ATL: IRMA - Models

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4821 Postby SFLcane » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 pm

Still SW nearing Hispaniola..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4822 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 pm

Irma better pull up....
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4823 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:53 pm

Looks like the Navy models have put their track over SE fl now.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 92W.INVEST,
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4824 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:53 pm

Is this a Florida Straights to GOM run?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4825 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:54 pm

DR messing with Irma inflow at hr 90 bigtime...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4826 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:54 pm

Thumb ridge over Irma!?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4827 Postby SFLcane » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:54 pm

90hrs its essentially on Hispaniola coast..FL?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4828 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:55 pm

Chances for a classic GFS FL pounding is quite high
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4829 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:55 pm

Ridge is weakening at H96
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4830 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 pm

no need to be looking at the ridging we know it will last into and through most of the bahamas.. look for that very random low over the mississippi valley..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4831 Postby ObsessedMiami » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like the Navy models have put their track over SE fl now.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 92W.INVEST,

Does the Navy have early access to the GFS that is rolling now?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4832 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 pm

If these small little by little south tweaks keep up each run it could be doomsday over Hispaniola. Good for us, bad for them.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4833 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 pm

Wouldn't Hispanola impede the circulation if it is that close?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4834 Postby adam0983 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 pm

Only if it makes landfall there
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4835 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:Ridge is weakening at H96

It looks noticeably stronger this run actually and the trough is pulling out more quickly
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4836 Postby SFLcane » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 pm

102 still south of 18z near coast of Hispaniola
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4837 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:Wouldn't Hispanola impede the circulation if it is that close?


Yes. Might change the overall structure a little, too.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4838 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:58 pm

WNW
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4839 Postby Steve » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:58 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:DR messing with Irma inflow at hr 90 bigtime...


Yet pressure dropping to 912. I disagree with the add 50 rule. Maybe 15, but not 50mb
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4840 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:59 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
WilmingtonSandbar wrote:Ridge is weakening at H96

It looks noticeably stronger this run actually and the trough is pulling out more quickly


I'm not comparing run to run right now, just this run.
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