ATL: JOSE - Post Tropical - Discussion

[EyELeSs1]

I wonder - will they be able to evacuate all the islands devastated? There is probably no safe place on them for places hit twice in a week by major hurricanes.

We are trying to have everyone evacuated from Barbuda to Antigua before Jose arrives... Truly such a sad situation.

[BlowHard]

Vieques dodged a bullet but we have no power. Asking those with access on island to post handwritten weather reports in regards to Jose. I can't even imagine what is happening on the other islands. It's heartbreaking.

[Sciencerocks]

The last 4-5 images seems to suggest a turn to due west.

[1900hurricane]

Whew. Instantaneous DT of 6.5.

[AubreyStorm]

Hmmm! Weird! 36-48 hours West? It’s very close to Leeward Islands and PR.

Whew. Instantaneous DT of 6.5.

[bob rulz]

Is there a HH flight scheduled for Jose? Surprised the latest NHC discussion didn't mention anything.

I can imagine their resources are very tied up, but since this IS a threat to land I'm sure they'll get some planes out there, right?

[RL3AO]

Is there a HH flight scheduled for Jose? Surprised the latest NHC discussion didn't mention anything.

I can imagine their resources are very tied up, but since this IS a threat to land I'm sure they'll get some planes out there, right?

A flight tomorrow.

[Ptarmigan]

I hope Jose stays far away from land.

[EquusStorm]

The latest NHC advisory peaks at 125mph instead of taking it to category four as previously indicated, but I still think it could do that in the next 24 hours before it runs into less favorable conditions. If we had recon I'd say it might be at that threshold right now, but that resource is kind of stretched really thin right now, so...

[Bizzles]

I wonder - will they be able to evacuate all the islands devastated? There is probably no safe place on them for places hit twice in a week by major hurricanes.

We are trying to have everyone evacuated from Barbuda to Antigua before Jose arrives... Truly such a sad situation.

Glad to hear they have a chance to get out. What a nightmare for those ppl.

[northjaxpro]

My heart absolutely aches for the people in Barbuda. God speed!!! My prayers are with them and the thought of another monster approaching them... I just do not want to imagine this.

[SuperMarioBros99thx]

I think how dangerous Jose would be when it's gonna do Jeanne 2.0, this is one that is needed: Positions on Irma and that extratropical cyclone developing near Atlantic Canada, and also that high pressure area where Jose's path would depend on. If it lands on perfect position (the Irma is hitting Miami then hit SC, extratropical cyclone a bit southeast), then HPA would become a Bermuda high and makes Jose a threat of Miami once more, probably even whole Florida. If Irma is bit west and that extratropical, then HPA won't be Bermuda high and Jose would be hit by a through, making it an dangerous Mid-Atlantic storm, in similar pretense to Sandy. If Irma is more west than it should then make Jose a good (!) storm, but still a threat for Atlantic Canada. If that Extratropical storm is more northeast than it should, it would also make Jose a good storm, completely away from the land (plus steering currents won't collapse at all).

[AubreyStorm]

This is insane, last 3 frames completely 270!

[moupli]

that thing is front of guadeloupe...my island..it is going due west.............OMG

[Extratropical94]

Wow, Jose has higher SFMR readings than Irma right now (although flagged).

Pressure is also down to the low 940s. Jose is insane.

[Extratropical94]

12L JOSE 170908 1200 16.1N 56.4W ATL 110 942

[Alyono]

ummm.... recon saying cat 5

[Alyono]

115030 1556N 05626W 6971 02919 9800 +088 +081 290088 089 088 010 00
115100 1557N 05625W 6965 02876 9749 +083 +082 285098 101 094 011 00
115130 1559N 05624W 6978 02798 9673 +081 //// 279106 109 101 024 05
115200 1601N 05623W 6964 02733 9572 +100 +087 273092 110 113 034 03
115230 1602N 05623W 6961 02691 9465 +154 +092 273047 075 070 001 03
115300 1604N 05623W 6965 02659 9412 +184 +092 270019 033 046 001 00
115330 1606N 05623W 6966 02647 9413 +171 +093 243004 014 029 001 00
115400 1608N 05623W 6962 02650 9422 +159 +098 079008 013 025 000 00
115430 1609N 05624W 6974 02640 9420 +164 +104 065018 020 024 000 03
120500 1609N 05627W 6974 02631 9396 +181 +081 073012 013 027 000 00
120530 1611N 05626W 6966 02636 9399 +176 +082 109019 023 025 001 03
120600 1612N 05624W 6963 02642 9384 +197 +061 133032 036 033 000 03
120630 1613N 05623W 6961 02662 9412 +182 +087 139050 058 057 003 00
120700 1614N 05622W 6966 02680 9452 +166 +102 134075 086 084 004 03
120730 1615N 05620W 6977 02713 9534 +136 +127 138114 134 149 012 03
120800 1616N 05619W 6994 02773 9674 +101 //// 136140 146 148 017 05
120830 1617N 05618W 6953 02871 9741 +098 //// 133129 132 /// /// 05
120900 1618N 05617W 6958 02910 9784 +105 //// 134126 128 116 030 01
120930 1619N 05616W 6959 02946 9831 +110 +110 133125 127 111 024 00
121000 1620N 05615W 6978 02958 9873 +101 +101 129119 127 098 033 00
121030 1621N 05614W 6961 03001 9894 +096 +096 129113 118 097 012 00
121100 1622N 05613W 6963 03017 9914 +095 +095 135110 112 088 012 00
121130 1623N 05612W 6971 03028 9951 +100 +100 133103 108 082 016 00
121200 1624N 05611W 6959 03057 9978 +088 +088 130096 099 079 017 00
121230 1625N 05610W 6960 03068 9995 +088 +088 133098 100 073 020 03
121300 1626N 05609W 6987 03054 0011 +091 +091 130096 099 072 019 00
121330 1627N 05607W 6973 03082 0020 +086 +086 126088 095 068 013 03
121400 1628N 05606W 6973 03089 0030 +078 +078 125081 084 064 011 03
121430 1629N 05605W 6961 03113 0038 +080 +080 128083 086 059 010 00
121500 1630N 05604W 6970 03111 0046 +074 +074 131080 083 060 011 00
121530 1631N 05603W 6967 03119 0049 +073 +073 131079 081 061 013 03
121600 1632N 05602W 6967 03122 0061 +080 +080 133080 081 055 017 03

[Extratropical94]

ummm.... recon saying cat 5

Maybe, I'd go with 125-130 given the high SFMRs are all flagged.

[RL3AO]

130 kt seems good. Quite remarkable in the Atlantic right now.