ATL: TEN - Models

[forecasterjack]

ECMWF 0Z Wave model is pumping out some serious surf from 92L (or whatever it becomes) next week. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/79 ... 1200z.html

[forecasterjack]

Develops it into a heck of a subtropical hybrid something or other https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/79 ... 1200z.html

[ronjon]

12z 3 km NAM goes gonzo with development NE of JAX with sub 980 mb cyclone.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km&region=seus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017082612&fh=3&xpos=0&ypos=0

[Langinbang187]

Damn was really hoping we could get some of this here in Nova Scotia. Unfortunate but used to missing out.

[Sciencerocks]

Gfs 12z develops this and moves it up close to the coast SC 48 hours https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=315

About takes it inland over Hatteras by 72 hours
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=210

[Blinhart]

So could become a Superstorm or something?

[Langinbang187]

So could become a Superstorm or something?

Some models are showing something along those lines. Shame it looks like it'll pass to my E. I love these hybrid type systems.

[forecasterjack]

ECMWF PWAT data shows a bit of a hybrid structure. Definitely looks baroclinic/mid latitude with TROWAL, WCB, DCB etc: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/60 ... 0600z.html

I wouldn't expect anything less with a 300mb jet structure like this: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/60 ... 0600z.html

[xironman]

Luckily the H5 low in the midwest is still in summertime mode

[forecasterjack]

ECMWF shows baroclinic/subtropical wind field distribution for 92L as it passes near OBX. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/73 ... 2100z.html

[forecasterjack]

If that UL over the GLakes was any stronger, New England would be getting a heck of a storm from 92L https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/79 ... 2100z.html

[capepoint]

NHC impresseed enough now to give it red, possible watches later today for the Carolinas.