ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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psyclone
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3041 Postby psyclone » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:25 am

OuterBanker wrote:While it is looking worse for southern NC and northern SC it is looking better for us. It does appear that the mid Atlantic will be spared.

I'd be feeling a lot better up that way. Also note the apocalyptic QPF values previously modeled over VA have been scaled way back...of course at the expense of locations farther south. If the leftward trends continue the northern extent of the watches and warnings may be trimmed in future advisories. Good luck up there.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3042 Postby Ken711 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:26 am



Don't want to be anywhere close to Florence on a ship that's for sure.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3043 Postby plasticup » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:28 am


Awesome waves off Bermuda, too. Not 83 feet, obviously, but it's wild out there.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3044 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:31 am

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1039882342389751809


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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3045 Postby WYNweather » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:32 am

Buoy 41002 today
Wind Direction (WDIR): NNE ( 30 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 17.5 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 23.3 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 10.2 ft

Watch Buoy station 41002 Yesterday at 10am was only 5.2

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=41002
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3046 Postby BobHarlem » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:35 am

@NHC_TAFB

Wave heights to 83 ft were measured early this morning under the NE quadrant of Hurricane Florence. These enormous waves are produced by being trapped along with very strong winds moving in the same direction the storm's motion.

 https://twitter.com/NHC_TAFB/status/1039882107399622657





edit: missed this on the last page... things moving too quickly.
Last edited by BobHarlem on Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Michele B
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3047 Postby Michele B » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:35 am

meriland29 wrote:Ok ty. Did she actually just come out of that ERC? Cause that would have been extremely fast...maybe 5 or less hrs...


If I remember correctly, Irma did the same thing. Kept going through EWRC.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3048 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:37 am

Michele B wrote:
meriland29 wrote:Ok ty. Did she actually just come out of that ERC? Cause that would have been extremely fast...maybe 5 or less hrs...


If I remember correctly, Irma did the same thing. Kept going through EWRC.

And she ended up a monster size storm.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3049 Postby drezee » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:38 am

EWRC about to come again...double max is showing up..
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3050 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:38 am

WindSAT pass at 1052z shows the outer eyewall is near completion. Should see it to begin contracting later today

Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3051 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:39 am

Ken711 wrote:


Don't want to be anywhere close to Florence on a ship that's for sure.



Heck no that's for darn sure!!

Florence right now is just as strong as Joaquin was and we tragically all know what happened wwith that.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3052 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:39 am

Holy cow. 103kt flight level winds incredibly far from the center. Anyone have a distance on that?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3053 Postby meriland29 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:39 am

What is Florence's size right now? Is she relatively large?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3054 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:41 am

WYNweather wrote:Buoy 41002 today
Wind Direction (WDIR): NNE ( 30 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 17.5 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 23.3 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 10.2 ft

Watch Buoy station 41002 Yesterday at 10am was only 5.2

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=41002



Was just looking at that buoy. It will be interesting to watch the readings. Almost in the direct path of Florence.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3055 Postby meriland29 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:41 am

drezee wrote:EWRC about to come again...double max is showing up..


WindSAT pass at 1052z shows the outer eyewall is near completion. Should see it to begin contracting later today



...sigh...
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3056 Postby sponger » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:41 am

Guess we are getting ready to find out how seriously the NHC takes 2 Euro runs in a row. If they verified, TS watch would need to be issued all the way to Fernandina Beach FL. At the very least to Brunswick GA. Certainly Savannah is well in play.
Last edited by sponger on Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3057 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:42 am




Pretty bold forecast. Can you say sticking neck out.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3058 Postby edu2703 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:45 am

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1039887410392383489


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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3059 Postby Blown Away » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:45 am

Image
Flo a bit R of track and a little slower, not likely to reach next point at 15z (11am).
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3060 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:45 am

Satellite presentation is actually pretty good this morning despite she's about to start an EWRC

Image

Image
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