NDG wrote:tolakram wrote:Both the GFS and the UKMET have maria strengthening in 18 to 24 hours before weakening again. Hard to imagine those will be correct but maybe shear drops off temporarily?
Yeah, maybe a slight drop in shear, forecasts the trough over the coast SE US to retrograde westward towards the central gulf coast/GOM over the next few days.
If that were to happen wouldn't that put eastern NC back in play? CMC looks to have a hp building in the area where Jose is now. Is this what Euro ensembles that show landfall sees?