ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[fsusurfer]

St John is beautiful... wife and I's favorite vacation spot. Awful, praying for the islands safety.

[rickybobby]

Wesh 2 posted models and they all have them to the east. None hit Florida. They think it should go east and miss Florida.

[GCANE]

Hurricane Irma destroys Maho Beach Cam in St Maarten 9/6/2017



Link: https://youtu.be/dA5qYrboTUE

[ALhurricane]

Wesh 2 posted models and they all have them to the east. None hit Florida. They think it should go east and miss Florida.

That's completely premature at this stage for them to make such a call.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Weaker at landfall on the GFS...but at this point...idk. 920mbs isn't exactly weak, is it.

[Extratropical94]

NW-SE pass incoming.

URNT15 KNHC 061606
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 22 20170906
155730 1930N 06531W 6963 03142 0028 +096 +069 056054 056 045 002 00
155800 1929N 06529W 6962 03141 0030 +092 +077 052056 059 045 003 00
155830 1927N 06528W 6967 03133 0023 +096 +079 052058 059 046 002 00
155900 1926N 06527W 6967 03131 0016 +099 +075 051058 059 047 002 00
155930 1925N 06526W 6970 03126 0021 +095 +082 050058 059 048 002 00
160000 1924N 06524W 6961 03135 0018 +095 +076 050056 057 048 002 00
160030 1923N 06523W 6966 03127 0019 +093 +085 051053 056 046 002 00
160100 1921N 06522W 6966 03126 //// +083 //// 052052 053 046 004 01
160130 1920N 06521W 6962 03131 //// +087 //// 052054 055 047 003 01
160200 1919N 06519W 6966 03124 0026 +086 +085 055056 057 045 003 01
160230 1918N 06518W 6967 03120 //// +085 //// 055058 059 046 002 01
160300 1917N 06517W 6965 03122 0013 +089 +088 056058 058 048 001 01
160330 1916N 06516W 6963 03121 0004 +095 +087 056057 059 049 002 00
160400 1915N 06514W 6966 03120 9999 +101 +086 058054 055 049 002 00
160430 1913N 06513W 6963 03119 9995 +100 +082 053055 056 049 003 00
160500 1912N 06512W 6966 03114 0008 +092 +081 054060 062 049 005 00
160530 1911N 06511W 6963 03118 9990 +101 +085 057057 061 050 002 00
160600 1910N 06510W 6962 03115 9991 +100 +085 054056 058 050 002 00
160630 1909N 06508W 6966 03108 9986 +104 +073 055055 056 052 001 00
160700 1908N 06507W 6966 03104 9989 +096 +079 056057 057 052 004 00

[GCANE]

St. Croix Caravelle Hotel & Casino Live Feed



Link: https://youtu.be/3Q2CzQclKQc

[Evil Jeremy]

Wesh 2 posted models and they all have them to the east. None hit Florida. They think it should go east and miss Florida.

You pay too much attention to WESH 2 for hurricane info. Didn't you say these people wrote Irma off as a fish about 5 days ago?

[NDG]

Wesh 2 posted models and they all have them to the east. None hit Florida. They think it should go east and miss Florida.

They can say whatever they want, but I hope most TV viewers are going by the official NHC track.

[aprilflower]

I can't post on the models thread? Says it is locked?

Moderator had to temporarily lock it to clean up the non-model posts

[Extratropical94]

I can't post on the models thread? Says it is locked?

Because there's too much chatter and off-topic one line posts going on right now. Moderators are cleaning up the thread and when they are done it will be open again for model discussion.

[painkillerr]

Getting Hammered in St. Thomas now!

[Dave C]

I can't post on the models thread? Says it is locked?

they are cleaning out foolish posts.

[AutoPenalti]

Wesh 2 posted models and they all have them to the east. None hit Florida. They think it should go east and miss Florida.

Well... not according to the newest GFS run...

[norva]

I have a feeling there might be a western trend again before all is said and done. The next few NHC updates should be illuminating.

[northjaxpro]

this is why you should always refer to the NHC for info.

[norva]

:uarrow: this is why you should always refer to the NHC for info.

Agreed, if you are in the cone, be prepared. Sounding doom or all clear based on a couple of runs is dangerous and foolhardy.

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 061617
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 23 20170906
160730 1906N 06506W 6967 03101 0008 +086 //// 055063 068 055 004 01
160800 1905N 06505W 6963 03103 9998 +103 +103 056068 072 055 006 00
160830 1904N 06503W 6970 03090 9973 +098 +089 059065 067 056 005 00
160900 1903N 06502W 6962 03097 9975 +095 +087 057066 067 057 006 00
160930 1902N 06501W 6970 03083 9984 +092 //// 055070 070 057 006 01
161000 1901N 06500W 6962 03091 9988 +087 +087 053070 071 057 008 00
161030 1900N 06459W 6967 03081 9984 +091 //// 051071 073 057 007 01
161100 1859N 06458W 6966 03080 9975 +092 //// 054071 073 057 005 01
161130 1857N 06456W 6970 03070 9979 +089 //// 056072 073 059 006 01
161200 1856N 06455W 6967 03065 9957 +090 //// 061068 073 059 006 01
161230 1855N 06454W 6970 03058 9968 +097 //// 058075 080 060 005 05
161300 1854N 06453W 6967 03057 9948 +092 //// 057077 080 061 007 01
161330 1853N 06452W 6972 03047 //// +087 //// 061085 086 064 004 01
161400 1852N 06451W 6963 03053 9929 +092 +088 060086 087 066 003 01
161430 1851N 06450W 6966 03043 9929 +089 +087 056086 087 066 004 01
161500 1850N 06448W 6952 03049 9942 +098 +098 057089 091 067 009 00
161530 1849N 06447W 6974 03019 9926 +093 //// 060089 090 066 009 01
161600 1848N 06446W 6965 03023 9911 +102 +102 059094 096 067 007 00
161630 1847N 06445W 6966 03009 9877 +100 +094 061091 094 068 005 00
161700 1846N 06444W 6969 02998 9875 +099 +097 062097 099 071 004 00

[Callista]

Can't just pick your favorite model. Got to take all the reputable ones into account. Nobody's out of the woods yet. I'm still holding out hope that Haiti will dodge the worst of it, though.

[meriland29]

I can't believe people in FL are returning items cause the models were trending east momentarily.