WPAC: YUTU - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Near as perfect as it can get. clobbered.
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
JTWC could go 150-155 in next warning
TPPN10 PGTW 241217
A. SUPER TYPHOON 31W (YUTU)
B. 24/1200Z
C. 14.64N
D. 146.20E
E. ONE/HMWRI8
F. T7.5/7.5/D2.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG YIELDS
AN E# OF 6.5. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT
OF 7.5. MET 6.5. PT 7.5. DBO DT. EYE DIAMETER 20NM.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
24/0625Z 13.93N 146.97E SSMS
24/0723Z 14.02N 146.78E SSMS
D
TPPN10 PGTW 241217
A. SUPER TYPHOON 31W (YUTU)
B. 24/1200Z
C. 14.64N
D. 146.20E
E. ONE/HMWRI8
F. T7.5/7.5/D2.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG YIELDS
AN E# OF 6.5. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT
OF 7.5. MET 6.5. PT 7.5. DBO DT. EYE DIAMETER 20NM.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
24/0625Z 13.93N 146.97E SSMS
24/0723Z 14.02N 146.78E SSMS
D
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
JMA 12z forecast Yutu to increase to 120 knots being tied with Meranti
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
155 knots from JTWC and 115 knots from JMA.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
10:34 PM 79 F 0 F 0 % NNE 67 mph 84 mph 28.6 in 0.3 in 0.0 in Rain / Windy
Last edited by Highteeld on Wed Oct 24, 2018 7:53 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
31W YUTU 181024 1200 14.6N 146.2E WPAC 155 899
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
There's quite a bit of lightning visible on the earthcam from Saipan: https://www.earthcam.com/world/northernmarianaislands/saipan/?cam=saip
That sound is really scary...
That sound is really scary...
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Unreal.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Slight west jog on last few frames - eye might miss Saipan by a hairline but surefire nuclear grade effect for Saipan and Tinian
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Curent conditions at Saipan Airport: 52 kt sustained gusting to 85 kt. Pressure 974 mb.
Source: https://www.windy.com
Source: https://www.windy.com
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 OCT 2018 Time : 121000 UTC
Lat : 14:40:48 N Lon : 146:07:11 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 900.4mb/155.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.5 7.5 7.8
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 21 km
Center Temp : +22.3C Cloud Region Temp : -80.8C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Date : 24 OCT 2018 Time : 121000 UTC
Lat : 14:40:48 N Lon : 146:07:11 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 900.4mb/155.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.5 7.5 7.8
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 21 km
Center Temp : +22.3C Cloud Region Temp : -80.8C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
2018OCT24 124000 7.5 900.4 155.0 7.5 7.5 7.9 3.7T/24hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 22.47 -81.16 EYE 21 IR 71.4 14.70 -146.03 ARCHER HIM-8 18.3
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
CURRENT ESTIMATE
Date (mmddhhmm): 10240907
SATCON: MSLP = 911 hPa MSW = 153 knots
SATCON Member Consensus: 147.0 knots
Pressure -> Wind Using SATCON MSLP: 137 knots
Distance to Outer Closed Isobar Used is 200 nm
Eye Size Correction Used is 0.7 knots Source: IR
Member Estimates
ADT: 898 hPa 155 knots Scene: CDO Date: OCT241140
CIMSS AMSU: 922 hPa 132 knots Bias Corr: 0 (MW) Date: 10240907
ATMS: 922.4 hPa 141.5 knots Date: 10240318
SSMIS: 922.4 hPa 141.5 knots Date: 10240318
CIRA ATMS: 951 hPa 104 knots Date:
Date (mmddhhmm): 10240907
SATCON: MSLP = 911 hPa MSW = 153 knots
SATCON Member Consensus: 147.0 knots
Pressure -> Wind Using SATCON MSLP: 137 knots
Distance to Outer Closed Isobar Used is 200 nm
Eye Size Correction Used is 0.7 knots Source: IR
Member Estimates
ADT: 898 hPa 155 knots Scene: CDO Date: OCT241140
CIMSS AMSU: 922 hPa 132 knots Bias Corr: 0 (MW) Date: 10240907
ATMS: 922.4 hPa 141.5 knots Date: 10240318
SSMIS: 922.4 hPa 141.5 knots Date: 10240318
CIRA ATMS: 951 hPa 104 knots Date:
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Eyewall nearing Saipan and Tinian.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
The lightning frequency now seems to be around 2-4 times per minute on that Saipan webcam.
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
Maintaining 155 knots for 1.5 days
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
JMA's extended track is flat west - really picking up that mighty SCS ridge (looks slowed at the very end of the track - maybe beginning of recurve or maybe not)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
- cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: WPAC: YUTU - Typhoon
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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