ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

Still generating lots of deep unorganized convection...

[otowntiger]

it looks like the Shoemaker–Levy comet

hah?

[AtlanticWind]

92l now entering some very warm waters and looks like the ULL to the northeast might be weakening
might is the key word

[Emmett_Brown]

Convection on the increase, but still disorganized. I am getting a little worried that this one may sit and fester for a bit in the Bahamas or the SE COM very near FL and become a problem. Steering currents will get weak as the next trough comes down later next week; the trough will be shallow, so 92L could hang around for a bit. We saw a very weak 99L blow up into Gert in a hurry last week with little model support..., just thinking this is a favored area.

[blp]

I see a much better shear environment now than several hours ago. The question is will it be able to reorganize and take advantage.

[gatorcane]

WV floater showing 92l and upper low off to NW (yellow area):

[SuperMarioBros99thx]

WV floater showing 92l and upper low off to NW (yellow area):

With the ULL moving WNW, will 92L take a chance to become Irma? Anyways, great!

[jason1912]

Looks like shear has decreased some bit.

[blp]

I am having a hard time finding the vorticity. I thought it was out in front outracing the convection around 22N 63W but not quite sure. If it reforms closer to the convection then I see a good opportunity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis_lalo-animated.gif

[Kazmit]

Conditions seem to be improving some for 92L. The real question is whether of not it can take advantage of them.

[cycloneye]

8 PM TWO.

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a trough of low
pressure located a couple of hundred miles north of the northern
Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for development of this system during the next couple of
days while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Conditions
could become slightly more conducive for development once the system
is near the northern Bahamas or Florida around the middle of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[NotSparta]

This storm is like 99L all over again

[bevgo]

I am off topic again but the prep forum is dead. I live less than 1/4 mile from marsh with open gulf water just past. Any things coming my way and I am GONE. I really want to know if I will be returning to a mess or not. I want some type of video camera I can leave in house and back yard. As long a s I also have power great but it will also have to work on batteries. I am bugging out but really want to KNOW what I am facing. Any suggestions for something I can view from a very remote location? Needs to be economically feasible as I am not wealthy. If I am in trouble for this just let me know so I can get someone to beat me up.
HELP!!!!!!!

[gatorcane]

I am having a hard time finding the vorticity. I thought it was out in front outracing the convection around 22N 63W but not quite sure. If it reforms closer to the convection then I see a good opportunity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis_lalo-animated.gif

According to latest CIMSS, near 60W 20N. The vorticity has hung in there all day today:

[AxaltaRacing24]

I am having a hard time finding the vorticity. I thought it was out in front outracing the convection around 22N 63W but not quite sure. If it reforms closer to the convection then I see a good opportunity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis_lalo-animated.gif

According to latest CIMSS, near 60W 20N. The vorticity has hung in there all day today:

It has actually become more consolidated and more organized throughout the day.

[NotSparta]

I am having a hard time finding the vorticity. I thought it was out in front outracing the convection around 22N 63W but not quite sure. If it reforms closer to the convection then I see a good opportunity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis_lalo-animated.gif

According to latest CIMSS, near 60W 20N. The vorticity has hung in there all day today:

It has actually become more consolidated and more organized throughout the day.

It's definitely trying. That's the thing about these Cabo Verde waves - you can throw dry air and shear at it for days, and it still persists. If you give it a favorable window, boom. You can't take your eyes off them until the vort signature is completely gone.

[gatorcane]

It does appear convection is on the increase under that area of vorticity which looks to be out at 63W:

[nativefloridian]

Despite the many adversities 92L has faced....it certainly appears to be a fighter. It's looking a bit messy right now but continues to keep hanging in there. I guess all we can do is wait and see what tomorrow will bring. 92L is persistent and may surprise as it gets closer to the Bahamas. Gert certainly showed us not to be to quick to write something off.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

[SFLcane]

Still bursting tonight.. folks don't turn your back on it if you live in Florida.

[blp]

It is in a favorable pocket now. Let's see what happens.