ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#2021 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 7:26 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271221
AF302 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 19 20180527
121200 2617N 08255W 8433 01508 0035 +164 +141 201032 032 024 001 00
121230 2619N 08255W 8426 01515 0035 +165 +136 199033 033 023 000 00
121300 2621N 08255W 8429 01512 0034 +165 +144 199032 032 024 000 00
121330 2622N 08255W 8429 01512 0034 +162 +152 193031 032 025 000 00
121400 2624N 08255W 8428 01512 0035 +160 +158 186035 036 025 000 01
121430 2626N 08255W 8429 01511 //// +156 //// 179035 036 025 000 01
121500 2628N 08254W 8429 01512 //// +156 //// 178036 037 023 002 01
121530 2630N 08254W 8428 01512 //// +157 //// 177038 039 024 001 01
121600 2632N 08254W 8429 01511 //// +157 //// 176037 038 025 000 01
121630 2634N 08254W 8428 01515 0038 +157 +151 171037 039 025 000 01
121700 2636N 08254W 8429 01512 0037 +160 +146 166038 039 024 000 00
121730 2638N 08254W 8429 01513 0037 +160 +140 165040 041 026 000 00
121800 2640N 08254W 8427 01517 0041 +158 +137 160041 042 025 000 00
121830 2642N 08254W 8429 01515 0041 +158 +141 160041 042 025 000 00
121900 2644N 08254W 8430 01514 0040 +160 +140 160042 042 026 000 00
121930 2646N 08254W 8426 01518 0043 +155 +143 160043 044 025 000 00
122000 2648N 08254W 8429 01515 0045 +152 +145 161040 042 027 000 00
122030 2650N 08254W 8429 01513 0045 +147 +144 160040 041 025 001 01
122100 2652N 08254W 8429 01515 0047 +150 +143 159041 042 025 000 00
122130 2654N 08254W 8428 01517 //// +147 //// 160042 042 024 000 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2022 Postby MidnightRain » Sun May 27, 2018 7:28 am

DestinHurricane wrote:Is it gaurenteed to hit east of destin or should i keep watching?

Right now the NHC has the center coming ashore just miles east of Destin, you should definitely keep an eye out.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2023 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun May 27, 2018 7:32 am

MidnightRain wrote:
DestinHurricane wrote:Is it gaurenteed to hit east of destin or should i keep watching?

Right now the NHC has the center coming ashore just miles east of Destin, you should definitely keep an eye out.

And should it become tropical, wont a LITTLE more wind and rain be on the west side
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#2024 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 7:35 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271232
AF302 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 20 20180527
122200 2656N 08254W 8417 01526 //// +155 //// 158046 048 029 003 01
122230 2658N 08254W 8426 01516 //// +152 //// 164044 049 029 003 01
122300 2700N 08253W 8432 01512 //// +149 //// 158045 048 029 001 01
122330 2702N 08253W 8432 01511 0042 +155 +142 164042 047 028 000 00
122400 2704N 08253W 8432 01514 0042 +158 +143 162043 044 028 000 00
122430 2706N 08253W 8425 01518 0042 +155 +152 157044 044 029 001 01
122500 2708N 08253W 8429 01517 //// +155 //// 156044 045 029 000 01
122530 2710N 08253W 8424 01523 0042 +157 //// 154045 046 029 001 01
122600 2712N 08253W 8418 01528 0042 +157 //// 152047 047 028 000 01
122630 2714N 08253W 8440 01508 0040 +163 +155 150046 048 028 001 00
122700 2716N 08253W 8421 01526 0042 +162 +152 150046 046 028 001 00
122730 2718N 08253W 8429 01520 0042 +160 +157 148043 045 027 001 01
122800 2720N 08253W 8428 01520 0041 +160 +158 149043 044 027 000 01
122830 2722N 08253W 8436 01512 //// +160 //// 148045 045 026 001 01
122900 2724N 08253W 8425 01524 //// +160 //// 149044 045 026 000 01
122930 2726N 08253W 8429 01522 //// +160 //// 147044 045 026 000 01
123000 2728N 08253W 8426 01525 //// +156 //// 146042 045 026 001 01
123030 2729N 08252W 8429 01521 0047 +157 //// 146043 044 027 001 01
123100 2731N 08252W 8428 01523 0048 +158 +157 145043 043 026 001 01
123130 2733N 08252W 8427 01524 0048 +159 +155 142043 044 025 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2025 Postby MidnightRain » Sun May 27, 2018 7:40 am

DestinHurricane wrote:
MidnightRain wrote:
DestinHurricane wrote:Is it gaurenteed to hit east of destin or should i keep watching?

Right now the NHC has the center coming ashore just miles east of Destin, you should definitely keep an eye out.

And should it become tropical, wont a LITTLE more wind and rain be on the west side
The east side is where the biggest impacts are as far as rain and wind goes. It's west side won't be nearly as bad, you'll probably still get some squally weather being on the immediate side of the circulation. However one adjustment to the west in the track would put you on that east side of the circulation.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2026 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2018 7:41 am

Highest flight level winds so far reported by the recon.

122230 2658N 08254W 8426 01516 //// +152 //// 164044 049 029 003 01
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#2027 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 7:45 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271241
AF302 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 21 20180527
123200 2735N 08252W 8429 01523 //// +154 //// 141042 043 025 001 01
123230 2737N 08252W 8429 01524 0049 +156 +153 142040 041 025 001 01
123300 2739N 08252W 8425 01528 0050 +160 +153 145039 040 026 000 00
123330 2741N 08252W 8429 01525 //// +156 //// 145038 039 025 001 01
123400 2743N 08252W 8427 01530 0053 +159 +154 144038 039 024 001 00
123430 2745N 08252W 8427 01529 0055 +156 +151 138041 041 024 000 00
123500 2747N 08252W 8430 01526 0056 +157 +147 136039 041 026 000 00
123530 2748N 08252W 8426 01532 0057 +155 +147 136037 038 024 000 00
123600 2750N 08252W 8430 01527 0057 +155 +146 137039 040 021 000 00
123630 2752N 08252W 8428 01530 0057 +155 +147 136040 041 024 000 00
123700 2754N 08252W 8424 01535 0059 +155 +148 135040 041 022 000 03
123730 2756N 08252W 8430 01528 0059 +153 +151 135041 042 /// /// 05
123800 2758N 08252W 8429 01530 0060 +154 +149 136041 041 /// /// 03
123830 2800N 08251W 8429 01530 0061 +154 +149 135040 041 021 000 00
123900 2802N 08251W 8427 01533 0062 +152 +149 134039 039 021 000 01
123930 2803N 08251W 8428 01532 0063 +151 +150 134039 040 019 000 05
124000 2805N 08252W 8422 01541 //// +150 //// 132038 039 /// /// 05
124030 2804N 08254W 8427 01535 //// +150 //// 133037 038 017 001 01
124100 2803N 08255W 8429 01533 0063 +153 +147 135036 036 022 000 00
124130 2802N 08257W 8428 01535 0063 +151 +149 134036 037 023 000 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2028 Postby northjaxpro » Sun May 27, 2018 7:45 am

It looks loke Alberto will probably peak out as as 45-50 knot TS at landfall.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2029 Postby robbielyn » Sun May 27, 2018 7:48 am

northjaxpro wrote:It looks loke Alberto will probably peak out as as 45-50 knot TS at landfall.

Thank goodness for that. We don’t need a hurricane on a holiday weekend.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#2030 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 7:54 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271252
AF302 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 22 20180527
124200 2801N 08258W 8428 01533 0061 +154 +148 134037 037 023 001 00
124230 2800N 08259W 8429 01529 0060 +156 +148 136037 038 025 001 00
124300 2759N 08300W 8426 01532 0060 +155 +150 137037 038 025 001 00
124330 2757N 08302W 8428 01531 0058 +155 +151 139038 039 027 002 00
124400 2756N 08303W 8428 01529 0056 +155 +151 138038 039 028 001 00
124430 2755N 08304W 8428 01528 0055 +158 +152 137038 039 027 001 00
124500 2754N 08306W 8427 01527 0056 +153 //// 135039 040 027 002 01
124530 2753N 08307W 8429 01526 //// +153 //// 137038 040 029 001 01
124600 2752N 08308W 8429 01525 0052 +154 +153 142038 039 026 003 01
124630 2751N 08310W 8428 01525 //// +152 //// 143037 038 028 002 01
124700 2750N 08311W 8428 01524 0053 +156 //// 143038 038 025 003 01
124730 2748N 08312W 8426 01527 //// +155 //// 140040 041 026 002 01
124800 2747N 08313W 8429 01521 //// +155 //// 140041 042 028 001 01
124830 2746N 08315W 8429 01522 //// +155 //// 138042 043 028 000 01
124900 2745N 08316W 8428 01520 //// +155 //// 136044 044 027 001 01
124930 2744N 08317W 8430 01518 //// +155 //// 141044 046 027 001 01
125000 2743N 08318W 8428 01520 //// +155 //// 141043 043 028 002 01
125030 2742N 08320W 8426 01520 //// +155 //// 138044 045 029 001 05
125100 2741N 08321W 8427 01519 //// +155 //// 138044 044 /// /// 05
125130 2740N 08322W 8426 01518 //// +146 //// 138046 047 /// /// 05
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2031 Postby northjaxpro » Sun May 27, 2018 7:56 am

robbielyn wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:It looks loke Alberto will probably peak out as as 45-50 knot TS at landfall.

Thank goodness for that. We don’t need a hurricane on a holiday weekend.


Or anytime for that matter.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2032 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun May 27, 2018 7:57 am

Wow....had a little peek of the LLC before it went back under the cloud tops from the convection to its west. Definitely moving NW now.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2033 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2018 7:59 am

I am calling for at least 60 knots if not 65 knots, the shear has really relaxed over Alberto and its outflow has started to kick in, the only inhibitor could be the dry slot to the south of it and it tracking over relatively cool waters for this time of the year around, 26.5C but could be warm enough for strengthening.


Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2034 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 27, 2018 8:01 am

NDG,the more NW it goes it may reach waters a little bit warmer.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2035 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sun May 27, 2018 8:01 am

NDG wrote:I am calling for at least 60 knots if not 65 knots, the shear has really relaxed over Alberto and its outflow has started to kick in, the only inhibitor could be the dry slot to the south of it and it tracking over relatively cool waters for this time of the year around, 26.5C but could be warm enough for strengthening.


Image


The further west it gets the water temps increase
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2036 Postby pcolaman » Sun May 27, 2018 8:02 am

Really moving to the NW at a fast pace now. Looks to be wrapping up rather nicely now.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2037 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 8:04 am

Think overall it is NNW, center just tucked itself under the convection.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2038 Postby Ivanhater » Sun May 27, 2018 8:04 am

Huge dry slot and exposed on east side...most weather on NW side today
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#2039 Postby tropicwatch » Sun May 27, 2018 8:04 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271301
AF302 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 23 20180527
125200 2738N 08324W 8431 01514 //// +142 //// 139046 047 /// /// 05
125230 2737N 08325W 8432 01509 //// +149 //// 137043 045 /// /// 05
125300 2736N 08326W 8434 01506 //// +151 //// 141044 044 /// /// 05
125330 2735N 08327W 8429 01511 0039 +152 +151 137044 047 /// /// 05
125400 2734N 08329W 8429 01512 //// +150 //// 140044 044 /// /// 05
125430 2733N 08330W 8426 01513 //// +151 //// 140046 048 030 002 01
125500 2732N 08331W 8428 01510 0035 +152 +147 140046 047 030 002 01
125530 2731N 08332W 8417 01521 //// +151 //// 136046 049 031 001 01
125600 2729N 08334W 8432 01503 0035 +149 +147 136045 046 031 001 01
125630 2728N 08335W 8425 01508 //// +148 //// 134045 046 031 001 01
125700 2727N 08336W 8427 01504 //// +150 //// 136046 047 031 001 01
125730 2726N 08338W 8429 01503 0029 +152 +141 133044 046 029 002 01
125800 2725N 08339W 8425 01505 0029 +152 +143 134045 046 030 001 00
125830 2724N 08340W 8427 01504 0025 +159 +147 134042 044 032 001 00
125900 2723N 08341W 8433 01494 //// +155 //// 138043 043 032 001 01
125930 2721N 08342W 8430 01497 //// +151 //// 144041 043 031 002 01
130000 2720N 08343W 8427 01500 0032 +154 //// 145041 042 030 003 05
130030 2719N 08345W 8425 01501 //// +156 //// 143041 042 031 003 01
130100 2718N 08346W 8434 01490 //// +156 //// 141038 041 033 000 01
130130 2717N 08348W 8424 01500 0017 +156 +148 144035 036 032 001 01
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2040 Postby robbielyn » Sun May 27, 2018 8:08 am

northjaxpro wrote:
robbielyn wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:It looks loke Alberto will probably peak out as as 45-50 knot TS at landfall.

Thank goodness for that. We don’t need a hurricane on a holiday weekend.


Or anytime for that matter.

Haha that’s a given lol
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