ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#221 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:47 pm

Major hurricane for Puerto Rico as shown by NHC track:

Image
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#222 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:49 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ouch now NHC is forecasting 120 knots. Hope Leewards and Puerto Rico are preparing.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents

NHC hits Puerto Rico on the current track. Hopefully it will adjust 100 miles one way or the other before Thursday.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#223 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:49 pm

likely to be a hurricane by morning ( or earlier ) and then just start dropping ...
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#224 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:50 pm

Steve wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Ouch now NHC is forecasting 120 knots. Hope Leewards and Puerto Rico are preparing.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents

NHC hits Puerto Rico on the current track. Hopefully it will adjust 100 miles one way or the other before Thursday.


not likely that far with this setup... the next 72 hours are very straightforward.

the onyl way it misses would be to the south if the ridge keeps it west longer. going north is very low at this point..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#225 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:52 pm

This is most depressing for the BVI and USVI. Add in a hit to Puerto Rico and the people who left those islands to PR for rescue and this is a nightmare. God help those poor people with this track.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#226 Postby bob rulz » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:53 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ouch now NHC is forecasting 120 knots. Hope Leewards and Puerto Rico are preparing.


It's forecasting 120mph, not 120 knots.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#227 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:55 pm

Oh I know. I'm just hoping. Looks bad for the USVI as well as they'd get smashed. I think they fared only a little better then the BVI, but they still got a devastating hit from Irma. Bad news for them.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#228 Postby Patrick99 » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:57 pm

gatorcane wrote:Major hurricane for Puerto Rico as shown by NHC track:

Image


Do not like this 5pm one bit.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#229 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:59 pm

Steve wrote:Oh I know. I'm just hoping. Looks bad for the USVI as well as they'd get smashed. I think they fared only a little better then the BVI, but they still got a devastating hit from Irma. Bad news for them.


St John took a major whack and St Thomas isn't doing well. Another hit and we're going to have a major humanitarian crisis there.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#230 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:59 pm

its kind of similar to Luis and Marilyn in 95 in terms of tracks and back to back major hurricanes. one was NE islands ( irma) this farther west more PR>
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#231 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:00 pm

Patrick99 wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Major hurricane for Puerto Rico as shown by NHC track:



Do not like this 5pm one bit.


Don't look at the Canadian model then. It doesn't spread any sunshine either.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#232 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:01 pm

NHC is working FIVE at once?
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#233 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:03 pm

I wanted to take this moment to say to our neighbors down in the Northeast Caribbean Islands that my thoughts and prayers are completely with you, as once again another natural disaster is staring down the region. I am sure everyone on this forum shares my sentiments as well. God Speed to everyone with their preparations in the region and please be safe!!!!
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#234 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:03 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:NHC is working FIVE at once?


Yup. Lots of overtime. And great exercise for the rest of us.

Just remember the famous phrase from Karate Kid 2:

Board up, board down, board up, board down.

Great exercise but sucks when the power goes out.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#235 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:04 pm

northjaxpro wrote:I wanted to take this moment to say to our neighbors down in the Northeast Caribbean Islands that my thoughts and prayers are completely with you, as once again another natural disaster is staring down the region. I am sure everyone on this forum shares my sentiments as well. God Speed to everyone with their preparations in the region and please be safe!!!!


I was down there this spring and they are some of the most beautiful and wonderful people I've met in my travels. Your sentiments are spot on.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#236 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:07 pm

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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#237 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:09 pm

got some big hot towers developing around the eye now.. effectively closing off that large curved band..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#238 Postby Mialco » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:11 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:likely to be a hurricane by morning ( or earlier ) and then just start dropping ...


Hi everyone... we in Barbados are of course monitoring Maria very closely. Aric - what do you mean by 'just start dropping'?
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#239 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:12 pm

Mialco wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:likely to be a hurricane by morning ( or earlier ) and then just start dropping ...


Hi everyone... we in Barbados are of course monitoring Maria very closely. Aric - what do you mean by 'just start dropping'?


pressure.. meaning intensifying rapidly..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#240 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 16, 2017 4:13 pm

northjaxpro wrote:I wanted to take this moment to say to our neighbors down in the Northeast Caribbean Islands that my thoughts and prayers are completely with you, as once again another natural disaster is staring down the region. I am sure everyone on this forum shares my sentiments as well. God Speed to everyone with their preparations in the region and please be safe!!!!
yes, fortunately we arent look at cat 5 irma rolling through there but plenty of intensity to cause problems, be prepared for at least 5 days and secure your property as best you can...3 days supply isnt enough and emergency managers and media need to stop it with the 3 day, its 5 day minimum with gas for the generator, food and most importantly water....its discouraging to see people in the united states complaing on day two they dont have gas for their car and the store isnt open...its absurd and there needs to be a change in thinking in this country..i understand if you dont have cash for five days of fuel for the generator but in most cases you can go without the generator..one thing you cant go without is water, no exceptions..be smart, be prepared and defend yourself against these storms..most people on this board get it..also help your neighbors with preps and check on them after...we had mutliple people die in a nursing home due to heat which is a tragedy and embarrassing considering the resources in the united states, we must do better

im ranting but its embarrassing as a citizen f this country this stuff goes on
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