ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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jlauderdal
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5561 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:20 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:Need to move the TV/internet video feed discussion to another thread. Media Coverage thread?
that would be a good idea to have a media thread..is your generator ready?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5562 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:24 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
GeneratorPower wrote:Need to move the TV/internet video feed discussion to another thread. Media Coverage thread?
that would be a good idea to have a media thread..is your generator ready?


No, we do not need to discuss that here, it will only lead to arguments and bashing. It is what it is, we need to stay focused and not fill up this thread or forum with things that we don't want covered anyway.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5563 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:26 pm

Ken711 wrote:
ronjon wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:absolutely, it really started this morning with julie durda showing spaghetti to our east without any explanation then she shows the nhc track which was west...max mayfield works with julie durda, he needs to tell channel 10 to stop asap and just show the nhc track.


Things will change if the 12z Euro is consistent with the GFS, UKMET, and GEM track guidance - would imagine if that happens, the NHC would issue a hurricane watch for portions of the keys and FL east coast late this afternoon.


If the Euro shifts East what would you expect the NHC would do at that point?


Not much of anything for the moment. They operate off a custom blend of models plus good old fashion forecasting skill. The models will continue to shift west and east until the very end, the shifts will just get smaller.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5564 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:28 pm

Almost looks like an outer eyewall is starting form.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#5565 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:28 pm

URNT15 KNHC 061726
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 30 20170906
171730 1809N 06304W 6967 03143 0038 +092 +080 181055 056 044 000 03
171800 1811N 06305W 6965 03147 0043 +088 +083 177055 056 105 012 03
171830 1814N 06305W 6969 03140 0041 +089 +083 175055 055 049 000 03
171900 1816N 06305W 6967 03141 0035 +095 +079 176056 056 048 000 00
171930 1818N 06305W 6967 03143 0036 +095 +079 174057 057 043 000 00
172000 1820N 06305W 6970 03139 0032 +098 +080 171057 057 042 001 00
172030 1823N 06305W 6966 03143 0027 +101 +071 170057 058 044 001 00
172100 1825N 06306W 6967 03138 0022 +103 +071 169058 058 045 000 00
172130 1827N 06306W 6967 03137 0019 +105 +072 170059 059 041 001 00
172200 1829N 06306W 6966 03138 0019 +105 +073 170060 060 042 001 00
172230 1832N 06306W 6972 03132 0025 +100 +076 170059 060 045 000 00
172300 1834N 06306W 6967 03136 0022 +099 +077 169060 060 047 001 00
172330 1836N 06306W 6967 03136 0021 +100 +078 165059 060 045 001 00
172400 1839N 06306W 6963 03139 0024 +100 +071 162060 060 045 001 00
172430 1841N 06307W 6973 03127 0021 +100 +071 160060 060 047 002 00
172500 1843N 06307W 6963 03138 0020 +101 +068 158061 062 048 004 00
172530 1845N 06307W 6967 03133 0020 +101 +067 160061 062 047 003 00
172600 1848N 06307W 6968 03131 0019 +100 +072 159061 062 049 001 00
172630 1850N 06307W 6971 03127 0030 +095 +087 152064 069 048 002 00
172700 1852N 06307W 6962 03137 0024 +092 //// 149063 068 048 003 01
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5566 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:28 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5567 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:30 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5568 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:31 pm

Image
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BYG Jacob

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5569 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:32 pm

Whats causing that weakness on the W/SW side? Shear and/or dry air? Land interaction?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5570 Postby Dave C » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:32 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Almost looks like an outer eyewall is starting form.

You can actually see the outer band close off around the inner eyewall on latest radar loop.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5571 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:32 pm

One door off the shed. Then cam stopped.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXcyJ6OpjGg
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5572 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:34 pm

GCANE wrote:One door off the shed. Then cam stopped.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXcyJ6OpjGg


New cam up - WOW
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5573 Postby painkillerr » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:34 pm

AT&T is down in ST. Thomas. No cell phone service!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5574 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:35 pm

GCANE wrote:One door off the shed. Then cam stopped.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXcyJ6OpjGg


I saw that, I hope she's OK.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5575 Postby Raebie » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:36 pm

St. Thomas is getting absolutely pounded on the cam I'm watching.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5576 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:36 pm

NDG wrote:
GCANE wrote:One door off the shed. Then cam stopped.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXcyJ6OpjGg


I saw that, I hope she's OK.


She's back on again.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#5577 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:39 pm

URNT15 KNHC 061737
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 31 20170906
172730 1854N 06308W 6969 03128 0015 +100 +082 149063 063 048 002 00
172800 1857N 06308W 6966 03131 0017 +093 +086 147063 064 048 002 01
172830 1859N 06308W 6968 03130 0021 +093 +084 145061 063 049 001 00
172900 1901N 06308W 6966 03131 0022 +095 +082 144061 061 048 002 00
172930 1903N 06308W 6969 03130 0024 +092 +084 144061 062 049 001 00
173000 1906N 06308W 6966 03132 0019 +095 +092 143060 063 054 004 00
173030 1908N 06309W 6967 03132 0017 +098 +097 139059 060 054 003 01
173100 1910N 06309W 6971 03126 0025 +100 //// 145063 064 051 006 01
173130 1912N 06309W 6961 03139 0045 +101 +101 141064 068 049 008 00
173200 1914N 06309W 6957 03144 0049 +100 +100 137067 072 049 008 03
173230 1917N 06309W 6979 03119 0054 +095 //// 141061 063 052 009 01
173300 1919N 06309W 6965 03136 //// +090 //// 143064 066 049 003 01
173330 1921N 06309W 6969 03133 0031 +090 +081 144066 066 050 001 00
173400 1923N 06310W 6967 03139 0038 +090 //// 143067 068 049 009 01
173430 1925N 06310W 6969 03137 0056 +095 +095 138068 070 049 010 00
173500 1928N 06310W 6957 03150 0064 +100 +100 132069 071 048 016 00
173530 1930N 06310W 6981 03120 0073 +092 +092 126068 068 046 014 03
173600 1932N 06310W 6963 03143 0072 +088 +088 126067 068 049 008 00
173630 1934N 06310W 6974 03133 //// +080 //// 123065 065 048 004 01
173700 1936N 06311W 6968 03142 0041 +090 +086 122065 066 047 003 00
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5578 Postby Zarniwoop » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:39 pm

Raebie wrote:St. Thomas is getting absolutely pounded on the cam I'm watching.


Link Cam please?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5579 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:41 pm

I want to take this moment to give a HUGE thank you to the moderators. I know the folks that have been around the neighborhood for years ( In my case over 11 years) and the newbies ( welcome to you all) are thankful to you all for keeping the threads going and the information getting out there. Thank you SO much to the pro mets here as well. We deeply appreciate you coming in here on your own time and keeping us up to date with your amazing knowledge. Thank you to all.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5580 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:41 pm

The shed is about to blow up.
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