ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[pcolaman]

I think this is the same time eye wall replacement started last night.

[floridasun78]

i supprise those big ride not taking down if look hotel you see their close it all left only left those beach chair is at MyrtleBeach came save link that were eye may come in https://www.myrtlebeach.com/webcams/

[southerngale]

This marker is less than 2 miles from my house. This is what days of tropical rains can do. And I'm about 30 miles inland.

https://imgur.com/a/f8kmlHT

The blue markers on the right is where the flooding from Harvey was, as seen in the pic on the left. If you're in the path of where Florence may stall, please evacuate while you still can. In my case, we didn't have the high winds when the flooding was occurring and there were thousands of rescues, so I was fortunate. There won't be anyone to rescue you in tropical storm or hurricane force winds.

[floridasun78]

this going match Hurricane Harvey flood or beat it if stall like Hurricane Harvey did over Texas?

[MaineWeatherNut]

Here is my latest update on Hurricane Florence

I hope everyone is preparing!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xo4RBFylofY

[abajan]

The swells in Bermuda must be humongous.

[Rail Dawg]

Are you in one of the parking garages downtown? Be prepared to be there for a while. The block lower from most of those decks floods with a lot less rain predicted. If it is the PPD parking deck, it will be an island

I hear you.

I’ve got a full 2 weeks of supplies.

Will simply help in the recovery until I can go home.

[catskillfire51]

The swells in Bermuda must be humongous.

I am seeing 15' at 13 sec. at Bermuda and anywhere from 35' to 45' at 6 sec around the center.

[Blinhart]

The swells in Bermuda must be humongous.

I am seeing 15' at 13 sec. at Bermuda and anywhere from 35' to 45' at 6 sec around the center.

That would be catastrophic those size waves on top of the surge. I know they won't be 35 to 45 feet tall at the shore, but you can expect them to be at least 15 to 25 feet.

[sbcc]

This marker is less than 2 miles from my house. This is what days of tropical rains can do. And I'm about 30 miles inland.

https://imgur.com/a/f8kmlHT

The blue markers on the right is where the flooding from Harvey was, as seen in the pic on the left. If you're in the path of where Florence may stall, please evacuate while you still can. In my case, we didn't have the high winds when the flooding was occurring and there were thousands of rescues, so I was fortunate. There won't be anyone to rescue you in tropical storm or hurricane force winds.

I was thinking about the guy from Boston on his sailboat saying we get that much snow at home, so this will be easier. Your photo really puts it into perspective. Here in this Great Lakes snowbelt, we might deal with 24 to 36 inches of snow in a similar time frame, but it doesn't flood rivers or low lying areas. We do get 20-30 ft deep drifts sometimes. It packs down. It sublimates if it is too cold to melt. Most importantly, it can be moved from locations where it isn't wanted. There's really no comparison. The survival skills consist mostly of staying inside, having food, a heat source and supplies, and dressing warm when it is safe to go out. People do get trapped in cars sometimes, roofs do collapse - but it is nothing like what you've described. Thanks for sharing that, along with the rest of your Harvey story. So glad you came through it safely!

[SunnyThoughts]

MAX FL WIND 130 KT 052 / 20 NM 03:42:00Z

From vortex message over in recon thread. 150 mph flight level, or close to it.

[CrazyC83]

If it stays near shore, one storm that comes to mind in terms of Atlantic comparisons is Hurricane Mitch from 1998. Of course, we're not dealing with poor countries or mountainous terrain at the coast like in Honduras or Nicaragua, but it does provide a meteorological comparison.

[FLeastcoast]

24H 13/0000Z 31.4N 73.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
This is the closest I have seen the NHC get to Cat 5 for a system that hasn't gotten to Cat 5 before.

On the shift to the South, they moved it like I thought just a little. I think they will move it like 20 to 40 miles each main advisory.

That would be the strongest storm ever in the Atlantic basin north of 31°N (the Gulf doesn't go past that latitude). The current record holder is Helene 1958 (130 kt at 32.7°N).

Do you think hurricane winds will get as far south as Jacksonville FL?

[ConvergenceZone]

this going match Hurricane Harvey flood or beat it if stall like Hurricane Harvey did over Texas?

I don't think it will even be close. The forecast shows this moving pretty quickly on Sunday. Harvey stayed around for like a week and 1/2 or so.........

[CrazyC83]

24H 13/0000Z 31.4N 73.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
This is the closest I have seen the NHC get to Cat 5 for a system that hasn't gotten to Cat 5 before.

On the shift to the South, they moved it like I thought just a little. I think they will move it like 20 to 40 miles each main advisory.

That would be the strongest storm ever in the Atlantic basin north of 31°N (the Gulf doesn't go past that latitude). The current record holder is Helene 1958 (130 kt at 32.7°N).

Do you think hurricane winds will get as far south as Jacksonville FL?

No, in fact I'd be shocked if even tropical storm winds get there.

[FLeastcoast]

That would be the strongest storm ever in the Atlantic basin north of 31°N (the Gulf doesn't go past that latitude). The current record holder is Helene 1958 (130 kt at 32.7°N).

Do you think hurricane winds will get as far south as Jacksonville FL?

No, in fact I'd be shocked if even tropical storm winds get there.

Thank you. That is really great news for me. I have been very worried. I am not the best with directional things, and have a hard time following the tracks sometimes. I have 3 special needs kids,and we do not evacuate very quickly! I hope everyone that was advised to leave areas of risk has done so or will do so asap.

[hurricaneCW]

This marker is less than 2 miles from my house. This is what days of tropical rains can do. And I'm about 30 miles inland.

https://imgur.com/a/f8kmlHT

The blue markers on the right is where the flooding from Harvey was, as seen in the pic on the left. If you're in the path of where Florence may stall, please evacuate while you still can. In my case, we didn't have the high winds when the flooding was occurring and there were thousands of rescues, so I was fortunate. There won't be anyone to rescue you in tropical storm or hurricane force winds.

I was thinking about the guy from Boston on his sailboat saying we get that much snow at home, so this will be easier. Your photo really puts it into perspective. Here in this Great Lakes snowbelt, we might deal with 24 to 36 inches of snow in a similar time frame, but it doesn't flood rivers or low lying areas. We do get 20-30 ft deep drifts sometimes. It packs down. It sublimates if it is too cold to melt. Most importantly, it can be moved from locations where it isn't wanted. There's really no comparison. The survival skills consist mostly of staying inside, having food, a heat source and supplies, and dressing warm when it is safe to go out. People do get trapped in cars sometimes, roofs do collapse - but it is nothing like what you've described. Thanks for sharing that, along with the rest of your Harvey story. So glad you came through it safely!

Clearly comparing surge or freshwater flooding to a snowstorm is a laughable comparison. A 2-3 foot snowstorm won't ruin your home/belongings but even 2-3' of water inside your home could destroy everything.

There's nothing scarier than watching the water slowly rise and creep towards your home. There's little you can do to stop it.

[catskillfire51]

This marker is less than 2 miles from my house. This is what days of tropical rains can do. And I'm about 30 miles inland.

https://imgur.com/a/f8kmlHT

The blue markers on the right is where the flooding from Harvey was, as seen in the pic on the left. If you're in the path of where Florence may stall, please evacuate while you still can. In my case, we didn't have the high winds when the flooding was occurring and there were thousands of rescues, so I was fortunate. There won't be anyone to rescue you in tropical storm or hurricane force winds.

I was thinking about the guy from Boston on his sailboat saying we get that much snow at home, so this will be easier. Your photo really puts it into perspective. Here in this Great Lakes snowbelt, we might deal with 24 to 36 inches of snow in a similar time frame, but it doesn't flood rivers or low lying areas. We do get 20-30 ft deep drifts sometimes. It packs down. It sublimates if it is too cold to melt. Most importantly, it can be moved from locations where it isn't wanted. There's really no comparison. The survival skills consist mostly of staying inside, having food, a heat source and supplies, and dressing warm when it is safe to go out. People do get trapped in cars sometimes, roofs do collapse - but it is nothing like what you've described. Thanks for sharing that, along with the rest of your Harvey story. So glad you came through it safely!

Clearly comparing surge or freshwater flooding to a snowstorm is a laughable comparison. A 2-3 foot snowstorm won't ruin your home/belongings but even 2-3' of water inside your home could destroy everything.

There's nothing scarier than watching the water slowly rise and creep towards your home. There's little you can do to stop it.

And just to add when we went through Harvey down here, it's not fresh water at all. Sewage back up and other not enjoyable stuff as well.

[sbcc]

This marker is less than 2 miles from my house. This is what days of tropical rains can do. And I'm about 30 miles inland.

https://imgur.com/a/f8kmlHT

The blue markers on the right is where the flooding from Harvey was, as seen in the pic on the left. If you're in the path of where Florence may stall, please evacuate while you still can. In my case, we didn't have the high winds when the flooding was occurring and there were thousands of rescues, so I was fortunate. There won't be anyone to rescue you in tropical storm or hurricane force winds.

I was thinking about the guy from Boston on his sailboat saying we get that much snow at home, so this will be easier. Your photo really puts it into perspective. Here in this Great Lakes snowbelt, we might deal with 24 to 36 inches of snow in a similar time frame, but it doesn't flood rivers or low lying areas. We do get 20-30 ft deep drifts sometimes. It packs down. It sublimates if it is too cold to melt. Most importantly, it can be moved from locations where it isn't wanted. There's really no comparison. The survival skills consist mostly of staying inside, having food, a heat source and supplies, and dressing warm when it is safe to go out. People do get trapped in cars sometimes, roofs do collapse - but it is nothing like what you've described. Thanks for sharing that, along with the rest of your Harvey story. So glad you came through it safely!

Clearly comparing surge or freshwater flooding to a snowstorm is a laughable comparison. A 2-3 foot snowstorm won't ruin your home/belongings but even 2-3' of water inside your home could destroy everything.

There's nothing scarier than watching the water slowly rise and creep towards your home. There's little you can do to stop it.

I'll take this over this every time, no contest.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Are you in one of the parking garages downtown? Be prepared to be there for a while. The block lower from most of those decks floods with a lot less rain predicted. If it is the PPD parking deck, it will be an island

I hear you.

I’ve got a full 2 weeks of supplies.

Will simply help in the recovery until I can go home.

I will look forward to your posts as long as i can get online. I wish I had some type of storm reporting equipment to add to your input.