ATL: MICHAEL - Models

[boca]

This place surely died down tonight!

That’s because the site is very slow and college football is on.

[robbielyn]

This place surely died down tonight!

That’s because the site is very slow and college football is on.

Football? We have an ptc to track and you're watching football? college at that? I don't believe it. it's surely only because the site is slow. hmmph (arms folded) j/k

[LarryWx]

I find it interesting that the UKMET and Euro/EPS, which are often left of the GFS, are instead to the right at 12Z. Implications? Is that because they’re slower? And if they’re slower, why?

[tolakram]

Is there an administrator that can let us know if they're working on the slow server?

The issue appears to be with our provider. As of now no solution yet.

[DestinHurricane]

Is there an administrator that can let us know if they're working on the slow server?

The issue appears to be with our provider. As of now no solution yet.

It works fine on my phone but neither of my computers

[robbielyn]

didn't work on my note 8 very good either. I sure hope they find it. Mark has anyone contacted the provider so they know there is a problem? now isnt the time for crashes. just asking not trying to be dogmatic.

[storm4u]

0z Nam and 0z Icon strengthens future Michael quick in the GOM

[storm4u]

0z GFS following 970mb at hour 66

[FLpanhandle91]

GFS is slightly slower this run.

[Aric Dunn]

00z GFS is Slower again and stronger and about 100 miles slower...

[Aric Dunn]

a little more than 10mb stronger throughout.
this makes the time difference between the GFS,HWRF( and others), and the EURO more than 24rs apart. thats not at all a good consensus.

[N2FSU]

GFS shifted east a little also:

[chaser1]

I find it interesting that the UKMET and Euro/EPS, which are often left of the GFS, are instead to the right at 12Z. Implications? Is that because they’re slower? And if they’re slower, why?

Slower, because the center that we've all bit on... is not the center. I believe that the more vigorous circulation associated with 97E now located in east central Honduras, is moving north and will emerge off the N. Honduran coastline sometime tomorrow. This feature will become the dominant vortex which in turn will begin to lift northward and slowly deepen late Monday into Tuesday. If this correct, then the models will have to work out a slightly different set of implications as a result of the difference in timing and later then anticipated landfall. Changes to steering and upper level support can occur over a period of 24 hours.

[NDG]

The GFS is surely not giving up on future Michael become at least a Cat 2 hurricane.

[ColdMiser123]

Euro is significantly stronger through hour 72 compared to the 12z run.

[Aric Dunn]

THe EURO falls in line with the rest of the models. SLower Stronger and slighty more west.

[ColdMiser123]

TrueWx high resolution ECMWF pressure down to 948 at 102 hours. Landfall near Apalachicola.

[Aric Dunn]

Euro Cat 3 in 72 Hours. RI

[ColdMiser123]

[Aric Dunn]

945mb landfall