ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Thetxhurricanemaster
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#461 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:26 am

GCANE wrote:Latest COAMPS run is showing stronger Enthalpy Flux and earlier on into the East Carib than yesterday's run.

http://i.imgur.com/ziH76eN.gif

What does that mean ? Also can you post that in the model thread I haven't seen it yet ... Thanks you
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#462 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:27 am

:uarrow: English please 8-)
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#463 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:27 am

panamatropicwatch wrote::uarrow: English please 8-)

Lol so true
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#464 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:28 am

Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:
GCANE wrote:Latest COAMPS run is showing stronger Enthalpy Flux and earlier on into the East Carib than yesterday's run.


What does that mean ? Also can you post that in the model thread I haven't seen it yet ... Thanks you


Stronger convection and a deeper warm core.
Essentially forecasting a stronger TC & earlier than yesterday's run.

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/coamps-web/ ... au=12&zm=0
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#465 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:30 am

GCANE wrote:
Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:
GCANE wrote:Latest COAMPS run is showing stronger Enthalpy Flux and earlier on into the East Carib than yesterday's run.


What does that mean ? Also can you post that in the model thread I haven't seen it yet ... Thanks you


Stronger convection and a deeper warm core.
Essentially forecasting a stronger TC & earlier than yesterday's run.

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/coamps-web/ ... au=12&zm=0

OK thanks for the link !
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#466 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:32 am

As of right now we are seeing convection fade slightly it looks like this will battle some wind shear for the next 36 hours
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#467 Postby stormlover2013 » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:46 am

Well models are showing that
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#468 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:50 am

This storm may have opened up but regardless this still needs to be watched
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#469 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:09 am

Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:This storm may have opened up but regardless this still needs to be watched


Hey Thetxhurricanemaster off topic I work and live on Staples Street where are you located?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#470 Postby Alyono » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:10 am

looking at the satelite, radar, and aircraft data closely, I would have to say that technically, this is no longer a tropical cyclone.

I sure would not downgrade however, at least until the weather clears the Windward Islands. Plus, there is a very high likelihood this will redevelop in the western Caribbean
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#471 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:11 am

lrak wrote:
Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:This storm may have opened up but regardless this still needs to be watched


Hey Thetxhurricanemaster off topic I work and live on Staples Street where are you located?

Near Saratoga RD southern corpus!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#472 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:13 am

Alyono wrote:looking at the satelite, radar, and aircraft data closely, I would have to say that technically, this is no longer a tropical cyclone.

I sure would not downgrade however, at least until the weather clears the Windward Islands. Plus, there is a very high likelihood this will redevelop in the western Caribbean


Good morning Alyono do you think we'll see some rain in S. TX with this system. I know it's way too early but do you have a hunch or gut feeling about it?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#473 Postby Alyono » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:14 am

lrak wrote:
Alyono wrote:looking at the satelite, radar, and aircraft data closely, I would have to say that technically, this is no longer a tropical cyclone.

I sure would not downgrade however, at least until the weather clears the Windward Islands. Plus, there is a very high likelihood this will redevelop in the western Caribbean


Good morning Alyono do you think we'll see some rain in S. TX with this system. I know it's way too early but do you have a hunch or gut feeling about it?


everyone from Veracruz to New Orleans should closely monitor
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#474 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:14 am

Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:
lrak wrote:
Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:This storm may have opened up but regardless this still needs to be watched


Hey Thetxhurricanemaster off topic I work and live on Staples Street where are you located?

Near Saratoga RD southern corpus!


I shop at the HEB on Saratoga, small world. Do you surf?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#475 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:15 am

Alyono wrote:
lrak wrote:
Alyono wrote:looking at the satelite, radar, and aircraft data closely, I would have to say that technically, this is no longer a tropical cyclone.

I sure would not downgrade however, at least until the weather clears the Windward Islands. Plus, there is a very high likelihood this will redevelop in the western Caribbean


Good morning Alyono do you think we'll see some rain in S. TX with this system. I know it's way too early but do you have a hunch or gut feeling about it?


everyone from Veracruz to New Orleans should closely monitor


Thank you Sir.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#476 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:15 am

lrak wrote:
Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:
lrak wrote:
Hey Thetxhurricanemaster off topic I work and live on Staples Street where are you located?

Near Saratoga RD southern corpus!


I shop at the HEB on Saratoga, small world. Do you surf?

I can but not often I've been busy as of late but that's cool
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#477 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:31 am

Definitely hasn't opened up according to recon. Just tilted due to some northeasterly shear.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#478 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:36 am

MississippiWx wrote:Definitely hasn't opened up according to recon. Just tilted due to some northeasterly shear.

Really ? It looks open
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#479 Postby Blown Away » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:56 am

Thetxhurricanemaster wrote:
MississippiWx wrote:Definitely hasn't opened up according to recon. Just tilted due to some northeasterly shear.

Really ? It looks open

Image

Broad sheared circulation may be open to the south...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#480 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Fri Aug 18, 2017 8:59 am

LEVI said it's still closed !
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