WPAC: INVEST 94W

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94W INVEST 161230 0000 4.0N 138.0E WPAC 15 NA

Seems like it was the fomer 93W.

93W THREAD

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000
WWPQ80 PGUM 300418
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
215 PM CHST FRI DEC 30 2016

PMZ161-PMZ171-310200-
KOROR PALAU-YAP-
215 PM CHST FRI DEC 30 2016

...MARINE CONDITIONS VERY HAZARDOUS OVER YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC
OF PALAU...

STRONG WINDS AND LARGE WAVES HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA
AND WESTERN MICRONESIA. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 35 KNOTS OVER A LARGE AREA WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
MARIANA ISLANDS THAT INCLUDES YAP STATE AND NORTHERN PALAU. COMBINED
SEAS IN THE RANGE OF AT LEAST 9 TO 12 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THIS AREA THROUGH SUNDAY OR MONDAY.

ALSO...AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED NEAR 5N138E...WHICH IS
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND 290 MILES SOUTH OF YAP...IS CAUSING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN SEVERAL AREAS OVER PALAU AND SOUTHERN
YAP STATE. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WESTWARD AND SLOWLY
DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WEATHER WILL BE INCLEMENT FOR YAP
AND KOROR THIS WEEKEND...THEN SHOULD IMPROVE BY MONDAY OR TUESDAY.

IF YOU ARE PLANNING ANY OUTDOOR OR MARINE ACTIVITIES OR INTER-ISLAND
TRAVEL...BE AWARE OF CURRENT MARINE CONDITIONS AND STAY INFORMED ON
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE POSTED ON THE
WFO GUAM WEB PAGE AT WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/GUAM/ (ALL LOWER CASE).

$$

SIMPSON

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EURO still bringing this very close to North Maluku and passing it over Molokai Indonesia with some slight development as it drifts south of Mindanao.

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GFS has a very midget like system passing north of Molokai. Too small to be seen so using the closeup images shows a well defined TC possibly a tropical storm.

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94W INVEST 161230 1800 4.3N 135.4E WPAC 15 1006

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94W INVEST 161231 0600 2.4N 132.0E WPAC 15 1010

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94W INVEST 170101 0600 2.2N 130.0E WPAC 15 1008

Center looks to be off the coast of Molokai Island.

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Losing model support. Only CMC develops this into something significant.

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Poof...