaurant I'm assuming?

[ConvergenceZone]

Yea, it didn't intensify near as much as I thought it would in the last couple of hours, but that of course is a good thing. Might be able to squeeze another 5 mph out of it before it comes ashore in the next couple of hours.........

[psyclone]

The big band slowly creeping toward the nature coast/tampa bay is taking it's time getting...meaning when it does it's gonna stay awhile. our winds outside of rain are stronger than they were during that last big band so this could get ugly. Blue flash potential with power outages are likely coming from Citrus to Pinellas if this holds together and eases on in. throw in some extreme rainfall rates too.

[chaser1]

Here in SAV, I'm just getting the first outer squalls related to Hermine with some thunder/lightning, very gusty winds, and torrential rains.

Larry, you closed to the coast?

[JaxGator]

"eye" wall is very ragged on radar.

Intensification has ended in my opinion. Made an impressive run.

It looks good to me. Jax radar (rather Southeast radar) shows a rather healthy eyewall, which isn't good.

use Tallahassee radar. Always try and use closest radar. You can see the west side does not look as good.

Looks the same. Imo.

[tolakram]

... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Friday evening...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Florida and Georgia... including the following
areas... in Florida... Calhoun... coastal Bay... coastal Dixie...
coastal Franklin... coastal Gulf... coastal Jefferson... coastal
Taylor... coastal Wakulla... Gadsden... inland Bay... inland
Dixie... inland Franklin... inland Gulf... inland Jefferson...
inland Taylor... inland Wakulla... Lafayette... Leon... Liberty
and Madison. In Georgia... Ben Hill... Berrien... Brooks...
Colquitt... Cook... Decatur... Grady... Irwin... Lanier... Lowndes...
Mitchell... Thomas... Tift... Turner and Worth.

* Through Friday evening

* periods of heavy rain are likely tonight through early Friday.
Widespread rain amounts of 4 to 8 inches are expected... with
isolated amounts up to 10 to 15 inches possible.


Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Monitor forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash
flood warnings be issued or rising water is observed. Park
vehicles on higher ground ahead of time... and take action now to
prepare vulnerable buildings against flooding.



Fournier

[BRweather]

I am fairly confident intensification has stopped.

Went through Issac and the same thing happened in regards to intensification up until landfall.

Edit: Just an opinion

[tolakram]

Radar Est. rainfall totals so far.

[Zarniwoop]

Having gone through Hurricane Ike in 2008, all I can say is that I feel really good that I'm not in the path of that.

There were people showering at work for 3 weeks after Ike.