ATL: IRMA - Models

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4841 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:59 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4842 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:00 pm

It may have just completely missed the trough.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4843 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:00 pm

Isnt the center actually in the middle of the isobars rather than the bottom of the 'L'?? That would probably still put this nearly 100 miles offshore.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4844 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:00 pm

ObsessedMiami wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:Looks like the Navy models have put their track over SE fl now.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bi ... 92W.INVEST,

Does the Navy have early access to the GFS that is rolling now?


Someone correct me if I'm wrong but the Navy has their own models that they run. I believe the NAVGEM is one of them or synopsis of theirs.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4845 Postby drezee » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:01 pm

Little lessons in fluid dynamics...GFS just shut the OTS door. This looks like FL landfall...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4846 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:01 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4847 Postby stormchazer » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:01 pm

Notice the High in NW Canada as Levi referred to in his video.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4848 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:01 pm

yes,

That replaced the old NOGAPS
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4849 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

MUCH further south @114hrs.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4850 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

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More SW!! If it doesnt go on to hit Florida then I really wonder what its gonna take


Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4851 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

Steve wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:DR messing with Irma inflow at hr 90 bigtime...


Yet pressure dropping to 912. I disagree with the add 50 rule. Maybe 15, but not 50mb


What is the add 50 rule?
Last edited by eastcoastFL on Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4852 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

drezee wrote:Little lessons in fluid dynamics...GFS just shut the OTS door. This looks like FL landfall...


or Cubabound
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4853 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4854 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:02 pm

Thing is barreling WNW...gonna hit the gulf for sure...on the upside for the US, if this slips even further south, Hispanola may take a big bite out of it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4855 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:03 pm

Florida Straits into GOM...then NOLA?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4856 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:03 pm

If Irma doesn't start lifting north it will make landfall on the North-Central coast of Cuba.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4857 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:04 pm

GOM?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4858 Postby Alyono » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:04 pm

Cuba?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4859 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:04 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:If Irma doesn't start lifting north it will make landfall on the North-Central coast of Cuba.

I bet it stays off Cuba.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4860 Postby weathaguyry » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:04 pm

Looks like its gonna go straight into Cuba at 126, 901 mb
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