ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

It never fails how a storm is always going to start that more right heading as it nears the coast, better news for Destin, most of Panama City will still get hit hard especially the eastern section into MX Beach.

[Aric Dunn]

WE ARE LIVE NOW IN PORT ST. JOE WINDS ARE GETTING VERY STRONG HIGH END TROPICAL STORM DEFINITELY HURRICANE GUSTS! WE ARE ON FB LIVE @HurricaneMichaelC4

[Hypercane_Kyle]

10mph away from Cat 5 status -- this is horrifying!

[tolakram]

0
WTNT64 KNHC 101528
TCUAT4

Hurricane Michael Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1030 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...MICHAEL STILL STRENGTHENING AS THE EYE NEARS THE COAST OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph
(240 km/h) with higher gusts. The aircraft also reported that the
minimum pressure has fallen to 923 mb (27.26 inches).

The Apalachicola airport recently reported a wind gust of 72 mph
(101 km/h).

Water levels continue to rise quickly along the coast of the Florida
Panhandle. A National Ocean Service water level station at
Apalachicola recently reported over 5 feet of inundation above
ground level.


SUMMARY OF 1030 AM CDT...1530 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 85.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...923 MB...27.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Is Michael now going to hit as a CAT 5 storm?

[supercane4867]

5mb drop in one pass. Could we make it to the sub 920s ?

[xironman]

Mark Sudduth is driving to shelter. Scary to see others out and going to their houses.

https://youtu.be/2NvDKOfb-3g

Where is he?

[RL3AO]

Looks like the mesovorticies are disappearing. Eye is becoming more circular on radar. Will probably see further pressure drops. Sub-920 very possible.

[chaser1]

Watching Adair now.

That surge has to come over that road, right?

I'm sure it's been posted but do you have a link for his live feed? Also, has anyone considered creating a sub-thread for any web-cams, live feeds, chasers, etc? I know we all offer up links here in the discussion thread but when it gets crazy busy with so many posts, just thought it might be worth making more quickly available to reference

[HurricaneEnzo]

Is Michael now going to hit as a CAT 5 storm?

Probably doesn't have time but at this intensity the end result between 150mph and minimal Cat 5 is negligible. Damage will be equally bad.

[plasticup]

Is Michael now going to hit as a CAT 5 storm?

Doubtful. She doesn't have much time left. 90 minutes, tops.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Michael is making a last minute push to Category 5 and unfortunately may have enough time to just barely reach 140 knots during landfall.

[brghteys1216]

Been a while since I’ve posted, but I just wanted to say how truly shocked I am with this storm, and sick to my stomach. My thoughts are with all of you whom are in the path.

My goodness what a monster storm.

[tolakram]

Watching Adair now.

That surge has to come over that road, right?

I'm sure it's been posted but do you have a link for his live feed? Also, has anyone considered creating a sub-thread for any web-cams, live feeds, chasers, etc? I know we all offer up links here in the discussion thread but when it gets crazy busy with so many posts, just thought it might be worth making more quickly available to reference

SAVE THIS LINK

https://livestormchasing.com/map

Click on the map to find the storm chaser you want to watch.

[Nimbus]

Hi. Prayers to all. My niece goes to FSU while I'm a huge Florida Gators fan, I am fearful for Tallahassee and points west to Fl/Al line. I hope my niece is able to go back to FSU on Monday as planned by the school as it reopens...Again all my thoughts and prayers to all in harm's way...Fla to the Carolinas...

Tallahassee is inland far enough that some of those eyewall winds may begin to expand out beyond the usual 20 miles from center, also there are tornado warnings and down bursts. The storm will continue to unwind up through Georgia and serious flood issues for people living near waterways even well inland.

[Texas Snowman]

@HenryMargusity — I think this is a Cat 5 hurricane. But NHC makes the call.

@RyanMaue — Another NHC update 11:30 AM EDT #HurricaneMichael still intensifying -- now with 130-knot winds -- nearing Category 5 -- before landfall.
Pressure 923 mb -- almost as low as Andrew (1992)

[GCANE]

IMHO it looks like its going to three mesovorts.

[EquusStorm]

Not so sure we will have instruments survive the eyewall to measure an actual eye landfall pressure at this point... totally speechless. Never in my wildest imaginations did I expect this to happen.

[KWT]

That is an amazing pressure drop so close to land, sub 920mb probably do able before landfall in a few hours. More or less a deeper and larger version of Charley.

[tolakram]