ATL: IRMA - Models

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3361 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:11 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3362 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:12 pm

trough lifting faster and faster.. ridge filling in... looks like a left shift again.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3363 Postby Alyono » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:13 pm

the GFS goes from one extreme with the trough to another
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3364 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:13 pm

Oh boy
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3365 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:14 pm

18z GFS 889mb at 156 hours...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3366 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:15 pm

Alyono wrote:the GFS goes from one extreme with the trough to another



what are you talking about?.. its very similar the trough just 6 hours faster.. would not say thats a extreme..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3367 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:15 pm

would think it would start turning NNW at this time
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3368 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:15 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:trough lifting faster and faster.. ridge filling in... looks like a left shift again.


Unfortunately yes.

Also, the take away from this point is that Irma gets uncomfortably close to Pueto Rico. We really have to watch the islands very closely the next few days ahead.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3369 Postby Langinbang187 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:15 pm

GFS going for another South Carolina landfall possibly?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3370 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:16 pm

dang, 895... better hope you don't get any of this bad boy
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3371 Postby WHYB630 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:16 pm

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890hPa you kidding me :double:
Last edited by WHYB630 on Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3372 Postby weathaguyry » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:16 pm

WHYB630 wrote:Image

890hPa you kidding me :double:


881 at 162 hours
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3373 Postby weathaguyry » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:17 pm

874mb at 168 hours
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3374 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:18 pm

Turning north just like the ECMWF at hour 168. US spared?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 8779296875

8-)
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3375 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:18 pm

Euro vs GFS

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Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3376 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:18 pm

WOW! 890 mb !! Are you kidding me? WOW!!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3377 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:18 pm

Lol at the GFS. Always overdoing intensity.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3378 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:18 pm

Turns NNW hr 168
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3379 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:19 pm

northjaxpro wrote:WOW! 890 mb !! Are you kidding me? WOW!!

Holy hell
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3380 Postby Alyono » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:19 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Alyono wrote:the GFS goes from one extreme with the trough to another



what are you talking about?.. its very similar the trough just 6 hours faster.. would not say thats a extreme..


look at the intensity of the trough
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