ATL: ISAAC - Models

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SoupBone
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#181 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:04 am

And FWIW, the Crazy Canadian Uncle sends it out to sea.

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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#182 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 1:57 am

Euro has it coming through the islands and heading WSW then plows it into Honduras/Nicaragua where it goes poof.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#183 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 08, 2018 1:59 am

00z Euro doesn’t even develop this much now, instead buries it into Central America.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#184 Postby drezee » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:15 am

TheStormExpert wrote:00z Euro doesn’t even develop this much now, instead buries it into Central America.

Ensembles are interesting though. One shows a deeper system heading NW toward Cuba
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#185 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:33 am

00z EPS Ensembles have SIGNIFICANTLY backed off on this. The majority keep this as a TD, with only one strengthening it into a hurricane now.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#186 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 8:15 am

So the 06Z GFS run has it coming across the islands very weak then buries it in the Honduran/ Nicaragua area, just like the Euro. The Euro and GFS actually agree on something? :lol:
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#187 Postby artist » Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:36 am

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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#188 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:57 am

Hey peeps,look at the ICON model.

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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#189 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:11 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hey peeps,look at the ICON model.

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959 mb? :eek:
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#190 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:13 pm

12Z GFS continues to show a weak system heading over the islands on Thursday, then buries it in Honduras/Nicaragua.

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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#191 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 2:03 pm

12Z Euro making landfall on the islands on Thursday as a weak system, then between hours 192-216, it loses it completely (poof). Both the Euro and GFS have very similar solutions, and are in eerily similar agreement. Hopefully for the islands, it stays weak as the models keep suggesting.

GFS and Euro side by side...eerily similar solutions.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#192 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:42 pm

Wow,18z HWRF is out of it's mind.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#193 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:46 pm

HWRF appears to be the only model that shows significant strengthening with Isaac. The recent runs of GFS and EC have Isaac opening up into wave near the islands
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#194 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:00 pm

18Z GFS continues to send a weak TS into the islands, followed by a run of an open wave through to Honduras/Guatemala, never to be heard from again. That's several runs in a row with that solution.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#195 Postby Nimbus » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:03 pm

Same colors the HWRF used.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#196 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:09 pm

Both the Euro and GFS show a Thursday impact on the islands.

Both of today's GFS runs side by side.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#197 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:14 pm

18z HWRF wants to send an Irma into Guadeloupe

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#198 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:19 pm

FV3-GFS with a Thursday system for the islands. The rest of the run is still running.

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stormlover2013

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#199 Postby stormlover2013 » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:27 pm

And harvey was done until it got into the gulf
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#200 Postby SoupBone » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:37 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:And harvey was done until it got into the gulf



So you think Isaac is going to be Harvey - 2.0?
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