ATL: JOSE - Models

[hohnywx]

WOW, very quiet in this thread considering we have small threat to the midatlantic and north east states.

It's not FL, so no one is posting. A shame.

GFS has initialized and appears to be NE of the 6z position currently.

[clipper35]

WOW, very quiet in this thread considering we have small threat to the midatlantic and north east states.

It's not FL, so no one is posting. A shame.

GFS has initialized and appears to be NE of the 6z position currently.

that sums it up, should of guessed that was the problem.

[CrazyC83]

We have a lot fewer S2K members in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic compared to Florida, Texas or other Gulf states.

[sicktght311]

Long Island based S2K'er here who's been active since Sandy, so this one definitely has my hairs on the back of my neck standing up. Watching these forums and the model runs very closely.

[CrazyC83]

So far the 12Z GFS is to the east of the 06Z by about 50 miles.

[xironman]

Started out east with a weaker ridge, but at 72 still looks like it is going to get the squeeze play back to New England from the big vort over the far north Atlantic.

[BobHarlem]

Manages to get Nantucket squarely in the western eyewall this time.

[xironman]

There would have to be pretty serious surge on the south side of the Cape, Jose will have had a big windfield for a long time. I am still sticking with Bob on this one

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I'm certainly watching Jose. Even though I primarily cover storms threatening the Maritimes and Maine (my general area as I am in SW New Brunswick five miles from the Maine border), any storm threatening Southern New England also has my interest. I have long planned to write a book about systems that have impacted the region between New England and the Maritimes. As there is a shameful lack of modern literature on the subject.

[GCANE]

12Z GFS

[Ken711]

Started out east with a weaker ridge, but at 72 still looks like it is going to get the squeeze play back to New England from the big vort over the far north Atlantic.

12z GFS east so far.

[Airboy]

Is it Jose that loops back South again at day 174? (GFS)

[GCANE]

Is it Jose that loops back South again at day 174? (GFS)

I think its 00Z Euro

[Happy Pelican]

Many of our S2k members are also in hurricane recovery mode. We need to rememeber that as well. Right now, I have to keep looking for that East trend because the thoughts of Jose are making me physically ill.

[Airboy]

Is it Jose that loops back South again at day 174? (GFS)

I think its 00Z Euro

No I'm looking at the GFS 12Z run, looks like what is left of Jose is going south, that was I was wondering about if it's Jose or someting else.

[crownweather]

For someone who has lived in New England all their life, I'd definitely buy your book. Just moved to Mass from Maine in June by the way.

I'm certainly watching Jose. Even though I primarily cover storms threatening the Maritimes and Maine (my general area as I am in SW New Brunswick five miles from the Maine border), any storm threatening Southern New England also has my interest. I have long planned to write a book about systems that have impacted the region between New England and the Maritimes. As there is a shameful lack of modern literature on the subject.

[GlennOBX]

12Z GFS has Jose missing the OBX, but then shows 2 storms affecting us about 4 days apart after that? I don't know what it's drinking, but I think it needs to start attending meetings lol

[EquusStorm]

I'd hope that's hour 174, if Jose is still going in 174 days I think we're going to see some forecasters quit and we would rename the Atlantic "Jose's Back Yard"

[Ken711]

Looks like UKMET shifted east again.

[Wakeknight]

WOW, very quiet in this thread considering we have small threat to the midatlantic and north east states.

It's not FL, so no one is posting. A shame.

GFS has initialized and appears to be NE of the 6z position currently.

that sums it up, should of guessed that was the problem.

In case you missed IRMA, most of us in Florida are still recovering. I just got power back at my house one hour ago and still am out at work. Florida Power estimates the west coast wont be fully restored until the 22nd, and that doesn't include victims of flooding, tornadoes, or other pockets of 'severe weather'

Its not that we don't care because its not Florida, its that we have bigger fish to fry ATM....