ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Jimsot]

Anguilla will slice thru the entire storm. What a terrible situation.

I really feel sorry for the Islands of Aruba, Antigua, Anguilla & St Kitts. Looks like they will experience those 180+mph winds tonight as the eye is heading right for them, with Antigua possibly getting in the northern quadrant where the worst winds are.
May God protect their residents tonight.

Around 2am tonight we are likely going to see the haunting image of Anguilla wholly enveloped in Irma's eye

[Michele B]

Checking in from Port Saint Lucie. We live in a good house with good bones. Hurricane shutters all around. Hurricane garage door. Impact slider on the back. Food, water, propane, and gas cans prepped at the beginning of the season. Cars gassed up.

Still very nervous about this one.

Native Floridian, fellow PSL resident, and have been through many a storm in my lifetime. This one has me nervous as well. Safe to say that most of us have not encountered a beast like this in our lifetime.

Life-long FL resident here, too. A beast is the best word for this thing.

Never feared one like I fear this one.

[Christiana]

Feeling a little nostalgic for all those "season cancelled" posts right about now. That's all.

[eastcoastFL]

Checking in from Port Saint Lucie. We live in a good house with good bones. Hurricane shutters all around. Hurricane garage door. Impact slider on the back. Food, water, propane, and gas cans prepped at the beginning of the season. Cars gassed up.

Still very nervous about this one.

Native Floridian, fellow PSL resident, and have been through many a storm in my lifetime. This one has me nervous as well. Safe to say that most of us have not encountered a beast like this in our lifetime.

Just south of you guys in Palm City. Been through quite a few myself but I'm heading north tomorrow. Good luck fellas.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/905234727505981440




Irma records
https://webcms.colostate.edu/tropical/m ... ecords.pdf

[Evil Jeremy]

Just gassed up truck, went to Home Depot and got lucky as they had just dropped pallet of gas containers and generators
( gone in 20 minutes)

Picked up bucket construction screws, drill bits, xtra drill battery, d-batteries, 2 flats water

Plywood getting dropped tomorrow.

Plan is to board house tomorrow, leave area and head to Atlanta Thursday pm

Feasible?

Feasible, sure, but we are still far from knowing what areas as far north as Jacksonville might face. We're another day or two from figuring that out.

[nativefloridian]

Checking in from Port Saint Lucie. We live in a good house with good bones. Hurricane shutters all around. Hurricane garage door. Impact slider on the back. Food, water, propane, and gas cans prepped at the beginning of the season. Cars gassed up.

Still very nervous about this one.

Native Floridian, fellow PSL resident, and have been through many a storm in my lifetime. This one has me nervous as well. Safe to say that most of us have not encountered a beast like this in our lifetime.

Life-long FL resident here, too. A beast is the best word for this thing.

Never feared one like I fear this one.

Ditto here. Born and raised in South Florida. Experienced Donna and Cleo in my younger years and many others since. But I will say Irma gives me a sense of dread! All I can say is we're hunkering down and hoping for the best out of a bad situation!

[Bunkertor]

This post may be my last one for for hopefully only some days as already some bands that are ahead of powerful hurricane Irma are moving thru the island and those already have caused power outages in parts of Puerto Rico.I know when the power goes,it will take many days to restore.Hopefully the worse part of Irma stays in the ocean but anyway we will get plenty of Tropical Storm force winds and hurricanre force winds sustained and in gusts.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
See you all soon.

Stay safe CE !

[dizzyfish]

Sending you prayers and well wishes Luis!

See you soon!
Dot

[WX5DBZ]

I told one of my co-workers today she is giving a run for it but all I remember is Camille since I lived through it in Biloxi and hearing reports of 200MPH gust that night but this is crazy.

Camille has recently been downgraded to 175 MPH peak I believe.

Yeah I was talking to my older sis lives in Gainesville and asked her if she remembered those reports over the radio and she remembered.We stayed out at Dolan Hall KAFB and it was the info coming in on some channels the AF was using.Again these may of been in the Bay St. Louis area 25miles to the W of us.

I grew up in Camille territory as well and both of my parents went through it. Not sure where it stands officially, but one of the stations down there recorded a gust to 212 mph before the anemometer broke (I'm not sure of that validity but it was a common thing told by many people). Camille was downgraded to sustained 175 mph at landfall back in 2014 after reanalysis, but no-one will truly know how fast the winds truly were. No matter how it is put it was historical. Just like the Lubbock tornado of 1970 was the foundation for starting the F scale, Camille was the foundation for starting the Saffir-Simpson scale.

[johngaltfla]

For those wondering about the "Donna" references (I wasn't alive then) my parents told me the following story:

The wind and rain was so intense in Sarasota that the stucco was shredded off the house and pebbles cracked some of the exposed concrete block. It was raining so hard they could see the outline of the concrete block through the drywall in their living room as the storm approached from the south.

I'm a long time resident in and out of Sarasota. If this parallels that storm but as a Cat 4+, I'm gone.

I can rebuild my home.

I can not stitch my body parts back together.

Don't be a hero.

[mph101]

Just gassed up truck, went to Home Depot and got lucky as they had just dropped pallet of gas containers and generators
( gone in 20 minutes)

Picked up bucket construction screws, drill bits, xtra drill battery, d-batteries, 2 flats water

Plywood getting dropped tomorrow.

Plan is to board house tomorrow, leave area and head to Atlanta Thursday pm

Feasible?

Yes its feasible but if you're in Jville why not wait until you see the situation friday afternoon? You have time. Why spend extra money and clog roads until you see whats up? You already have the supplies. Besides you might consider west on I-10 a better escape over north. This gal as of now isn't going to get much farther west than the big bend. Mobile or Montgomery might be better. See how it plays out.

[LarryWx]

She seems to be moving slightly south of the projected NHC path and MAY be headed for a direct strike on PR. Luis, I hope not! But do others agree this possibility is increasing? I wonder if her extreme strength is causing this (I recall clearly Gilbert fooling forecasters with it continuing more westbound than projected) and do still wonder if she'll ultimately go much further west than anticipated and threaten the Gulf. That's not a prediction though I'm wondering.
So, do others think she's moving a little south of the projected path?

[WeatherGuesser]

I think a lot of the 'fear' is due to the proliferation of real time information. People get scared about things that might not even affect them. Certainly some people will be very badly affected by this one, but many will not, or to a far lesser degree.

In past years there was far less information so readily available so people didn't have day to build up their stress levels. It's a double edges sword. The information is necessary to help protect and warn people, but it also scares people.

[KBBOCA]

Latest bulletin / observations from Guadeloupe

http://www.guadeloupe.pref.gouv.fr/cont ... eloupe.pdf

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060107
AF305 1111A IRMA HDOB 22 20170906
005830 1737N 06016W 6958 02990 9880 +076 +045 139109 111 083 017 00
005900 1736N 06017W 6959 02975 9864 +074 +046 138116 117 085 015 00
005930 1735N 06018W 6974 02939 9837 +080 +045 137120 122 090 009 00
010000 1734N 06020W 6966 02924 9803 +087 +045 135127 130 099 011 00
010030 1733N 06021W 6961 02902 9772 +087 +045 134134 137 103 020 03
010100 1732N 06022W 6963 02864 9732 +089 +048 132129 139 110 043 03
010130 1731N 06024W 6985 02810 9696 +089 +051 134129 132 /// /// 03
010200 1730N 06025W 6974 02778 9645 +094 +054 131130 135 127 010 00
010230 1729N 06026W 6958 02755 9597 +093 +056 131140 146 131 022 00
010300 1728N 06028W 6964 02697 9540 +092 +057 132153 155 137 009 00
010330 1727N 06029W 6959 02644 9475 +096 +058 137154 158 141 001 03
010400 1726N 06030W 6975 02574 9408 +112 +060 141131 147 143 001 03
010430 1725N 06031W 6961 02550 9351 +122 +063 136093 120 142 000 03
010500 1724N 06033W 6972 02500 9304 +137 +066 132072 076 104 006 03
010530 1723N 06034W 6967 02478 9258 +152 +070 129065 070 065 002 00
010600 1722N 06036W 6967 02452 9213 +172 +073 126052 061 054 003 00
010630 1720N 06037W 6969 02436 9179 +191 +072 122037 048 049 002 00
010700 1719N 06038W 6968 02418 9140 +222 +070 126023 033 043 002 00
010730 1717N 06039W 6969 02421 9148 +211 +072 146010 016 034 001 03
010800 1716N 06040W 6969 02415 9148 +208 +078 181009 011 030 002 00
$$
;

158 kt FL, 137 kt SFMR. Pressure 914mb and falling.

[Spacecoast]

Woke up this morning.
Did not like what I saw.
I didn't even want to know what direction it's coming from, or which model is better, or whether it will be 20-30 miles this way or that way.
Decided to get in car with my pet, and drive out of town.
Kept Driving, now I am in Atlanta, where I assume it will be tolerable.
btw, the traffic from Melbourne to Atlanta was very light indeed, only took 6 hours. no problem getting gasoline either.

If you are in the southern half of Fl right now I would say now is the time to stop looking at model runs, and reading S2K forums.
Just get in the car and go! Irma is only moving @ <20 mph, which you can very easily outrun, if you don't wait too long.
There seems to be an abundance of hotel rooms available. I am practically the only one at this particular hotel right now.
I have a feeling that thousands of people have booked, double booked, and quadruple booked rooms at various places because of the uncertainty. This is a real problem because others will not be able to reserve rooms, so please cancel your reservations as soon as you decide what to do.
But the time to decide is now!
And please be courteous, civil, & respectful to your fellow Irma evacuee. It really would be a shame to have empty hotel rooms during
such a serious event.

[MatthewsRevenge]

Most of Cuba's under a hurricane watch. Parts of DR and Haiti join PR in a hurricane warning. And from what I saw on NHC, Irma looks like it's still moving westward.

[Jimsot]

Donna leveled the island of Anguilla before hitting FL.. After that storm they would only build with concrete and concrete block. I don't even know if that will be enough for what Irma will bring overnight tonight.

For those wondering about the "Donna" references (I wasn't alive then) my parents told me the following story:

The wind and rain was so intense in Sarasota that the stucco was shredded off the house and pebbles cracked some of the exposed concrete block. It was raining so hard they could see the outline of the concrete block through the drywall in their living room as the storm approached from the south.

I'm a long time resident in and out of Sarasota. If this parallels that storm but as a Cat 4+, I'm gone.

I can rebuild my home.

I can not stitch my body parts back together.

Don't be a hero.

[jdjaguar]

Just gassed up truck, went to Home Depot and got lucky as they had just dropped pallet of gas containers and generators
( gone in 20 minutes)

Picked up bucket construction screws, drill bits, xtra drill battery, d-batteries, 2 flats water

Plywood getting dropped tomorrow.

Plan is to board house tomorrow, leave area and head to Atlanta Thursday pm

Feasible?

Feasible, sure, but we are still far from knowing what areas as far north as Jacksonville might face. We're another day or two from figuring that out.

Understand. Hopefully this time tomorrow the path will be locked down, and I can make the final well- informed decision about staying or getting myself and my family out of harms way. in the meantime it helps settle me to prepare for the worst, and hope for the best. Like others who have posted, been down here for over 40 years, this one feels different, this one has me rattled, to be honest.

Add to the mix, is my mom in vero beach on the barrier island, who is being stubborn.

Can I possibly have enough time to go down there and extract her? And prepare my own home, And not get caught in a parking lot on 95 north?

This is a logistical nightmare