ATL: IRMA - Models

[sma10]

0z UKMET is the blue line


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Time for these trends to stop lol.

Without a doubt, the worst part of the UK blue track is the leftward bend at the end. Whoever has access to the mapped version that comes later tonight, please post as it adds an additional day to the end of the track.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Thanks so much AXA

[drezee]

That would be massive power outages! Going into high pressure, hurricane force wind gusts for millions! Horrible run

[AxaltaRacing24]

CMC with a HUGE shift west. FL landfall

[Bocadude85]

HUGE southwest shift by the Canadian..landfall in southeast Florida

[SouthFLTropics]

Canadian hits fla

Here it is.


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Damn You CMC...That's over my house. In all seriousness these trends are very concerning not only for us Floridians but for the nation in general. It is becoming more and more apparent that an OTS route will most likely not happen and that somewhere along the US Coast is going to get hit with a very significant hurricane.

[pcolaman]

Sad thing is I don't think the westward trend is done! State of Florida on the dirty side ? Can't even fathom

[lando]

Cmc landfall west palm.... probably directly affect over half a million people

[Steve]

Looks like GFS hits around 900mb and heads toward Raleigh. Recall it had a west move several hundred miles inland when it was going in around the Chesapeake Bay. It's 947 still around Raleigh maybe headed toward Roanoke. We'll have to see. Serious Cat 5 on the table. You don't want to be in the way of this one if the GFS is right.

Edit - yeah. It's on its way up to SE Ohio 987 and looks to hook west toward Indiana. No way Indiana gets a Tropical Storm Warning.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Recap:
CMC: Fl landfall
UK: West shift and most likely near FL
Euro: West but somehow threaded the needle OTS
GFS: West shift into SC/NC
JMA: FL landfall
NAV: West shift

[SouthFLTropics]

In case anyone didn't realize it, one more SW shift like that by the GFS puts the Florida Peninsula in play. Two more possibly puts the Eastern GOM in play.

[pcolaman]

Looks like GFS hits around 900mb and heads toward Raleigh. Recall it had a west move several hundred miles inland when it was going in around the Chesapeake Bay. It's 947 still around Raleigh maybe headed toward Roanoke. We'll have to see. Serious Cat 5 on the table. You don't want to be in the way of this one if the GFS is right.

Going to be furather west in my opinion.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Thank you again Axa

[AdamFirst]

Canadian right on my doorstep. UKMET with ominous cliffhanger. GFS continues westward trend.

Didn't want to stay up for the EURO but it looks like I may.

[SFLcane]

00z cmc...

[BobHarlem]

GFS doesn't have it go under hurricane strength until it passes through most of West Virginia, still a major over Raleigh, wow on that.

[ColdMiser123]

Shift SW on the 0z UKMET.

0z:



12z:

[Steve]

Looks like GFS hits around 900mb and heads toward Raleigh. Recall it had a west move several hundred miles inland when it was going in around the Chesapeake Bay. It's 947 still around Raleigh maybe headed toward Roanoke. We'll have to see. Serious Cat 5 on the table. You don't want to be in the way of this one if the GFS is right.

Going to be furather west in my opinion.

Yeah, maybe so. I don't know. I thought it would show landfalls farther south a few times, but it didn't. Now it kind of has. That's 6 straight U.S. Landfalls for the GFS.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Full 00z GFS run

[WeatherEmperor]

Canadian right on my doorstep. UKMET with ominous cliffhanger. GFS continues westward trend.

Didn't want to stay up for the EURO but it looks like I may.

I think I will suck it up and do the same.


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