ATL: BRET - Remnants - Discussion

[NDG]

Vis satellite this morning has that look.

[hurricanes1234]

Really starting to close in on the islands now. I'm very eager to see what the plane finds later today.

[cycloneye]

Does those warnings as Potential Cyclone TWO count for the ACE? (Accumulative Cyclone Energy) I ask as I see that Weatherbell has included the units so far at this stage.

http://models.weatherbell.com/tropical.php

[weathaguyry]

Any idea when we may get another ASCAT pass?

[NDG]

Any idea when we may get another ASCAT pass?

Later this morning, if it catches it.

[NDG]

Latest microwave pass.

[weathaguyry]

It really has "that look" this morning

[Gustywind]

Dvorak numbers continue to climb now with 2.0/2:0 ...

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
19/0545 UTC 8.2N 53.6W T2.0/2.0 02L -- Atlantic
18/2345 UTC 7.7N 51.6W T1.5/1.5 02L -- Atlantic

[Gustywind]

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
710 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

The center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two at 19/1200 UTC is
near 8.3N 53.5W, or about 550 nm to the ESE of Trinidad. It is
moving westward, 280 degrees, 20 knots. The maximum wind speeds
are 35 kt with gusts to 45 knots. The minimum central pressure is
1005 mb. Convective precipitation: scattered moderate to strong
from 07N to 12N between 53W and 59W. Broken to overcast
multilayered clouds, a lot of high-level cloudiness, and other
possible rainshowers cover the Atlantic Ocean from 12N to 23N
between 48W and 60W. Please read the NHC Potential Tropical
Cyclone Forecast/Advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22
KNHC, and the Intermediate Public Forecast/Advisory under the
AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC for more details.

[abajan]

Hammy?
You have made 8 posts in less than three pages saying the same thing. We get it. You don't think this will be named Bret.
I think this is a tropical cyclone and will be named Bret. We will have to wait and see.

She has, but she's been proven right so far. Aric mentioned thinking that recon will find a 50 knot storm. We'll see. I recall Hammy getting lots of flak from us last year (I think it was last year) and she was right then too.

[abajan]

Really starting to close in on the islands now. I'm very eager to see what the plane finds later today.

Should it find a hurricane, the warning would be too late for Trinidad and Tobago.

[RL3AO]

Does those warnings as Potential Cyclone TWO count for the ACE? (Accumulative Cyclone Energy) I ask as I see that Weatherbell has included the units so far at this stage.

http://models.weatherbell.com/tropical.php

No but the weatherbell algorithm sees a numbered system with 35 KT winds. It doesn't know any better.

[msbee]

this morning reports from hurricane correspondents on Grenada
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/grenada.shtm
and Trinidad & Tobago
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... idad.shtml

[TheStormExpert]

The waiting game continues.

 https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/876782825378152448

[Gustywind]

Thanks Barbara, very interresting reports
Glad to see you back in the action on the board .
Regards.
Gustywind

[northjaxpro]

:uarrow: It really has "that look" this morning

Yes it does . I think we likely have a tropical cyclone now. I would be quite surprised if Recon does not find a closed off circulation later today.

[hurricanes1234]

When is the mission carded to begin?

.

[TheStormExpert]

 https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/876771680781316097

[cycloneye]

When is the mission carded to begin?

.

Plane departs at 11 AM EDT from Florida

[Hypercane_Kyle]

When is the mission carded to begin?

.

Plane departs at 11 AM EDT from Florida

Flying out of Tampa instead of St. Croix?