SWIO: FLAMBOYAN - Post-Tropical

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

ABIO10 PGTW 210730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/210730Z-211800ZAPR2018//
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.1S
77.2E, APPROXIMATELY 341 NM NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS BROAD TURNING WITH
PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF A
CONSOLIDATING LLCC. A 210354Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS
DEEP CONVECTION WITH OBVIOUS BANDING INTO THE LLCC. THE CURRENT
UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (15-20KTS) WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO MORE FAVORABLE SHEAR
AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW WHICH IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT. SSTS ARE WARM
(28-29C) WHICH WILL ALSO SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH DEPICTING THE SYSTEM MOVING ON A WESTWARD THEN
SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING
BEYOND TAU 30. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

[1900hurricane]

This is a good looking invest.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZAPR2018//
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.1S 77.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.1S 78.9E, APPROXIMATELY 424
NM NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 211328Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED, FORMATIVE
BANDING AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA
OF MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH DUAL OUTFLOW
CHANNELS. WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) ARE SUPPORTIVE OF
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM
WILL TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING ON A
MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

[1900hurricane]

What a name.

21S FLAMBOYAN 180429 0600 12.1S 87.8E SHEM 55 994

[NotSparta]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/991038767317291009