ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#921 Postby sunnyday » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:48 am

is Palm Beach County considered part of South Florida? How about Martin County? I am hearing lots of rain is on the way for So FL tomorrow, but I'm not sure what counties are included on the east coast of Fl.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#922 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:49 am

sunnyday wrote:is Palm Beach County considered part of South Florida? How about Martin County? I am hearing lots of rain is on the way for So FL tomorrow, but I'm not sure what counties are included on the east coast of Fl.
palm beach is, martin county where blown away lives is in central florida kind of :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#923 Postby NotSparta » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:51 am

sunnyday wrote:is Palm Beach County considered part of South Florida? How about Martin County? I am hearing lots of rain is on the way for So FL tomorrow, but I'm not sure what counties are included on the east coast of Fl.



I would think so, it's pretty far down FL. Watch for some rain
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#924 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:15 am

What an odd convoluted hot mess LOL! With the convective area of 92L around 24N & 75W seemingly still moving Westward, its supposed to either hit the brakes over S. Florida or just East of there. Meanwhile, I cant help but notice the distinct area of turning that appears to be at or close to the surface just north of Hispanola around 21N & 70.5W. As far as I can tell, pressures do not seem to be falling over S. Florida or the Bahamas. Might the practically convective-less vorticity to the southeast possibly become a bit more convective while trekking to the northwest just to catch up to the wave access? Hard to imagine that these 2 (many) degrees of separation might actually align and eventually be the focal point of organization but then again this "slop" is supposed to remain over or just east of S. Florida until the end of the week. Another thought is that I wonder if a slowly re-developing Harvey to the S.W. might cause a more disruptive upper level pattern for anything to develop just east of Florida?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#925 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:26 am

jlauderdal wrote:
sunnyday wrote:is Palm Beach County considered part of South Florida? How about Martin County? I am hearing lots of rain is on the way for So FL tomorrow, but I'm not sure what counties are included on the east coast of Fl.
palm beach is, martin county where blown away lives is in central florida kind of :lol:


I'm pretty sure Palm Beach County is the northern extent of "South Florida/Gold Coast" and Martin County begins the southern extent of "E Central Florida/Treasure Coast"... :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#926 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:29 am

Okay Florida folks (though anyone feel free to chime in lol). OVER/UNDER guess for rainfall hitting 6.5" at any NWS reporting location from Stuart to Hollywood for this "92L Event"? :rain:

My vote is for "over"
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#927 Postby boca » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:31 am

I'll go under 6.5 since it looks like the northern vort is heading to Central Florida
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#928 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:40 am

Blown Away wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
sunnyday wrote:is Palm Beach County considered part of South Florida? How about Martin County? I am hearing lots of rain is on the way for So FL tomorrow, but I'm not sure what counties are included on the east coast of Fl.
palm beach is, martin county where blown away lives is in central florida kind of :lol:


I'm pretty sure Palm Beach County is the northern extent of "South Florida/Gold Coast" and Martin County begins the southern extent of "E Central Florida/Treasure Coast"... :D
you are correct...martin county is definitely in south florida..broward and dade South Florida/2nd and 3rd world respectively, ha
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#929 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:41 am

chaser1 wrote:Okay Florida folks (though anyone feel free to chime in lol). OVER/UNDER guess for rainfall hitting 6.5" at any NWS reporting location from Stuart to Hollywood for this "92L Event"? :rain:

My vote is for "over"
im going over but it starts tonight at midnight and lasts until friday midnight
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#930 Postby sunnyday » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:47 am

Thank you for your answers about So Fl!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#931 Postby jhpigott » Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:50 am

Here comes the rain. Miami long range radar:

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... X&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#932 Postby nativefloridian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:11 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Blown Away wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:palm beach is, martin county where blown away lives is in central florida kind of :lol:


I'm pretty sure Palm Beach County is the northern extent of "South Florida/Gold Coast" and Martin County begins the southern extent of "E Central Florida/Treasure Coast"... :D
you are correct...martin county is definitely in south florida..broward and dade South Florida/2nd and 3rd world respectively, ha


South Florida is generally defined as Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, the Florida Keys, and the interior region of the Everglades.
Last edited by nativefloridian on Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#933 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:11 pm

Chaser us here in Miami feel let out lol,

I am going with 5" for my area here near FIU, right next to the Hurricane Center so the reading should be accurate.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#934 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:14 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
chaser1 wrote:Okay Florida folks (though anyone feel free to chime in lol). OVER/UNDER guess for rainfall hitting 6.5" at any NWS reporting location from Stuart to Hollywood for this "92L Event"? :rain:

My vote is for "over"
im going over but it starts tonight at midnight and lasts until friday midnight


Seems reasonable.... then again, might this mess somehow stick around beyond midnight Friday?? Sure would seem doubtful but then again, it seems there's not to great a handle on how this all plays out.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#935 Postby chaser1 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:20 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Chaser us here in Miami feel let out lol,

I am going with 5" for my area here near FIU, right next to the Hurricane Center so the reading should be accurate.


Hey, I hear ya :wink: I'm up here in the Orlando area, so even further from that point than you. Of course, for all we know Miami or Melbourne could end up getting the rainfall trophy with this hot mess LOL. I just went with that point as my own guess for max. rainfall. 'Course the other scenario's range from this organizing to our east and leave most of Florida on its dry side, to an organizing low that moves straight across and into the S.E. Gulf and sitting there slowly deepening for DAYS. Heck, we'd all be looking for our kayaks and canoes to get back and forth to the store then.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#936 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:31 pm

Lol,

Agree with you on that. So close but yet still so many possible things that could happen.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#937 Postby sunnyday » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:45 pm

I'm voting less than 1 or 2 inches of rain on Florida's SE coast bc the last models moved quite a bit west.
Just my opinion. Please see NHC or NWS for official predictions.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#938 Postby HURRICANELONNY » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:55 pm

I second that sunny. Looks like crap! :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#939 Postby jhpigott » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:59 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

A trough of low pressure located near the central Bahamas continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it moves west-northwestward across the Bahamas and then turns
northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#940 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:00 pm

sunnyday wrote:I'm voting less than 1 or 2 inches of rain on Florida's SE coast bc the last models moved quite a bit west.
Just my opinion. Please see NHC or NWS for official predictions.
West would mean more rain for se florida

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